Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs Twisted Minds Orchid (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff0a0488d772358f37af6d89cfd214d24cdc62db29be538e1ac6597e05dfc1d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gentle Mates GCof Gentle Mates GC, Twisted Minds Orchid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,819
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,819 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 0c | 7,384$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Gentle Mates GC | 57c | 1,158$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.89 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 44c | 633.85$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.89 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Gentle Mates GC | 56c | 467.78$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.82 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Gentle Mates GC | 54c | 197.83$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed Gentle Mates GC | 57c | 176.54$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.91 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Gentle Mates GC | 56c | 160.71$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.71 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x831b…e23ebacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Gentle Mates GC | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.06 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…846ebacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Gentle Mates GC | 57c | 50.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab31…c16ebacked Gentle Mates GC | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Gentle Mates GC | 57c | 24.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcece…d26ebacked Gentle Mates GC | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7b…47e0backed Gentle Mates GC | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs Twisted Minds Orchid (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagethis page
- Map Handicap: TMO (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates GC (+1.5)Gentle Mates GC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.