Wallet 0x0362…449e
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x0362bb926368b144e0ff98f6828a251e4cb6449e
Rebuilt .
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked . We read the wallets we follow in rotation; the one we have gone longest without asking about was asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 435
- What they are worth now
- $110,470
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 1
bought for $114,630
worth $100
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 435, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
| Market | Position | Paid | Now | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?backed Yes | 10,000shares | 54c | 57c | $5,750 |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?backed Yes | 10,000shares | 45c | 41c | $4,050 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamotobacked Nothing | 3,000shares | 95c | 96c | $2,891 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?backed No | 2,400shares | 91c | 93c | $2,220 |
| Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?backed No | 1,990shares | 93c | 97c | $1,933 |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?backed No | 1,950shares | 95c | 96c | $1,876 |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?backed No | 1,983shares | 91c | 95c | $1,874 |
| Market 0x02a2…f0a8backed outcome 0 | 2,000shares | 82c | 75c | $1,490 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?backed Yes | 3,000shares | 49c | 47c | $1,418 |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026?backed No | 1,106shares | 94c | 93c | $1,028 |
Paid is Polymarket’s own average price over what the wallet still holds — it is not the entry price TailMyPicks derives for a scored pick, which is the volume-weighted average of the buys on the side it picked. Now is what the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last catalogue refresh. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not resolved and there is nothing yet to be right about.
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 1 largest of 1. These are markets that have already resolved: the money is sitting there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open convictions, which is why they are not in the figures above.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fox (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · resolved | 99.63shares | 94c | $100 | Never scored |
Do these count towards the record above? 1 never will: TailMyPicks scored that market and this wallet’s position on it did not clear the bar — too small, or bought above the price cap, or hedged away.
These figures and the record below never add up. What this wallet is holding on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks has scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways — the record covers markets that have already resolved and been graded, these figures cover money that is still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
Summary
- Qualified picks
- 5,884
- Categories scored
- 54
- Categories below 50
- 30
Best Category: Token Launches, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).
Best Category Token Launches at 57 out of 100; worst Commodities at 37.
What is a Tail Score?
A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.
The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.
The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.
Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.
Record by Category
Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly.
The individual picks are not listed for this wallet. It holds 5,884 qualified picks — more than the 2,000 this page can detail on the request path. The record below is the summary of every one of them, and the JSON endpoint carries the same per-Category figures.
| Category | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT | 427 | 44.5%190 W · 237 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT | 291 | 58.4%170 W · 121 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT | 254 | 38.2%97 W · 157 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT | 226 | 50.9%115 W · 111 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT | 172 | 46.5%80 W · 92 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| World Politicslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| Lollast resolved Aug 11, 2026, EDT | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -7.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| Movieslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| Crypto Milestoneslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 71cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| Earningslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| Macro Indicatorslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| Commoditieslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.6wins | -0.31per pick | 57cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 70cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| F1last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.