CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs Phantom (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffcd1be0ceca8908ae38408ceea53baf4981cba11868f8b6c510a52dbf9480de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ECSTATICof ECSTATIC, Phantom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,731
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,731 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x861f…a189backed ECSTATIC | 60c | 999.99$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Phantom | 37c | 837.62$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.99 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed Phantom | 40c | 679.33$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.58 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Phantom | 40c | 271.86$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.34 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc78…a301backed ECSTATIC | 63c | 259.52$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.02 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked ECSTATIC | 63c | 239.68$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed ECSTATIC | 63c | 190$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.3 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked ECSTATIC | 63c | 189.01$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.01 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked Phantom | 28c | 145.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 330 | 57.3%189 W · 141 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe52b…3837backed ECSTATIC | 64c | 101$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Phantom | 38c | 98.01$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked ECSTATIC | 60c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 118 | 30.5%36 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed ECSTATIC | 76c | 43.08$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked ECSTATIC | 63c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked ECSTATIC | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x566b…bcbbbacked ECSTATIC | 63c | 27.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed ECSTATIC | 55c | 26.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7af3…caf2backed ECSTATIC | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f56…d632backed ECSTATIC | 59c | 17.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.