TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0a87…6548

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Commodities, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 57 out of 100; worst NHL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$202.5
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.3
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.76
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.16
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.04
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$2.86
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.29
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.92
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$50.4
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.16
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$45.05
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+283.1%+$28.82
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-2.5)backed Curaçao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.05
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$18.27
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.44
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.8
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$19
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.5
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.6
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$153
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$400.49
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$676Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+107.1%+$723.98
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.2
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,293Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+59.2%+$765.56
All 9 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+171.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-74.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Suns vs. Mavericksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Trail Blazers vs. Magicbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$32
All 5 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+108.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+55.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+762.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+762.1%+$1,963.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$19.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Georgia Southernbacked Georgia Southern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+72.4%+$14.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+39.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Buccaneers vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+39.9%+$15.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$846Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+30%+$254
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$140
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.