Wallet 0x0d42…f124
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x0d42cc5ff0526fbb8f0bb9eafa9ebba3f23df124
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$564,474 staked over 3,592 qualified picks in 52 categories, 34 of 52 below 50.
Best category
Fifa International
$15,999 staked over 102 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.06 per pick.
See the full Fifa International boardSecond best
CS2
$33,917 staked over 223 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.05 per pick.
See the full CS2 boardThird best
Macro Indicators
$2,227 staked over 13 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.04 per pick.
See the full Macro Indicators boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 3,592 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category52 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 3,592 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 7, 2026, EDT | $15,999 | before 72%in play 28%, over 98 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 35 before the start | 5 h 35to the end, median over 141 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 67 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 72% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 59 of 102 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +7.0 | +0.07 | 32c | +22.1% | 56 |
The 102 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 3,592 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 102 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT | $33,917 | before 55%in play 45%, over 217 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 29 min before the start | 4 h 38to the end, median over 257 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 60 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0586% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 86% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 138 of 223 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | +13.5 | +0.06 | 41c | +9.6% | 56 |
The 223 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,592 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 223 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Macro Indicatorslast settled Oct 14, 2026, EDT | $2,227 | —no start of play | 18 dto the end, median over 19 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled | +0.14112% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 112% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 9 of 13 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.6 | +0.13 | 34c | -12.3% | 55 |
The 13 picks behind Macro Indicators are not listed here. This wallet has 3,592 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 13 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast settled Apr 5, 2026, EDT | $15,898 | before 74%in play 26%, over 95 Ncaa Basketball picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 37 before the start | 5 h 36to the end, median over 134 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 14 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0592% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 92% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 54 of 95 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +4.7 | +0.05 | 40c | -3.8% | 54 |
The 95 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 3,592 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 95 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHL Inactivelast settled Sep 22, 2026, EDT | $26,495 | before 62%in play 38%, over 134 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 40 min before the start | 6 h 08to the end, median over 155 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0381% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 81% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 71 of 134 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +5.1 | +0.04 | 45c | +0.3% | 54 |
The 134 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 3,592 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 134 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| F1 Inactivelast settled Oct 4, 2026, EDT | $1,721 | before 94%in play 6%, over 18 F1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 22 h 32 before the start | 1 dto the end, median over 33 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0899% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 18 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.4 | +0.08 | 42c | +40% | 54 |
The 18 picks behind F1 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,592 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 18 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT | $18,106 | before 39%in play 61%, over 94 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 min after the start | 4 h 30to the end, median over 111 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 67 of 94 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | +3.6 | +0.04 | 31c | +1.3% | 53 |
The 94 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,592 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 94 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $2,467 | before 40%in play 60%, over 15 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 8 min after the start | 5 h 35to the end, median over 17 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0584% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 84% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 10 of 17 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1 | +0.06 | 41c | +57.2% | 53 |
The 17 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 3,592 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 17 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFL Inactivelast settled Sep 25, 2026, EDT | $2,775 | —too few: 6 picks | 7 dto the end, median over 52 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05128% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 128% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 17 of 28 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.1 | +0.04 | 28c | -25.1% | 52 |
The 28 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 3,592 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 28 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFC Inactivelast settled Sep 26, 2026, EDT | $2,655 | before 77%in play 23%, over 13 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 18 h 01 before the start | 1 dto the end, median over 13 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0592% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 92% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 13 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7 | +0.05 | 49c | +14.5% | 52 |
