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Wallet 0x0a7e…c00a

Rebuilt .

Best in Dota2744 qualified picks$162,452 staked11 of 22 categories below 50first seen Nov 16, 2025, EST

Score by category

The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.22 categories, best first

Parlays in detail

33-0.15 edge/pickSee the full Parlays board
Qualified picksEvery pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
69
Win rateHow often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
20.3% 14 W · 55 L
vs expectedWins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
-14.1
Realizable edgePer qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
-0.20
Avg entryThe average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
41c
ROI per pickThe average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
-41%
StakedThe money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
$22,796
When it betsWhether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
—no start of play
HoldsHow long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. When it bets says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
—no market to hold
At your priceWhat a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
—no market price
Last settledThe day this wallet’s latest qualified pick in this category settled. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
Oct 26, 2026, EDT

If you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast

Nothing to tail here. This wallet has no qualified Parlays picks that settled in the last 90 days, so there was nothing to put a stake on.

A hypothetical, built only from this wallet’s own qualified Parlays picks. It puts $50 on each one, held to the end, at the price the wallet paid plus the 0c of slippage TailMyPicks adds in its score. It shows what those picks did, not what the next one will do. It is before any fees you pay where you bet.

Parlays picks

SettledTicketResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 26, 2026, EDTGame Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5) AND LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs2 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)53c$35-100%-$35
Oct 25, 2026, EDT49ers vs. Seahawks AND Broncos vs. Chargers: O/U 46.52 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)40c$18-100%-$18
Oct 25, 2026, EDTRaiders vs. Patriots AND Vikings vs. Saints: O/U 37.5 AND Browns vs. Jets: O/U 34.5 AND Bengals vs. Dolphins4 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)43c$20-100%-$20
Oct 25, 2026, EDTEagles vs. Jaguars AND Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs2 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)52c$25-100%-$24.59
Oct 20, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage AND Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage2 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)34c$77-100%-$77
Oct 9, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Alliance vs Sinners (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs AND LoL: ZSK vs Saigon Warriors (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group D AND Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs AND LoL: FENNEL vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group C4 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)20c$30-100%-$30
Oct 8, 2026, EDTLoL: Cupid Esports vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group C AND Golden State Valkyries vs. Los Angeles Sparks AND Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mystics3 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)61c$75-100%-$75
Oct 8, 2026, EDTIndiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx AND Golden State Valkyries vs. Los Angeles Sparks AND Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mystics3 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)48c$75-100%-$75
Oct 8, 2026, EDTLoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B AND LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs Bilibili Gaming Junior (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B2 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)47c$75-100%-$75
Oct 8, 2026, EDTLoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group A AND LoL: Fuego vs EDward Gaming Youth Team (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group A2 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)60c$50-100%-$50
Oct 6, 2026, EDTSpread: Golden State Valkyries (-12.5) AND Spread: Washington Mystics (-13.5)2 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)40c$116-100%-$116
Oct 5, 2026, EDTGiants vs. Rams AND Spread: Atlanta Dream (-2.5)2 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)42c$75-100%-$75
Oct 5, 2026, EDTGiants vs. Rams AND Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Sangal (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group A2 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)45c$30-100%-$30
Oct 4, 2026, EDTPortland Fire vs. Los Angeles Sparks AND Colts vs. Chiefs2 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)62c$75-100%-$75
Oct 4, 2026, EDTJaguars vs. Broncos: O/U 46.5 AND Seahawks vs. Cardinals AND LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffs AND Dolphins vs. 49ers4 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)48c$71-100%-$71
Oct 4, 2026, EDTPanthers vs. Falcons AND Saints vs. Ravens AND Bengals vs. Texans: O/U 40.5 AND Steelers vs. Patriots4 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)47c$71-100%-$71
Oct 3, 2026, EDTLoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs AND LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs2 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)59c$53-100%-$53
Sep 29, 2026, EDTLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds AND Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays AND Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians AND Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates4 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)48c$50-100%-$50
Sep 29, 2026, EDTLoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs AND Lions vs. Bills2 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)39c$62-100%-$62
Sep 29, 2026, EDTLoL: Anubis Gaming vs JSK Esports (BO5) - Arabian League Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: 9INE vs aimclub (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5: Open Qualifier Playoffs AND LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Project Conquerors (BO5) - LFL Promotion Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage AND Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs UPGRADE (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs5 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)66c$50-100%-$50
Sep 27, 2026, EDTLoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffs AND Commanders vs. Eagles AND Dolphins vs. Raiders AND Packers vs. Vikings4 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)58c$50-100%-$50
Sep 27, 2026, EDTBrowns vs. Jaguars AND Falcons vs. Steelers AND Buccaneers vs. Bengals AND Ravens vs. Colts AND Bears vs. Panthers5 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)42c$30-100%-$30
Sep 27, 2026, EDTFalcons vs. Steelers AND Buccaneers vs. Bengals AND Saints vs. Lions AND Ravens vs. Colts AND Bears vs. Panthers5 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)23c$30-100%-$30
Sep 26, 2026, EDTLos Angeles Angels vs. Washington Nationals AND Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins2 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)51c$50-100%-$50
Sep 25, 2026, EDTSeattle Mariners vs. Athletics AND Chicago White Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals2 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)42c$50-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 69 parlays, newest first.A parlay pays a dollar a share only if every leg wins, and its Entry is the price of the whole ticket, market maker’s margin included. That is why most of the Parlays board sits below 50, and why that is normal, not a board full of bad forecasters.
About this page

What is a Tail Score?

A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.

The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry figures of each category tell the two apart.

The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.

Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why this page scores each category on its own rather than as one blended number.

Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.