Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs Galatasaray Esports (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfec9086e98507ae6aa203a57ac0c113afa0da624911fe7e029fa493b18144237
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galatasaray Esportsof Fire Flux Esports, Galatasaray Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdac0…0207backed Fire Flux Esports | 33c | 986$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82cd…9b96backed Fire Flux Esports | 33c | 984$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a43…61d9backed Fire Flux Esports | 33c | 833$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98dc…8dfbbacked Fire Flux Esports | 33c | 777$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d5…c67abacked Fire Flux Esports | 33c | 713$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3429…8e63backed Fire Flux Esports | 33c | 687$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed7a…4657backed Fire Flux Esports | 33c | 681$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…35f8backed Galatasaray Esports | 67c | 664$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b81…5af0backed Galatasaray Esports | 67c | 621$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5d…5c2cbacked Fire Flux Esports | 33c | 563$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcf…3123backed Galatasaray Esports | 67c | 562$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x970c…376dbacked Fire Flux Esports | 33c | 539$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e55…cc38backed Galatasaray Esports | 67c | 521$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…2ca3backed Fire Flux Esports | 33c | 464$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Fire Flux Esports | 39c | 463.64$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 300 | 33%99 W · 201 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ca…9bf2backed Galatasaray Esports | 67c | 369$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…e4edbacked Galatasaray Esports | 67c | 365$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8a…0fc3backed Galatasaray Esports | 67c | 363$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x647e…92f5backed Galatasaray Esports | 67c | 362$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…9b1fbacked Galatasaray Esports | 67c | 351$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa541…79efbacked Galatasaray Esports | 67c | 320$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca12…44bdbacked Galatasaray Esports | 67c | 318$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703e…ca29backed Galatasaray Esports | 67c | 318$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91a4…2a56backed Galatasaray Esports | 67c | 282$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ed…5fe5backed Galatasaray Esports | 67c | 281$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb139…7812backed Galatasaray Esports | 67c | 281$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d52…816dbacked Galatasaray Esports | 67c | 273$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ff…106ebacked Galatasaray Esports | 67c | 271$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6e…19d0backed Galatasaray Esports | 67c | 258$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb1…7b5cbacked Galatasaray Esports | 67c | 256$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Galatasaray Esports | 59c | 191.29$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.43 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9a…4215backed Galatasaray Esports | 67c | 191$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Galatasaray Esports | 62c | 120$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95d8…2922backed Galatasaray Esports | 64c | 93.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa511…18a3backed Fire Flux Esports | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Galatasaray Esports | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked Galatasaray Esports | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec48…d04cbacked Galatasaray Esports | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.