The 13 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 3,592 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 13 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleague Inactivelast settled Sep 30, 2026, EDT | $2,748 | before 80%in play 20%, over 15 Euroleague picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 59 before the start | 6 h 52to the end, median over 18 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0596% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 96% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 7 of 15 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.7 | +0.05 | 35c | +2.5% | 52 |
The 15 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 3,592 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 15 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mlslast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $6,398 | before 31%in play 69%, over 51 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 13 min after the start | 5 h 02to the end, median over 57 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 40% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 40 of 51 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.3 | +0.03 | 37c | +20% | 52 |
The 51 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 3,592 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 51 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLB Inactivelast settled Sep 4, 2026, EDT | $21,490 | before 51%in play 49%, over 57 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 0 min before the start | 10 h 51to the end, median over 89 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 14 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 65% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 39 of 78 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +1.7 | +0.02 | 32c | -28.2% | 52 |
The 78 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 3,592 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 78 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricket Inactivelast settled Sep 27, 2026, EDT | $4,189 | before 70%in play 30%, over 20 Cricket picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 18 before the start | 6 h 40to the end, median over 30 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 14 of 20 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.7 | +0.04 | 36c | +5.6% | 52 |
The 20 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 3,592 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 20 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| World Politicslast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $18,690 | —no start of play | 8 dto the end, median over 195 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 42 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 53% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 28 of 114 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 114 | 27.2%31 W · 83 L | +1.5 | +0.01 | 26c | -22.7% | 51 |
The 114 picks behind World Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 3,592 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 114 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT | $35,367 | before 69%in play 31%, over 190 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 11 before the start | 4 h 38to the end, median over 231 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 49 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 105 of 190 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 190 | 35.3%67 W · 123 L | +1.5 | +0.01 | 34c | +3.8% | 51 |
The 190 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 3,592 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 190 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Politics Inactivelast settled Jun 1, 2026, EDT | $5,427 | —no start of play | 21 dto the end, median over 21 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 3 of 15 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.2 | +0.02 | 18c | -43.9% | 51 |
The 15 picks behind Us Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 3,592 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 15 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Musiclast settled Oct 12, 2026, EDT | $10,363 | —no start of play | 6 dto the end, median over 90 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 21 of them sold before the market settled | 0.0087% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 87% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 12 of 39 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +0.1 | 0.00 | 25c | +146.8% | 50 |
The 39 picks behind Music are not listed here. This wallet has 3,592 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 39 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Space Inactivelast settled Jan 1, 2026, EST | $14 | —no start of play | 32 dresells, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0 | -0.02 | 2c | -100% | 50 |
The 1 picks behind Space are not listed here. This wallet has 3,592 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Boxing Inactivelast settled Jul 25, 2026, EDT | $271 | —no start of play | 16 h 35to the end, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1 | -0.04 | 37c | -43.8% | 50 |
The 3 picks behind Boxing are not listed here. This wallet has 3,592 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Venezuelalast settled Jul 1, 2026, EDT | $1,048 | —no start of play | 10 dto the end, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1 | -0.04 | 29c | -60.3% | 49 |
The 4 picks behind Venezuela are not listed here. This wallet has 3,592 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fed Rates Inactivelast settled Jul 1, 2026, EDT | $340 | —no start of play | 14 dto the end, median over 6 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2 | -0.04 | 4c | -100% | 49 |
The 4 picks behind Fed Rates are not listed here. This wallet has 3,592 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagues Inactivelast settled Sep 19, 2026, EDT | $18,177 | before 31%in play 69%, over 98 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 17 min after the start | 4 h 33to the end, median over 119 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 73 of 98 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | -1.0 | -0.01 | 29c | -7.4% | 49 |
The 98 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 3,592 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 98 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Crypto Milestones Inactivelast settled Oct 1, 2026, EDT | $4,657 | —no start of play | 8 dto the end, median over 57 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 10 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 8 of 41 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -0.6 | -0.01 | 14c | +147.3% | 49 |
The 41 picks behind Crypto Milestones are not listed here. This wallet has 3,592 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 41 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Australian A League Inactivelast settled Apr 18, 2026, EDT | $3,129 | before 17%in play 83%, over 18 Australian A League picks with a start of play; typically bought 23 min after the start | 4 h 54to the end, median over 21 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 15 of 18 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6 | -0.03 | 37c | -15.6% | 48 |
