TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x067f…e041

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
4,397
Categories scored
39
Categories below 50
21

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 59 out of 100; worst Champions League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly.

The individual picks are not listed for this wallet. It holds 4,397 qualified picks — more than the 2,000 this page can detail on the request path. The record below is the summary of every one of them, and the JSON endpoint carries the same per-Category figures.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT93240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT35154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT30139.2%118 W · 183 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST19120.9%40 W · 151 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT18433.7%62 W · 122 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST18435.9%66 W · 118 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT17823%41 W · 137 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST12310.6%13 W · 110 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-39.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT12025%30 W · 90 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT11218.8%21 W · 91 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-34.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT9625%24 W · 72 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST4427.3%12 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT4042.5%17 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT3748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST3636.1%13 W · 23 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+27.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT3420.6%7 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST3228.1%9 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-48.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT2657.7%15 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+30.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST2630.8%8 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick22cpaid+29%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT2330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-49.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Poker Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2025, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick21cpaid-34.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-66.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-35.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.