Wallet 0x033f…618e
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x033f0346c007323030eb420305ffede19a95618e
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$2,222,539 staked over 3,148 qualified picks in 41 categories, 18 of 41 below 50.
Best category
NFL
$102,606 staked over 143 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.12 per pick.
See the full NFL boardSecond best
MLB
$115,929 staked over 198 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.08 per pick.
See the full MLB boardThird best
NBA
$531,313 staked over 777 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.07 per pick.
See the full NBA boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 3,148 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category41 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 3,148 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFLlast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT | $102,606 | before 25%in play 75%, over 115 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 01 after the start | 4 h 25to the end, median over 325 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1393% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 93% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 61 of 143 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 143 | 66.4%95 W · 48 L | +19.7 | +0.14 | 53c | +36.7% | 63 |
The 143 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 3,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 143 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 15, 2026, EDT | $115,929 | before 64%in play 36%, over 183 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 30 before the start | 1 h 53to the end, median over 668 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0777% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 77% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 134 of 198 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | +16.8 | +0.09 | 43c | +51.4% | 58 |
The 198 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 3,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 198 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $531,313 | before 34%in play 66%, over 740 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 26 min after the start | 4 h 05to the end, median over 2,599 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 65% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 339 of 777 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 777 | 54.8%426 W · 351 L | +59.8 | +0.08 | 47c | +34.8% | 58 |
The 777 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 3,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 777 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHL Inactivelast settled Oct 2, 2026, EDT | $147,349 | before 13%in play 87%, over 177 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 10 after the start | 3 h 34to the end, median over 454 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 56% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 108 of 190 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 190 | 61.6%117 W · 73 L | +15.9 | +0.08 | 53c | +17.5% | 58 |
The 190 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 3,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 190 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $66,701 | before 18%in play 82%, over 92 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 01 after the start | 4 h 24to the end, median over 234 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.07out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 70% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 41 of 92 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +8.6 | +0.09 | 50c | +46.7% | 58 |
The 92 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 3,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 92 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast settled Apr 7, 2026, EDT | $208,304 | before 20%in play 80%, over 274 Ncaa Basketball picks with a start of play; typically bought 25 min after the start | 3 h 53to the end, median over 590 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 56% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 175 of 280 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 280 | 55.4%155 W · 125 L | +22.3 | +0.08 | 47c | +22.4% | 58 |
The 280 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 3,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 280 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Token Launches Inactivelast settled Jan 1, 2026, EST | $210 | —no start of play | 56 dto the end, median over 5 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.39100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0 | +0.39 | 61c | +176.2% | 57 |
The 5 picks behind Token Launches are not listed here. This wallet has 3,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $16,229 | before 20%in play 80%, over 20 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 47 min after the start | 3 h 39to the end, median over 69 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1293% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 93% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 12 of 24 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.0 | +0.13 | 62c | +16.4% | 57 |
The 24 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 24 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mlslast settled Oct 14, 2026, EDT | $79,017 | before 19%in play 81%, over 27 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 25 after the start | 3 h 45to the end, median over 76 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1090% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 90% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 20 of 27 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +3.0 | +0.11 | 44c | +86.8% | 56 |
The 27 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 3,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 27 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie A Inactivelast settled Sep 18, 2026, EDT | $29,667 | —too few: 7 picks | 14 h 06to the end, median over 45 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.14out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 58% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 4 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6 | +0.23 | 34c | +193.6% | 56 |
The 7 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 3,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 7 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Movies Inactivelast settled Apr 14, 2026, EDT | $7,587 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 184 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0690% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 90% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 48 of 71 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +4.7 | +0.07 | 29c | +0.1% | 55 |
