Lol · resolved market
LoL: HMBLE vs Colossal Gaming - Game 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffab025b1d4177e8ccb16a0b62260e0782f742f519323d6eba9e57f79b2530d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HMBLEof HMBLE, Colossal Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,302
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,302 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked HMBLE | 80c | 2,606$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.18 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Colossal Gaming | 20c | 2,048$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.29 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Colossal Gaming | 8c | 609$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Colossal Gaming | 20c | 453.45$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.55 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Colossal Gaming | 15c | 390.88$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.89 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Colossal Gaming | 18c | 338.49$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.56 | 261 | 44.1%115 W · 146 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Colossal Gaming | 20c | 325.81$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.16 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Colossal Gaming | 20c | 120.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 748 | 49.6%371 W · 377 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f5…9377backed HMBLE | 79c | 90.87$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…6f4ebacked HMBLE | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 244 | 53.3%130 W · 114 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1107…026dbacked HMBLE | 80c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa649…af7dbacked HMBLE | 80c | 42.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed HMBLE | 80c | 37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 140 | 67.9%95 W · 45 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: HMBLE vs Colossal Gaming - Game 3 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: HMBLE (-2.5) vs Colossal Gaming (+2.5)HMBLE won
- LoL: HMBLE vs Colossal Gaming (BO5) - LIT PlayoffsHMBLE won
- LoL: HMBLE vs Colossal Gaming - Game 1 WinnerHMBLE won
- LoL: HMBLE vs Colossal Gaming - Game 2 WinnerHMBLE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.