Wallet 0x005e…6d8e
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x005ed998fcb786679eb8bfd0d20c15c0903d6d8e
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$243,199 staked over 5,347 qualified picks in 44 categories, 22 of 44 below 50.
Best category
South American Leagues
$698 staked over 16 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.07 per pick.
See the full South American Leagues boardSecond best
MLB
$4,685 staked over 70 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.05 per pick.
See the full MLB boardThird best
NHL
$720 staked over 10 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.05 per pick.
See the full NHL boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 5,347 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category44 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 5,347 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South American Leagues Inactivelast settled Oct 11, 2026, EDT | $698 | before 87%in play 13%, over 16 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 21 before the start | 3 h 18to the end, median over 71 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.19106% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 106% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 14 of 16 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.8 | +0.17 | 45c | +17.1% | 58 |
The 16 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 5,347 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 16 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT | $4,685 | before 4%in play 96%, over 57 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 23 after the start | 41 minto the end, median over 452 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 65% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 57 of 70 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +4.9 | +0.07 | 49c | +11.1% | 56 |
The 70 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 5,347 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 70 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHL Inactivelast settled Jun 26, 2026, EDT | $720 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 23 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.17104% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 104% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 6 of 10 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7 | +0.17 | 53c | +26% | 55 |
The 10 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 5,347 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 10 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Macro Indicatorslast settled Oct 14, 2026, EDT | $270 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 95 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.09out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 45% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 5 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4 | +0.20 | 51c | +40.6% | 55 |
The 7 picks behind Macro Indicators are not listed here. This wallet has 5,347 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 7 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $191 | —too few: 5 picks | 4 h 08to the end, median over 38 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.32130% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 130% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 5 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2 | +0.25 | 35c | +157.8% | 55 |
The 5 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 5,347 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Weatherlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $106,538 | before 35%in play 65%, over 3,737 Weather picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 40 after the start | 18 h 11to the end, median over 40,148 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 218 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 29% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 2,679 of 3,926 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3,926 | 58%2,276 W · 1,650 L | +135.5 | +0.03 | 55c | -2.4% | 54 |
The 3,926 picks behind Weather are not listed here. This wallet has 5,347 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3,926 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Commodities Inactivelast settled Oct 7, 2026, EDT | $468 | —no start of play | 7 dto the end, median over 102 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 6% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 6 of 13 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3 | +0.10 | 44c | -0.5% | 54 |
The 13 picks behind Commodities are not listed here. This wallet has 5,347 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 13 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fed Rates Inactivelast settled Sep 16, 2026, EDT | $2,427 | —no start of play | 34 dto the end, median over 31 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0876% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 76% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 7 of 10 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1 | +0.11 | 49c | +12.6% | 53 |
The 10 picks behind Fed Rates are not listed here. This wallet has 5,347 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 10 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $335 | —no start of play | 7 dto the end, median over 45 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0784% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 84% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 7 of 13 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1 | +0.09 | 61c | +3.2% | 53 |
The 13 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 5,347 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 13 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian League Inactivelast settled Sep 3, 2026, EDT | $57 | —too few: 3 picks | 3 h 47to the end, median over 39 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.2599% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7 | +0.25 | 42c | +55% | 53 |
The 3 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,347 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Stockslast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT | $14 | —no start of play | 9 h 36to the end, median over 7 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.61100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6 | +0.60 | 40c | +152.5% | 53 |
The 1 picks behind Stocks are not listed here. This wallet has 5,347 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tweetslast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $13,600 | —no start of play | 1 dto the end, median over 921 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0281% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 81% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 135 of 188 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 188 | 47.9%90 W · 98 L | +4.8 | +0.03 | 45c | -11.9% | 53 |
