TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0944…6771

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
360
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: UFC, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 54 out of 100; worst College Football at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10145.5%46 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 101 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Bruinsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$488.95
Blues vs. Sharksbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Penguins vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$630.33
Bruins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$493.2
Capitals vs. Golden Knightsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$354
Utah vs. Kingsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+102%+$303
Flyers vs. Red Wingsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$346.08
Maple Leafs vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$144.83
Kraken vs. Sabresbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.78
Stars vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$276
Sharks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$334
Wild vs. Bruinsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.03
Senators vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Senators vs. Lightningbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$315
Red Wings vs. Sabresbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$533Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$767
Wild vs. Panthersbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$235.4
Rangers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$498.36
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.08
Capitals vs. Bluesbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$212
Kraken vs. Panthersbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.5
Blue Jackets vs. Flyersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$163.8
Senators vs. Rangersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$270.3
Predators vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.23
Avalanche vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$143
Flyers vs. Sharksbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$405.55
Showing 25 of 101 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST7150.7%36 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$480
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$490
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$920Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+117.4%+$1,080
Spread: Patriots (-4.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+88.7%+$329
Texans vs. Patriots: O/U 41.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$860Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$860
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$354.72
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$224.75
Eagles vs. Bills: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+85.2%+$179.15
Vikings vs. Giants: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$519Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$518.92
Spread: Eagles (-6.5)backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$336
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$540
Spread: Panthers (-2.5)backed Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+104.1%+$510
Spread: Eagles (-11.5)backed Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$53
Spread: Eagles (-12.5)backed Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10.92
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+212.5%+$824.16
Spread: Colts (-4.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$673Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+85.2%+$573.3
Patriots vs. Bengals: O/U 50.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$148.72
Spread: Bills (-3.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$82.68
Spread: Eagles (-2.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+92.3%+$413.54
Spread: Bills (-5.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$288
Texans vs. Titans: O/U 39.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+92.3%+$276.92
Spread: Packers (-7.5)backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+92.3%+$461.54
Rams vs. 49ers: O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+104.1%+$296.95
Giants vs. Bears: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$577Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$576.91
Jaguars vs. Texansbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT5942.4%25 W · 34 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Bulls (-4.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.34
Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$384.29
Spread: Nets (-7.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$367.6
Heat vs. Celtics: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+112.8%+$424
Kings vs. 76ersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$311.25
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$424
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$302.37
Thunder vs. Hornets: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$52.49
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+127.3%+$448
Heat vs. Knicksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$119.33
Grizzlies vs. Knicksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$692Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$692.1
Hornets vs. Heatbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$377
Pistons vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$190
Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$515Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+104.1%+$535.5
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$440
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+104.1%+$408
Timberwolves vs. Knicksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$742Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$742
Timberwolves vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$115.5
Suns vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$430.19
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+96.1%+$166.84
Jazz vs. Celtics: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Heat vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$473Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+58.7%+$277.5
Timberwolves vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$98
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT4944.9%22 W · 27 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$557Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$556.8
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+80.1%+$191.29
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$240
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$195.64
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,032Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,032
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$270
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$276.92
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$384
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$950Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$950
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$288
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$200
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$277.01
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$214.64
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$463Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$462.5
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$650.39
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+100%+$160
Padres vs. Cubsbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$239.98
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.16
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+87.3%+$246.16
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$175
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$845Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$845
Astros vs. Angelsbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$144
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST2714.8%4 W · 23 L-5.0wins-0.19per pick33cpaid-46.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
College Football — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Northern Illinois vs. Toledobacked Northern Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$140
USC vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$199.5
South Carolina vs. Ole Missbacked South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$85
UAB Blazers vs. UConnbacked UAB Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$260
West Virginia vs. Houstonbacked West Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+525%+$672
Army vs. Air Forcebacked Air Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$584Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$584.1
Penn State vs. Ohio Statebacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Louisiana Techbacked Sam Houston Bearkats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Tulane vs. UTSA Roadrunnersbacked UTSA Roadrunners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+128.3%+$112.5
Florida International vs. Missouri Statebacked Florida International · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$418
O/U 50.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$480
Jacksonville State vs. Middle Tennesseebacked Middle Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$585Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$584.54
Tennessee vs. Kentuckybacked Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Texas A&M vs. LSUbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
Boston College vs. Louisvillebacked Boston College · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.24
Texas vs. Mississippi Statebacked Mississippi State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: UConn (-10.5)backed UConn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Akron vs. Buffalobacked Akron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$651Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+368.5%+$2,398.99
Ohio vs. Eastern Michiganbacked Eastern Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$180
Liberty vs. UTEPbacked UTEP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$117.5
Miami vs. Florida Statebacked Florida State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Tulsa vs. Memphisbacked Tulsa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Golden Hurricane vs. Tigers: O/U 55.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$141
Marshall vs. Louisianabacked Marshall · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-45.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucaramanga: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Garrett Johnsbacked Garrett Johns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.92
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$262
Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Valentin Royerbacked Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$196.17
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexandre Muller vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$288.16
Rolex Paris Masters: Jacob Fearnley vs Andrey Rublevbacked Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$105
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Damir Dzumhur vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$127.82
Erste Bank Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+64.7%+$331.55
Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Corentin Moutetbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$88
Swiss Indoors Basel: Jaume Munar vs Ben Sheltonbacked Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$382.73
Erste Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+26.7%+$8.45
Erste Bank Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Corentin Moutetbacked Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$130.94
Swiss Indoors Basel: Jenson Brooksby vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.12
European Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,195Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,195
Japan Women's Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Olga Danilovicbacked Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$220
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.34per pick47cpaid-74%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$583Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$582.93
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-5.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$495.63
Samford Bulldogs vs. Furman Paladinsbacked Samford Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$348.62
Oakland Golden Grizzlies vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodonsbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$221.56
Arizona Wildcats vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$343.1
Le Moyne Dolphins vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knightsbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$198.45
Bowling Green Falcons vs. Western Michigan Broncos: O/U 150.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$177.65
Spread: Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-6.5)backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+108.3%+$416
All 8 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+40.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Oct 15, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick67cpaid+51.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$639Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$261
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$177.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+92.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aces vs. Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$398
Mercury vs. Lynxbacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick70cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Celtic FC win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$71.3
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$280
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Osasuna win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$386.7
Will Sevilla win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$84
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$285
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-09-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$162
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Udinese win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$459Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+107.2%+$491.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München vs. Werder Bremen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winter Games 2026: Lindsey Vonn to medal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$281.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.