Wallet 0x0eca…c56a
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x0eca22b35c0aacf21e5ecff602489ee239e5c56a
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$580,584 staked over 8,470 qualified picks in 30 categories, 15 of 30 below 50.
Best category
Ncaa Basketball
$2,309 staked over 62 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.13 per pick.
See the full Ncaa Basketball boardSecond best
Ligue 1
$2,711 staked over 48 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.07 per pick.
See the full Ligue 1 boardThird best
Other European Leagues
$4,917 staked over 111 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.07 per pick.
See the full Other European Leagues boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 8,470 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category30 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 8,470 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast settled Apr 4, 2026, EDT | $2,309 | before 0%in play 100%, over 62 Ncaa Basketball picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 22 after the start | 3 h 34to the end, median over 132 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1794% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 94% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 56 of 62 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 62 | 72.6%45 W · 17 L | +10.9 | +0.18 | 55c | +29.2% | 64 |
The 62 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 8,470 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 62 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $2,711 | before 0%in play 100%, over 48 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 22 after the start | 1 h 53to the end, median over 103 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.13125% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 125% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 46 of 48 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +4.9 | +0.10 | 54c | +20.1% | 57 |
The 48 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 8,470 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 48 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $4,917 | before 1%in play 99%, over 111 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 15 after the start | 2 h 53to the end, median over 205 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 21% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 103 of 111 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | +8.9 | +0.08 | 51c | +23.9% | 57 |
The 111 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 8,470 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 111 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $39,526 | before 0%in play 100%, over 638 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 09 after the start | 3 h 04to the end, median over 1,038 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 56% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 605 of 638 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 638 | 54.1%345 W · 293 L | +38.2 | +0.06 | 48c | +3.9% | 56 |
The 638 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 8,470 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 638 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $3,679 | before 0%in play 100%, over 81 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 46 min after the start | 3 h 10to the end, median over 188 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 65% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 79 of 81 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +6.1 | +0.08 | 49c | +1.4% | 56 |
The 81 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 8,470 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 81 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie Alast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $6,819 | before 0%in play 100%, over 86 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 14 after the start | 1 h 44to the end, median over 152 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 68% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 84 of 86 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +5.6 | +0.07 | 53c | +8.6% | 56 |
The 86 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 8,470 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 86 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $5,345 | before 0%in play 100%, over 100 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 19 after the start | 2 h 25to the end, median over 175 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 31% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 99 of 100 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +5.0 | +0.05 | 50c | +11.7% | 54 |
The 100 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 8,470 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 100 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFClast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $8,323 | before 0%in play 100%, over 94 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 54 after the start | 50 minto the end, median over 120 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 53% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 94 of 94 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +4.4 | +0.05 | 43c | -5.9% | 54 |
The 94 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 8,470 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 94 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $8,303 | before 1%in play 99%, over 169 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 18 after the start | 2 h 30to the end, median over 322 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 60% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 166 of 169 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +6.1 | +0.04 | 52c | -2.4% | 54 |
The 169 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 8,470 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 169 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $10,436 | before 0%in play 100%, over 181 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 14 after the start | 2 h 31to the end, median over 307 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 67% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 180 of 181 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | +5.8 | +0.03 | 49c | -2.6% | 53 |
The 181 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 8,470 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 181 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $104,249 | before 5%in play 95%, over 1,128 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 36 after the start | 2 h 15to the end, median over 1,558 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 1,089 of 1,130 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,130 | 51.4%581 W · 549 L | +23.2 | +0.02 | 49c | -0.5% | 52 |
The 1,130 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 8,470 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,130 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Australian A Leaguelast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $43 | —too few: 2 picks | 2 h 40to the end, median over 7 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.35131% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 131% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5 | +0.26 | 74c | +36.6% | 52 |
The 2 picks behind Australian A League are not listed here. This wallet has 8,470 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $18,799 | before 0%in play 100%, over 432 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 37 after the start | 1 h 16to the end, median over 661 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 18% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 328 of 432 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 432 | 53%229 W · 203 L | +8.9 | +0.02 | 51c | -1% | 52 |
The 432 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 8,470 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 432 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $7,975 | before 0%in play 100%, over 175 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 10 after the start | 3 h 11to the end, median over 311 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01126% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 126% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 167 of 175 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 175 | 52.6%92 W · 83 L | +1.7 | +0.01 | 52c | -1.8% | 51 |
The 175 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 8,470 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 175 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleague Inactivelast settled Jun 22, 2026, EDT | $1,412 | before 0%in play 100%, over 28 Euroleague picks with a start of play; typically bought 42 min after the start | 3 h 38to the end, median over 37 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 28 of 28 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.4 | +0.01 | 49c | -5.1% | 51 |