The 188 picks behind Tweets are not listed here. This wallet has 5,347 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 188 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennis Inactivelast settled Sep 13, 2026, EDT | $2,831 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 54 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 8 of 11 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8 | +0.07 | 47c | -11.7% | 52 |
The 11 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 5,347 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 11 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier League Inactivelast settled Oct 3, 2026, EDT | $173 | —too few: 5 picks | 8 h 18to the end, median over 38 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.13103% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 103% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6 | +0.12 | 68c | +3.3% | 52 |
The 5 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,347 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Token Launches Inactivelast settled Sep 10, 2026, EDT | $351 | —no start of play | 1 dto the end, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 8% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5 | +0.51 | 49c | +104.1% | 52 |
The 1 picks behind Token Launches are not listed here. This wallet has 5,347 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| F1last settled Oct 11, 2026, EDT | $614 | before 100%in play 0%, over 14 F1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 21 h 57 before the start | 1 dto the end, median over 135 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 21% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 10 of 14 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7 | +0.05 | 59c | +8.1% | 52 |
The 14 picks behind F1 are not listed here. This wallet has 5,347 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 14 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Sep 30, 2026, EDT | $24 | —no start of play | 50 dto the end, median over 10 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.45117% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 117% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4 | +0.38 | 62c | +61.9% | 52 |
The 1 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 5,347 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorantlast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $163 | —no start of play | 8 dto the end, median over 14 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 57% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 2 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4 | +0.09 | 66c | +2% | 51 |
The 4 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 5,347 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Pokerlast settled Aug 6, 2026, EDT | $48 | —no start of play | 1 dto the end, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2 | +0.11 | 39c | -22.5% | 51 |
The 2 picks behind Poker are not listed here. This wallet has 5,347 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Liga Inactivelast settled Sep 15, 2026, EDT | $142 | —too few: 5 picks | 3 dto the end, median over 24 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04108% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 108% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2 | +0.04 | 46c | -32.9% | 51 |
The 6 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 5,347 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 6 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 6, 2026, EDT | $56,083 | before 24%in play 76%, over 310 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 33 min after the start | 2 h 09to the end, median over 1,240 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 331 of 381 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 381 | 39.4%150 W · 231 L | +3.0 | +0.01 | 39c | -8.3% | 51 |
The 381 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 5,347 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 381 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2 Inactivelast settled Oct 11, 2026, EDT | $261 | —no start of play | 5 dto the end, median over 65 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03192% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 192% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 5 of 8 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1 | +0.01 | 49c | +8.1% | 50 |
The 8 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 5,347 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 8 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Politics Inactivelast settled Aug 21, 2026, EDT | $14 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 5 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1 | -0.07 | 7c | -100% | 50 |
The 1 picks behind Us Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 5,347 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1 Inactivelast settled Aug 23, 2026, EDT | $268 | —too few: 5 picks | 5 h 25to the end, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1 | -0.02 | 42c | -4.7% | 50 |
The 5 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 5,347 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| China Taiwanlast settled Sep 30, 2026, EDT | $215 | —no start of play | 26 dto the end, median over 45 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.11no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1 | -0.02 | 42c | -33.1% | 50 |
The 5 picks behind China Taiwan are not listed here. This wallet has 5,347 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFL Inactivelast settled Aug 24, 2026, EDT | $708 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2 | -0.08 | 58c | -30.8% | 49 |
The 2 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 5,347 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mlslast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $896 | before 100%in play 0%, over 15 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 49 min before the start | 3 h 06to the end, median over 50 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 14 of 15 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.3 | -0.02 | 62c | -2.4% | 49 |
The 15 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 5,347 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 15 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 15, 2026, EDT | $388 | —too few: 4 picks | 3 h 48to the end, median over 36 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2 | -0.03 | 53c | -22.3% | 49 |
The 6 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,347 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 6 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Golf Inactivelast settled Sep 20, 2026, EDT | $262 | —too few: 5 picks | 2 h 47to the end, median over 17 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2 | -0.04 | 44c | -36.6% | 49 |
The 5 picks behind Golf are not listed here. This wallet has 5,347 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $1,377 | —too few: 2 picks | 9 dto the end, median over 69 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.11no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 12 of 14 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3 | -0.02 | 52c | -14.1% | 49 |
