TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0642…8c68

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
2,011
Categories scored
33
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 67 out of 100 (+0.15 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 67 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly.

The individual picks are not listed for this wallet. It holds 2,011 qualified picks — more than the 2,000 this page can detail on the request path. The record below is the summary of every one of them, and the JSON endpoint carries the same per-Category figures.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT64358.8%378 W · 265 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLBlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT37048.9%181 W · 189 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT27050%135 W · 135 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT16746.1%77 W · 90 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT13759.9%82 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT8850%44 W · 44 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2last resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT6253.2%33 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT5962.7%37 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3778.4%29 W · 8 L+9.5wins+0.26per pick53cpaid+53.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
UFClast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT3568.6%24 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT2352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-35.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-43.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-71.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+36.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFLlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+51.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.