Wallet 0x0ac5…f963
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x0ac5faecf8d623a4a074758aedfea9339b24f963
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$199,309 staked over 5,287 qualified picks in 29 categories, 13 of 29 below 50.
Best category
WNBA
$1,743 staked over 48 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.08 per pick.
See the full WNBA boardSecond best
Bundesliga
$1,135 staked over 36 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.06 per pick.
See the full Bundesliga boardThird best
Fifa International
$1,982 staked over 56 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.06 per pick.
See the full Fifa International boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 5,287 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category29 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 5,287 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WNBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $1,743 | before 29%in play 71%, over 48 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 26 min after the start | 2 h 28to the end, median over 59 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.13112% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 112% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 33 of 48 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +5.6 | +0.12 | 51c | +36.4% | 59 |
The 48 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 5,287 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 48 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $1,135 | before 44%in play 56%, over 36 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 8 min after the start | 4 h 43to the end, median over 71 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1095% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 95% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 22 of 36 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.7 | +0.10 | 48c | +34.5% | 57 |
The 36 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 5,287 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 36 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 7, 2026, EDT | $1,982 | before 41%in play 59%, over 56 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 12 min after the start | 11 h 00to the end, median over 144 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0785% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 85% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 37 of 56 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.8 | +0.09 | 49c | +15.7% | 57 |
The 56 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 5,287 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 56 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $8,383 | before 69%in play 31%, over 198 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 36 min before the start | 4 h 49to the end, median over 383 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0599% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 128 of 198 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +10.7 | +0.05 | 47c | +16.2% | 55 |
The 198 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 5,287 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 198 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $2,735 | before 100%in play 0%, over 65 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 24 h 02 before the start | 1 dto the end, median over 82 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05103% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 103% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 32 of 65 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | +3.2 | +0.05 | 57c | +6.9% | 54 |
The 65 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 5,287 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 65 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $3,712 | before 80%in play 20%, over 143 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 16 before the start | 5 h 46to the end, median over 246 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04111% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 111% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 83 of 143 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | +4.7 | +0.03 | 46c | +10.1% | 53 |
The 143 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,287 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 143 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $38,394 | before 39%in play 61%, over 880 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 8 min after the start | 4 h 56to the end, median over 1,558 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0275% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 75% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 599 of 880 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 880 | 52.8%465 W · 415 L | +20.5 | +0.02 | 51c | +0.5% | 53 |
The 880 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 5,287 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 880 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast settled Apr 7, 2026, EDT | $1,530 | before 0%in play 100%, over 43 Ncaa Basketball picks with a start of play; typically bought 20 min after the start | 4 h 31to the end, median over 87 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 45% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 40 of 43 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.5 | +0.03 | 43c | +8.1% | 52 |
The 43 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 5,287 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 43 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHLlast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $6,096 | before 40%in play 60%, over 151 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 15 min after the start | 5 h 07to the end, median over 212 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0292% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 92% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 96 of 151 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | +3.4 | +0.02 | 49c | +1.9% | 52 |
The 151 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 5,287 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 151 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $33,547 | before 49%in play 51%, over 991 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 min after the start | 6 h 12to the end, median over 2,185 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0186% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 86% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 600 of 994 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 994 | 55.2%549 W · 445 L | +15.8 | +0.02 | 54c | -1.3% | 52 |
The 994 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 5,287 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 994 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 15, 2026, EDT | $4,643 | before 17%in play 83%, over 116 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 39 min after the start | 4 h 53to the end, median over 274 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02101% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 101% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 96 of 117 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +1.9 | +0.02 | 54c | +0.9% | 51 |
The 117 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 5,287 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 117 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $5,094 | before 63%in play 37%, over 185 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 36 min before the start | 4 h 16to the end, median over 317 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0185% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 85% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 104 of 185 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 185 | 46.5%86 W · 99 L | +2.3 | +0.01 | 45c | +3.7% | 51 |
The 185 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,287 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 185 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricketlast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $6,279 | before 63%in play 37%, over 123 Cricket picks with a start of play; typically bought 29 min before the start | 8 h 23to the end, median over 200 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 54% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 60 of 123 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +1.4 | +0.01 | 56c | +2% | 51 |
The 123 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 5,287 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 123 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2last settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $11,416 | before 26%in play 74%, over 177 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 30 min after the start | 4 h 15to the end, median over 255 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 18% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 144 of 177 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +1.4 | +0.01 | 48c | -5.6% | 51 |
The 177 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 5,287 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 177 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mlslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $5,715 | before 54%in play 46%, over 135 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 min before the start | 3 h 14to the end, median over 211 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02480% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 480% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 94 of 135 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | +0.5 | 0.00 | 49c | -6.2% | 50 |