The 14 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 5,347 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 14 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Chesslast settled Sep 27, 2026, EDT | $102 | —no start of play | 7 dto the end, median over 28 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2 | -0.07 | 40c | -57.2% | 49 |
The 3 picks behind Chess are not listed here. This wallet has 5,347 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Midterms Inactivelast settled Sep 16, 2026, EDT | $9,523 | —no start of play | 7 dto the end, median over 348 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 42 of 71 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -0.8 | -0.01 | 42c | -8.1% | 49 |
The 71 picks behind Us Midterms are not listed here. This wallet has 5,347 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 71 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Musiclast settled Oct 12, 2026, EDT | $1,049 | —no start of play | 5 dto the end, median over 96 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 8 of 13 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5 | -0.03 | 50c | -5.8% | 49 |
The 13 picks behind Music are not listed here. This wallet has 5,347 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 13 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricket Inactivelast settled Aug 23, 2026, EDT | $101 | —too few: 3 picks | 3 dto the end, median over 16 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.12no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4 | -0.12 | 45c | -51% | 49 |
The 3 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 5,347 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| World Politicslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $24,206 | —no start of play | 1 dto the end, median over 2,578 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 11 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 211 of 332 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 332 | 48.8%162 W · 170 L | -5.8 | -0.02 | 51c | -14.3% | 48 |
The 332 picks behind World Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 5,347 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 332 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleague Inactivelast settled May 24, 2026, EDT | $42 | —no start of play | 1 dto the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.51no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5 | -0.51 | 51c | -100% | 48 |
The 1 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 5,347 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2 Inactivelast settled Oct 11, 2026, EDT | $116 | —too few: 3 picks | 1 dto the end, median over 30 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.12no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7 | -0.11 | 61c | -22.1% | 48 |
The 6 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 5,347 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 6 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Movieslast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $7,024 | —no start of play | 3 dto the end, median over 482 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 40 of 79 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -2.3 | -0.03 | 47c | -16.6% | 48 |
The 79 picks behind Movies are not listed here. This wallet has 5,347 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 79 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesliga Inactivelast settled Sep 5, 2026, EDT | $163 | —too few: 2 picks | 2 h 27to the end, median over 5 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.37no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7 | -0.35 | 35c | -100% | 47 |
The 2 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 5,347 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| IPOlast settled Oct 1, 2026, EDT | $235 | —no start of play | 7 dto the end, median over 63 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 8 of 13 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1 | -0.08 | 54c | -36.1% | 47 |
The 13 picks behind IPO are not listed here. This wallet has 5,347 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 13 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Middle East Inactivelast settled Oct 2, 2026, EDT | $747 | —no start of play | 10 dto the end, median over 75 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 11 of 17 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4 | -0.08 | 44c | -22% | 46 |
The 17 picks behind Middle East are not listed here. This wallet has 5,347 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 17 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ukrainelast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $965 | —no start of play | 9 dto the end, median over 62 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.23no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 6 of 11 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2 | -0.11 | 39c | -59.9% | 46 |
The 11 picks behind Ukraine are not listed here. This wallet has 5,347 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 11 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| AIlast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $3,949 | —no start of play | 11 dto the end, median over 472 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 24 of 43 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -3.3 | -0.08 | 40c | -43.5% | 45 |
The 43 picks behind AI are not listed here. This wallet has 5,347 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 43 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $153 | —too few: 5 picks | 3 h 06to the end, median over 35 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.31no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6 | -0.31 | 51c | -73.3% | 44 |
The 5 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,347 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 150
- What they are worth now
- $522bought for $1,364
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 27worth $0
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 150, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of 27. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market 0x31c1…e9eebacked outcome 0 | 631.16 | 9c | $0 | Not read yet |
| Market 0x5e4c…0ed2backed outcome 0 | 629.16 | 9c | $0 | Not read yet |
| Market 0x959f…70c3backed outcome 0 | 608 | 9c | $0 | Not read yet |
| Market 0x726c…3abebacked outcome 0 | 576 | 9c | $0 | Not read yet |
| Market 0xe15b…10edbacked outcome 0 | 576 | 9c | $0 | Not read yet |
Do these count towards the record above? 5 are not in the published record at all: TailMyPicks has published nothing about those markets, so they are neither counted nor ruled out. Either we have not read it yet, or nothing anyone held on it was ever scored.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.