The 71 picks behind Movies are not listed here. This wallet has 3,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 71 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2 Inactivelast settled Jun 9, 2026, EDT | $1,912 | —too few: 2 picks | 2 dto the end, median over 13 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1996% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 96% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 6 of 8 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6 | +0.19 | 56c | +30.7% | 55 |
The 8 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 8 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesliga Inactivelast settled Sep 19, 2026, EDT | $2,492 | before 40%in play 60%, over 10 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 28 min after the start | 5 h 04to the end, median over 42 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.10out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 69% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 8 of 11 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6 | +0.14 | 50c | +53.1% | 55 |
The 11 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 3,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 11 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fed Rates Inactivelast settled Apr 29, 2026, EDT | $327 | —no start of play | 11 dto the end, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.3298% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 98% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0 | +0.32 | 68c | +47.8% | 54 |
The 3 picks behind Fed Rates are not listed here. This wallet has 3,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Midterms Inactivelast settled Sep 1, 2026, EDT | $15,695 | —no start of play | 20 dto the end, median over 50 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 63% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 12 of 26 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.5 | +0.06 | 37c | +14.7% | 53 |
The 26 picks behind Us Midterms are not listed here. This wallet has 3,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 26 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ukraine Inactivelast settled Oct 1, 2025, EDT | $100 | —no start of play | 15 dto the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.36103% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 103% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7 | +0.35 | 15c | +129.6% | 53 |
The 2 picks behind Ukraine are not listed here. This wallet has 3,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Golf Inactivelast settled Sep 27, 2026, EDT | $122,620 | before 2%in play 98%, over 202 Golf picks with a start of play; typically bought 43 h 26 after the start | 6 h 20to the end, median over 2,950 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03121% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 121% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 116 of 228 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 228 | 46.5%106 W · 122 L | +5.9 | +0.03 | 44c | +3.4% | 53 |
The 228 picks behind Golf are not listed here. This wallet has 3,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 228 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $100 | —too few: 2 picks | 3 h 21to the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.30100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6 | +0.30 | 20c | +326.2% | 52 |
The 2 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Olympicslast settled Feb 22, 2026, EST | $21,132 | before 2%in play 98%, over 40 Olympics picks with a start of play; typically bought 178 h 49 after the start | 2 dto the end, median over 95 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0393% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 93% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 15 of 46 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.4 | +0.03 | 38c | -11.9% | 52 |
The 46 picks behind Olympics are not listed here. This wallet has 3,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 46 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Earnings Inactivelast settled Jul 30, 2025, EDT | $73 | —no start of play | 17 h 34to the end, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.36100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4 | +0.36 | 64c | +55.1% | 52 |
The 1 picks behind Earnings are not listed here. This wallet has 3,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Middle East Inactivelast settled Sep 21, 2025, EDT | $13 | —no start of play | 19 dto the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.29100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3 | +0.29 | 71c | +40.8% | 51 |
The 1 picks behind Middle East are not listed here. This wallet has 3,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 6, 2026, EDT | $486,768 | before 36%in play 64%, over 656 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 10 min after the start | 2 h 06to the end, median over 1,111 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 29% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 585 of 665 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 665 | 37.6%250 W · 415 L | +5.3 | +0.01 | 37c | -9.4% | 51 |
The 665 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 3,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 665 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricket Inactivelast settled Mar 8, 2026, EDT | $1,677 | —no start of play | 7 h 00to the end, median over 5 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.30340% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 340% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2 | +0.09 | 41c | -30.7% | 51 |
The 2 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 3,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Stocks Inactivelast settled Apr 1, 2026, EDT | $628 | —no start of play | 25 dto the end, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1 | -0.03 | 53c | -7.1% | 50 |
The 2 picks behind Stocks are not listed here. This wallet has 3,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| AI Inactivelast settled Jun 1, 2026, EDT | $1,663 | —no start of play | 28 dto the end, median over 11 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 9 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1 | -0.01 | 45c | -7.4% | 50 |
The 9 picks behind AI are not listed here. This wallet has 3,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 9 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBA Inactivelast settled Sep 24, 2026, EDT | $11,665 | before 43%in play 57%, over 14 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 22 after the start | 1 dto the end, median over 43 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 12 of 15 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5 | -0.03 | 50c | +76.2% | 49 |
The 15 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 3,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 15 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 15, 2026, EDT | $202 | —too few: 4 picks | 5 h 02to the end, median over 13 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4 | -0.08 | 48c | -45.3% | 49 |