The 18 picks behind Australian A League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,592 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 18 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2last settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $10,633 | before 55%in play 45%, over 58 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 19 min before the start | 4 h 23to the end, median over 68 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 20 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 41 of 58 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -1.2 | -0.02 | 35c | -23.2% | 48 |
The 58 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,592 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 58 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesliga Inactivelast settled May 17, 2026, EDT | $12,627 | before 32%in play 68%, over 62 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 min after the start | 4 h 38to the end, median over 78 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 48 of 62 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | -1.5 | -0.02 | 30c | -12% | 48 |
The 62 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 3,592 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 62 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Chess Inactivelast settled Apr 3, 2026, EDT | $214 | —too few: 1 pick | 10 h 28to the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.44no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4 | -0.44 | 44c | -100% | 48 |
The 1 picks behind Chess are not listed here. This wallet has 3,592 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Movieslast settled Oct 5, 2026, EDT | $28,415 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 112 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 24 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 16 of 58 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -1.5 | -0.03 | 21c | -17.1% | 48 |
The 58 picks behind Movies are not listed here. This wallet has 3,592 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 58 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT | $9,019 | before 79%in play 21%, over 57 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 14 before the start | 6 h 49to the end, median over 73 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 34 of 57 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -1.7 | -0.03 | 29c | +39.4% | 48 |
The 57 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,592 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 57 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Liga Inactivelast settled Sep 18, 2026, EDT | $11,609 | before 40%in play 60%, over 72 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 min after the start | 4 h 44to the end, median over 85 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 13 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 43 of 72 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -2.2 | -0.03 | 31c | -12.8% | 48 |
The 72 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 3,592 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 72 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference League Inactivelast settled Aug 20, 2026, EDT | $11,957 | before 48%in play 52%, over 63 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 0 min after the start | 4 h 49to the end, median over 69 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 43 of 63 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -2.0 | -0.03 | 33c | -39.8% | 47 |
The 63 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,592 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 63 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Commodities Inactivelast settled Oct 12, 2026, EDT | $7,179 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 61 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 9 of 42 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -1.6 | -0.04 | 25c | -49.5% | 47 |
The 42 picks behind Commodities are not listed here. This wallet has 3,592 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 42 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tweets Inactivelast settled Sep 14, 2026, EDT | $26,920 | —no start of play | 5 dto the end, median over 173 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 28 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 33 of 124 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 124 | 11.3%14 W · 110 L | -3.7 | -0.03 | 14c | -33.5% | 47 |
The 124 picks behind Tweets are not listed here. This wallet has 3,592 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 124 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian League Inactivelast settled Sep 18, 2026, EDT | $7,900 | before 26%in play 74%, over 58 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 9 min after the start | 4 h 21to the end, median over 69 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 39 of 58 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -2.1 | -0.04 | 33c | -29.3% | 47 |
The 58 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,592 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 58 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lol Inactivelast settled Oct 3, 2026, EDT | $17,695 | before 66%in play 34%, over 130 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 24 before the start | 5 h 57to the end, median over 162 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 58 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 81 of 130 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 130 | 36.2%47 W · 83 L | -4.2 | -0.03 | 39c | -18.5% | 47 |
The 130 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 3,592 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 130 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Golf Inactivelast settled Jul 1, 2026, EDT | $217 | —too few: 1 pick | 2 dto the end, median over 5 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.23no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9 | -0.23 | 23c | -100% | 46 |
The 4 picks behind Golf are not listed here. This wallet has 3,592 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Earnings Inactivelast settled Aug 5, 2026, EDT | $1,093 | —no start of play | 18 h 33to the end, median over 32 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 18 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.4 | -0.08 | 30c | -50.5% | 46 |
The 18 picks behind Earnings are not listed here. This wallet has 3,592 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 18 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Stocks Inactivelast settled Apr 10, 2026, EDT | $2,586 | —no start of play | 1 dto the end, median over 46 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 21 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.5 | -0.07 | 26c | -50.6% | 46 |
