TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0905…e5c0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
2,528
Categories scored
33
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: UFC, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 63 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly.

The individual picks are not listed for this wallet. It holds 2,528 qualified picks — more than the 2,000 this page can detail on the request path. The record below is the summary of every one of them, and the JSON endpoint carries the same per-Category figures.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1,66143.5%722 W · 939 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT42434.4%146 W · 278 L-19.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT10244.1%45 W · 57 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST6536.9%24 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT4548.9%22 W · 23 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
WNBAlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT2850%14 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2382.6%19 W · 4 L+5.6wins+0.24per pick58cpaid+65.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT2347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2025, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-53.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Sep 29, 2025, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 22, 2025, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-76.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2024, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2024, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-26.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick70cpaid-65.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
F1 Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-34.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Music Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Space Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Aug 16, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.