TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x089e…6e0e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
260
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Champions League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 56 out of 100; worst Serie A at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT9442.6%40 W · 54 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 94 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$26.15
Hawks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$982Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$981.81
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,540Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+31.6%+$802.11
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,997Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+25%+$499.34
Team USA Stars vs. Team USA Stripesbacked Team USA Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,880Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,879.99
WORLD vs. STARS: O/U 81.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Team World vs. Team USA Starsbacked Team World · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,950Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$3,949.99
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+56.3%+$562.5
Wizards vs. Pistonsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+88.7%+$1,152.83
Hornets vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$350
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$350
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$749Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$499.61
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$343.16
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$1,173.91
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$155
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$145
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$399.97
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Nuggets (To Advance)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,316Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,315.75
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,500
NBA Playoffs: Celtics vs. Knicks (To Advance)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 94 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT5642.9%24 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,968Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,967.98
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,286Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+121%+$5,184.79
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,755Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$1,314.84
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.26
Will Sunderland be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$4,266Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$1,782.84
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$392
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+44.9%+$898.63
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,157Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$1,253.42
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$350
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.65
Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.71
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Will Fulham win on 2025-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.75
Will Chelsea win the 2025 UEFA Conference League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Newcastle United finish in the top 4 of EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Nottingham Forest finish in the top 4 of EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,199.37
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$766Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$765.67
Will Crystal Palace win the 2024-25 FA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+474.9%+$474.88
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Chelsea win on 2025-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Will Newcastle win on 2025-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST2860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+25.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$3,500
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$257.58
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$176.69
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+81.7%+$212.4
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$173.73
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+60.5%+$22.68
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,997Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$530.77
Will PSG beat Chelsea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$255.85
Will Raphinha be the top Champions League scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$221.35
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Inter win on 2025-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$135
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$127.07
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Will Inter win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$193.41
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$59.74
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$103.03
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$125
Will Inter win on 2025-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+300%+$180
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$115.38
Will Atalanta advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$255.03
Will the match between Stuttgart and Paris Saint-Germain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$39.11
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 24, 2025, EDT2450%12 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+37.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will The MongolZ win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+525%+$113.45
Will Falcons win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.73
EWC Cs2: Falcons vs. MOUZbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$43
EWC Cs2: HEROIC vs. Aurorabacked HEROIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.3
Will Spirit win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.83
EWC Cs2: FaZe vs. Aurorabacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
EWC Cs2: Spirit vs. HEROICbacked HEROIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+455.6%+$50.11
EWC Cs2: TYLOO vs. Astralisbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
EWC Cs2: Natus Vincere vs. 3DMAXbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+288.8%+$43.32
Will Spirit win the BLAST Bounty 2025 Season tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$97.51
Will Vitality win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$197.96
IEM Cologne: MOUZ vs. FURIAbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$41.66
IEM Cologne: MOUZ vs. Spiritbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$46
IEM Cologne: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs. Natus Vincerebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Will Vitality win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournamentbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
BLAST.tv Austin Major: FURIA vs. paiNbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.65
Will Spirit win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$639.83
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Spirit vs. NAVIbacked NAVI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
BLAST.tv Austin Major: FURIA vs. Virtus.probacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
BLAST.tv Austin Major: The MongolZ vs. Lynn Visionbacked The MongolZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$96.06
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Aurora vs. G2backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Legacy vs. FaZebacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
BLAST.tv Austin Major: The MongolZ vs. Liquidbacked The MongolZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$111.81
BLAST.tv Austin Major: G2 vs. paiNbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
All 24 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$257.67
Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$306.45
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Will Another team win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$53
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$158.82
Will Manchester United win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$223
Will Athletic Bilbao win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$295
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+37%+$59.18
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
UEFA Europa League: Lyon vs. Man United (To Advance)backed Lyon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Will Manchester United win on 2025-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$136
Will Braga beat Maccabi TLV?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2024, EDT+51.5%+$5.31
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,714Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+91.1%+$4,293.86
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.92
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+33.3%+$666.67
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$351.35
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$472Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$418.31
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$149
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,388Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+25%+$346.96
Will Barcelona win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,233Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+191.7%+$4,280.25
Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
All 10 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-62.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-77%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+73.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-11-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+41.9%+$20.95
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,722Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+37.8%+$650.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+100%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,140
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,950Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,050
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2024, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$107.2
Iran strike on Israel before November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+131.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oleksandr Usyk beat Tyson Fury in Ring of Fire?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2024, EDT+131.2%+$261.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Wildbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+100.8%+$1,209.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)backed FC Porto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 7, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will another candidate win the Tunisia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$34.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 650 or more times March 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hernandez vs. Pereirabacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.