TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0a0c…74f9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
183
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: World Politics, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT8250%41 W · 41 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-23.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.73
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$14.72
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.49
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.22
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.56
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$12.96
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.94
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.67
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.5
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.37
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.33
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on June 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$31.44
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$5.16
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.99
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$7
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.73
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+60.9%+$14.1
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.48
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.45
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4235.7%15 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jude Bellingham win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Michael Olise win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Marc Cucurella score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.6
Will Pedri score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$42.68
Will Lamine Yamal score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Burna Boy perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+117.7%+$48.4
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.98
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.3
Will Haissem Hassan score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.69
Will Christian Pulisic score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.88
Will Weston McKennie score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.65
Will Cristiano Ronaldo's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.71
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.97
Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.76
Will Erling Haaland score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+344.3%+$100
Will Egypt be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.18
Will Senegal be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.97
Will Japan be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.85
Will Austria finish second in Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+153.4%+$26.34
Will South Korea be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will South Korea be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.71
Will Colombia finish second in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.58
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.21
Will Croatia be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Chris Wood score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.37
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$12.96
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$83
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.68
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.48
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.05
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+265%+$30.53
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$14.08
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.45
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$16.34
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1500 and 1510?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1490 and 1500?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.15
Will Broadcom Q2 AI revenue be above $11.0B?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$35.54
Will Claude Code Commits hit (LOW) 400.0k by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.25
Will Claude Code Commits hit (LOW) 350.0k by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.98
Will Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $23.5B?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 550.0k by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.35
Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.93
All 18 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 75% and 80%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$13.29
Jung Chung-rae out as DP leader by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.52
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$8.96
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.59
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.69
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$5
All 8 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.42
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$47.51
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+203%+$60.91
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$28.17
All 8 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-63.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+78.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AHL: Toronto Marlies vs. Manitoba Moosebacked Manitoba Moose · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+127.3%+$35.13
AHL: Grand Rapids Griffins vs. Cleveland Monstersbacked Grand Rapids Griffins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$32.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$32.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.