TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0370…d000

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
2,850
Categories scored
44
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 61 out of 100; worst Movies at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly.

The individual picks are not listed for this wallet. It holds 2,850 qualified picks — more than the 2,000 this page can detail on the request path. The record below is the summary of every one of them, and the JSON endpoint carries the same per-Category figures.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT94036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT53752.3%281 W · 256 L+2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT28660.1%172 W · 114 L+17.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT23448.7%114 W · 120 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT19964.3%128 W · 71 L+21.6wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+19.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT12052.5%63 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT8355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT7451.4%38 W · 36 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT4660.9%28 W · 18 L+6.2wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+47.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT4259.5%25 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT3542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST2263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-45.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1788.2%15 W · 2 L+4.2wins+0.25per pick64cpaid+61.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+61.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+31.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1291.7%11 W · 1 L+3.6wins+0.30per pick61cpaid+51.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+28.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST120%0 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-35.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+37.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+45.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+40.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-45.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+113%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick14cpaid-55.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+153.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.