The 135 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 5,287 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 135 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Australian A Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $454 | before 6%in play 94%, over 17 Australian A League picks with a start of play; typically bought 19 min after the start | 3 h 42to the end, median over 37 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.011458% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 1458% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 14 of 17 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0 | 0.00 | 47c | +6.8% | 50 |
The 17 picks behind Australian A League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,287 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 17 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorantlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $9,738 | before 18%in play 82%, over 152 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 21 min after the start | 3 h 42to the end, median over 211 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 117 of 152 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 152 | 48%73 W · 79 L | -0.8 | -0.01 | 49c | -6% | 50 |
The 152 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 5,287 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 152 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $4,395 | before 79%in play 21%, over 146 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 08 before the start | 7 h 36to the end, median over 285 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 77 of 146 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -3.9 | -0.03 | 44c | -2.8% | 47 |
The 146 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 5,287 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 146 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $2,580 | before 70%in play 30%, over 101 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 12 before the start | 4 h 26to the end, median over 178 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 76 of 101 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -4.0 | -0.04 | 46c | -5.6% | 47 |
The 101 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 5,287 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 101 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $15,251 | before 8%in play 92%, over 547 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 08 after the start | 1 h 58to the end, median over 794 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 386 of 547 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 547 | 43.1%236 W · 311 L | -20.2 | -0.04 | 47c | -13% | 46 |
The 547 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 5,287 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 547 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $928 | before 69%in play 31%, over 35 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 53 min before the start | 4 h 29to the end, median over 55 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 21 of 35 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.2 | -0.06 | 46c | -5.3% | 46 |
The 35 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 5,287 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 35 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $4,563 | before 100%in play 0%, over 115 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 17 h 58 before the start | 1 dto the end, median over 139 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 35 of 115 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -5.3 | -0.05 | 49c | -9.9% | 46 |
The 115 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 5,287 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 115 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $2,138 | before 54%in play 46%, over 80 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 16 min before the start | 3 h 57to the end, median over 160 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 62 of 80 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -4.3 | -0.05 | 48c | -8.9% | 45 |
The 80 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,287 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 80 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $2,661 | before 16%in play 84%, over 87 Euroleague picks with a start of play; typically bought 18 min after the start | 4 h 02to the end, median over 156 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 66 of 87 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -5.1 | -0.06 | 44c | -19.1% | 45 |
The 87 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 5,287 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 87 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Boxinglast settled Oct 14, 2026, EDT | $150 | —too few: 4 picks | 3 dto the end, median over 6 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.35no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4 | -0.34 | 59c | -55.4% | 45 |
The 4 picks behind Boxing are not listed here. This wallet has 5,287 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $10,060 | before 77%in play 23%, over 310 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 46 min before the start | 4 h 46to the end, median over 530 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 146 of 310 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 310 | 40.3%125 W · 185 L | -16.6 | -0.05 | 46c | -14.8% | 45 |
The 310 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,287 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 310 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $10,792 | before 29%in play 71%, over 258 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 12 min after the start | 5 h 02to the end, median over 361 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 194 of 258 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 258 | 41.5%107 W · 151 L | -14.4 | -0.06 | 47c | -18.5% | 44 |
The 258 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 5,287 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 258 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFClast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $2,178 | before 93%in play 7%, over 43 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 66 h 19 before the start | 3 dto the end, median over 67 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.11no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 21 of 43 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.9 | -0.12 | 56c | -17.5% | 42 |
The 43 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 5,287 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 43 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie Alast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $1,019 | before 71%in play 29%, over 41 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 22 before the start | 8 h 35to the end, median over 76 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.14no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 21 of 41 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -5.6 | -0.14 | 45c | -31.6% | 41 |
The 41 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 5,287 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 41 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 38
- What they are worth now
- $894bought for $872
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 47worth $1,806
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 38, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Now | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-10-25? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 82.32 | 65c | 100c | $82 |
| Will Vegalta Sendai win on 2026-10-25? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 78.54 | 49c | 100c | $79 |
| Market 0xf82f…dbe7backed outcome 1 | 68.49 | 27c | 100c | $68 |
| Suwon FC vs. Chungnam Asan FC: O/U 2.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Under | 64.47 | 41c | 100c | $64 |
| Cowboys vs. Eagles (opens in a new tab)backed Cowboys | 81.97 | 61c | 68c | $55 |
| Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-10-25? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 107.47 | 41c | 50c | $53 |
| Market 0xff72…63c7backed outcome 1 | 48.39 | 38c | 100c | $48 |
| Matsumoto Yamaga FC vs. Renofa Yamaguchi: O/U 2.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Under | 41.79 | 46c | 100c | $42 |
| Sydney FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 3.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Under | 39.91 | 67c | 100c | $40 |
| Urawa Red Diamonds vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: 1st Half O/U 0.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Under | 37.72 | 53c | 100c | $38 |
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of 47. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market 0xaea4…0b19backed outcome 1 | 342.65 | 51c | $171 | Not read yet |
| Market 0xcb50…e336backed outcome 1 | 269.51 | 51c | $135 | Not read yet |
| Market 0x1bc9…54f8backed outcome 1 | 197.37 | 51c | $99 | Not read yet |
| Market 0x2af2…8088backed outcome 1 | 196.04 | 51c | $98 | Not read yet |
| Market 0x866d…e43cbacked outcome 1 | 196.04 | 51c | $98 | Not read yet |
Do these count towards the record above? 5 are not in the published record at all: TailMyPicks has published nothing about those markets, so they are neither counted nor ruled out. Either we have not read it yet, or nothing anyone held on it was ever scored.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.