Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
North Carolina vs. Syracuse
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff5f1f872f1b2f9ddaff49fd5fd4b7b273ad1d0cc29604842e0712feb537a98c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Carolinaof North Carolina, Syracuse
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,182
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x480d…f219backed Syracuse | 39c | 690$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.1 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked North Carolina | 76c | 404.17$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Syracuse | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e1…9c1dbacked Syracuse | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd0…c2c5backed North Carolina | 78c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e67…3d5dbacked Syracuse | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f57…cc33backed North Carolina | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…1ca4backed North Carolina | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38b3…fde1backed North Carolina | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf465…27ebbacked Syracuse | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…3f49backed Syracuse | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976b…f936backed Syracuse | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d1…de54backed North Carolina | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd27…80acbacked North Carolina | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0f…abe9backed North Carolina | 78c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c06…2c9cbacked North Carolina | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f7…9716backed North Carolina | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc948…cccebacked North Carolina | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe04…3912backed North Carolina | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.