The 5 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Macro Indicators Inactivelast settled Feb 1, 2026, EST | $34 | —no start of play | 167 dto the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.33no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3 | -0.33 | 33c | -100% | 49 |
The 1 picks behind Macro Indicators are not listed here. This wallet has 3,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagues Inactivelast settled Oct 12, 2026, EDT | $1,636 | before 60%in play 40%, over 15 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 21 h 44 before the start | 1 dto the end, median over 63 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 7 of 16 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6 | -0.04 | 60c | -15.7% | 48 |
The 16 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 3,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 16 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lol Inactivelast settled Apr 30, 2026, EDT | $125 | —too few: 1 pick | 12 h 24to the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.54no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5 | -0.54 | 54c | -100% | 48 |
The 1 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 3,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Politics Inactivelast settled Jan 1, 2026, EST | $3,203 | —no start of play | 45 dto the end, median over 6 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.16no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6 | -0.13 | 33c | -38.2% | 48 |
The 5 picks behind Us Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 3,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFC Inactivelast settled Sep 26, 2026, EDT | $7,245 | before 50%in play 50%, over 22 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 9 min before the start | 10 h 04to the end, median over 61 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 10 of 23 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.2 | -0.05 | 57c | -12.6% | 47 |
The 23 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 3,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 23 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Music Inactivelast settled Apr 6, 2026, EDT | $2,073 | —no start of play | 6 dto the end, median over 58 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 12 of 19 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.2 | -0.06 | 33c | -49.4% | 47 |
The 19 picks behind Music are not listed here. This wallet has 3,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 19 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1 Inactivelast settled May 17, 2026, EDT | $74,899 | before 25%in play 75%, over 12 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 41 min after the start | 1 dto the end, median over 34 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 7 of 13 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1 | -0.09 | 55c | +476.3% | 47 |
The 13 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 13 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennis Inactivelast settled Sep 29, 2026, EDT | $49,337 | before 40%in play 60%, over 45 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 48 min after the start | 4 h 39to the end, median over 201 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 43 of 64 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -2.7 | -0.04 | 43c | -28.6% | 47 |
The 64 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 3,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 64 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Weather Inactivelast settled Nov 1, 2025, EDT | $557 | —too few: 1 pick | 10 dto the end, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.25no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0 | -0.26 | 26c | -100% | 46 |
The 4 picks behind Weather are not listed here. This wallet has 3,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| World Politics Inactivelast settled Apr 15, 2026, EDT | $2,373 | —no start of play | 10 dto the end, median over 11 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.18no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2 | -0.17 | 45c | -50.5% | 46 |
The 7 picks behind World Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 3,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 7 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| F1last settled Oct 11, 2026, EDT | $40,203 | before 82%in play 18%, over 100 F1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 13 h 32 before the start | 20 h 24to the end, median over 336 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 70 of 103 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -4.8 | -0.05 | 41c | -21.2% | 46 |
The 103 picks behind F1 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 103 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $39,672 | before 25%in play 75%, over 28 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 43 min after the start | 3 h 39to the end, median over 75 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 23 of 30 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.1 | -0.07 | 50c | -14.1% | 46 |
The 30 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 30 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $7,238 | before 11%in play 89%, over 18 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 40 min after the start | 4 h 22to the end, median over 63 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.14no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 15 of 18 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.1 | -0.12 | 45c | -26.3% | 45 |
The 18 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 3,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 18 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleague Inactivelast settled Mar 27, 2026, EDT | $21,968 | —too few: 4 picks | 3 dto the end, median over 10 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.44no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6 | -0.41 | 66c | -68% | 44 |
The 4 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 3,148 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 34
- What they are worth now
- $6,337bought for $5,944
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 2worth $0
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 34, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 2 largest of 2. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market 0x854a…3416backed outcome 0 | 504.22 | 1c | $0 | Not read yet |
| Market 0x71ce…f847backed outcome 0 | 248.99 | 0c | $0 | Not read yet |
Do these count towards the record above? 2 are not in the published record at all: TailMyPicks has published nothing about those markets, so they are neither counted nor ruled out. Either we have not read it yet, or nothing anyone held on it was ever scored.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.