The 21 picks behind Stocks are not listed here. This wallet has 3,592 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 21 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagues Inactivelast settled Oct 10, 2026, EDT | $11,090 | before 27%in play 73%, over 67 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 13 min after the start | 5 h 00to the end, median over 76 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 41 of 67 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -3.0 | -0.05 | 31c | -20.3% | 46 |
The 67 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 3,592 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 67 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1 Inactivelast settled Sep 12, 2026, EDT | $2,794 | before 35%in play 65%, over 23 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 min after the start | 4 h 46to the end, median over 29 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 16 of 23 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.6 | -0.07 | 29c | -53.7% | 46 |
The 23 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,592 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 23 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Token Launches Inactivelast settled May 1, 2026, EDT | $1,497 | —no start of play | 1 dto the end, median over 22 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 14 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.3 | -0.09 | 17c | -81.7% | 46 |
The 14 picks behind Token Launches are not listed here. This wallet has 3,592 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 14 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Midtermslast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $755 | —no start of play | 3 dto the end, median over 21 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | -0.12no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 14 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.5 | -0.11 | 25c | -77.8% | 46 |
The 14 picks behind Us Midterms are not listed here. This wallet has 3,592 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 14 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Middle East Inactivelast settled Sep 3, 2026, EDT | $19,646 | —no start of play | 3 dto the end, median over 81 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 22 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 21 of 66 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | -3.6 | -0.06 | 25c | -34.2% | 46 |
The 66 picks behind Middle East are not listed here. This wallet has 3,592 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 66 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Weatherlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $48,500 | before 72%in play 28%, over 703 Weather picks with a start of play; typically bought 8 h 02 before the start | 1 dto the end, median over 1,603 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 106 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 324 of 839 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 839 | 26.2%220 W · 619 L | -38.7 | -0.05 | 31c | -39.5% | 45 |
The 839 picks behind Weather are not listed here. This wallet has 3,592 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 839 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Olympicslast settled Feb 24, 2026, EST | $498 | —too few: 4 picks | 8 h 49to the end, median over 13 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.29no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4 | -0.29 | 29c | -100% | 45 |
The 5 picks behind Olympics are not listed here. This wallet has 3,592 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorant Inactivelast settled Oct 7, 2026, EDT | $6,790 | before 60%in play 40%, over 45 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 53 min before the start | 6 h 39to the end, median over 53 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 10 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 26 of 45 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -3.4 | -0.07 | 43c | -16.9% | 45 |
The 45 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 3,592 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 45 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ukraine Inactivelast settled Sep 29, 2026, EDT | $5,427 | —no start of play | 47 dto the end, median over 42 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 15 of them sold before the market settled | -0.12no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 12 of 32 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -2.9 | -0.09 | 12c | -95.3% | 44 |
The 32 picks behind Ukraine are not listed here. This wallet has 3,592 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 32 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $43,458 | before 72%in play 28%, over 161 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 49 before the start | 10 h 38to the end, median over 209 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 21 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 95 of 176 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | -10.2 | -0.06 | 39c | -10% | 44 |
The 176 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 3,592 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 176 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| AIlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $14,741 | —no start of play | 15 dto the end, median over 105 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 24 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 13 of 62 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -5.0 | -0.08 | 15c | -69.1% | 44 |
The 62 picks behind AI are not listed here. This wallet has 3,592 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 62 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBA Inactivelast settled Sep 23, 2026, EDT | $634 | —too few: 5 picks | 15 h 47to the end, median over 7 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.37no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7 | -0.35 | 55c | -73.3% | 44 |
The 5 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 3,592 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie Alast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $6,018 | before 21%in play 79%, over 48 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 11 min after the start | 5 h 00to the end, median over 57 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled | -0.12no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 39 of 48 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -5.5 | -0.12 | 32c | -53.2% | 42 |
The 48 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 3,592 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 48 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 95
- What they are worth now
- $4,640bought for $5,440
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 0worth $0
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 95, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.