The 28 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 8,470 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 28 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| F1 Inactivelast settled Jul 26, 2026, EDT | $30 | —too few: 2 picks | 6 h 39to the end, median over 9 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0 | -0.01 | 51c | -16.7% | 50 |
The 2 picks behind F1 are not listed here. This wallet has 8,470 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $38,381 | before 2%in play 98%, over 558 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 03 after the start | 4 h 19to the end, median over 833 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 543 of 559 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 559 | 47.4%265 W · 294 L | -0.3 | 0.00 | 47c | -13.1% | 50 |
The 559 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 8,470 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 559 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mlslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $15,093 | before <1%in play >99%, over 288 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 16 after the start | 1 h 32to the end, median over 451 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 278 of 288 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | -0.2 | 0.00 | 50c | -2.1% | 50 |
The 288 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 8,470 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 288 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $22,092 | before 0%in play 100%, over 399 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 51 after the start | 2 h 08to the end, median over 536 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 335 of 399 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -0.6 | 0.00 | 52c | -3.8% | 50 |
The 399 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 8,470 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 399 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2last settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $21,918 | before <1%in play >99%, over 309 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 57 after the start | 3 h 11to the end, median over 414 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 304 of 309 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 309 | 45.3%140 W · 169 L | -2.0 | -0.01 | 46c | -16.4% | 49 |
The 309 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 8,470 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 309 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 7, 2026, EDT | $71,218 | before <1%in play >99%, over 634 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 46 min after the start | 2 h 16to the end, median over 891 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 616 of 634 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 634 | 45.9%291 W · 343 L | -7.2 | -0.01 | 47c | -13.5% | 49 |
The 634 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 8,470 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 634 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fed Rates Inactivelast settled Sep 16, 2026, EDT | $300 | —no start of play | 16 dto the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.44no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4 | -0.44 | 44c | -100% | 48 |
The 1 picks behind Fed Rates are not listed here. This wallet has 8,470 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Oct 10, 2026, EDT | $8,076 | before 0%in play 100%, over 115 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 37 after the start | 1 h 11to the end, median over 162 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 112 of 115 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -2.4 | -0.02 | 49c | -13.3% | 48 |
The 115 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 8,470 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 115 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $11,854 | before 0%in play 100%, over 174 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 08 after the start | 1 h 37to the end, median over 289 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 174 of 176 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -3.8 | -0.02 | 48c | -14.4% | 48 |
The 176 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 8,470 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 176 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $20,028 | before 0%in play 100%, over 360 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 23 after the start | 2 h 45to the end, median over 605 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 350 of 360 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 360 | 45.6%164 W · 196 L | -11.6 | -0.03 | 49c | -13.3% | 47 |
The 360 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 8,470 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 360 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHLlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $26,701 | before <1%in play >99%, over 633 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 09 after the start | 3 h 36to the end, median over 1,177 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 567 of 633 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 633 | 44.2%280 W · 353 L | -20.8 | -0.03 | 48c | -11.5% | 46 |
The 633 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 8,470 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 633 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricket Inactivelast settled Sep 29, 2026, EDT | $18,754 | before 0%in play 100%, over 137 Cricket picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 56 after the start | 4 h 42to the end, median over 169 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 133 of 137 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -5.2 | -0.04 | 49c | -17.1% | 46 |
The 137 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 8,470 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 137 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $56,027 | before 2%in play 98%, over 822 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 23 after the start | 3 h 03to the end, median over 1,201 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 810 of 822 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 822 | 42.7%351 W · 471 L | -30.2 | -0.04 | 46c | -19.3% | 46 |
The 822 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 8,470 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 822 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorantlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $11,747 | before 3%in play 97%, over 197 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 35 after the start | 3 h 12to the end, median over 277 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.11no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 191 of 197 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 197 | 37.6%74 W · 123 L | -11.2 | -0.06 | 43c | -28.2% | 44 |
The 197 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 8,470 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 197 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLB Inactivelast settled Sep 30, 2026, EDT | $33,518 | before 2%in play 98%, over 501 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 24 after the start | 2 h 59to the end, median over 859 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 452 of 501 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 501 | 42.7%214 W · 287 L | -32.4 | -0.06 | 49c | -20.7% | 43 |
The 501 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 8,470 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 501 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 11
- What they are worth now
- $306bought for $282
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 46worth $122
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 11, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Now | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 143.85 | 61c | 54c | $77 |
| Kylie Jenner confirmed pregnant in 2026? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 105 | 67c | 73c | $77 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Under | 97.27 | 60c | 76c | $73 |
| Kylie Jenner confirmed pregnant in 2026? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 65 | 33c | 27c | $18 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 24.3 | 64c | 68c | $17 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Under | 20 | 61c | 64c | $13 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Under | 20 | 46c | 60c | $12 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Over | 40 | 4c | 28c | $11 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 20 | 22c | 32c | $6 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Over | 8.31 | 22c | 25c | $2 |
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of 46. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market 0x1728…c8e0backed outcome 1 | 244.99 | 39c | $122 | Not read yet |
| Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jan-Lennard Struff (opens in a new tab)backed Brandon Nakashima · settled | 665.28 | 38c | $0 | Counted |
| Rome: Danka Kovinic vs Julia Riera (opens in a new tab)backed Danka Kovinic · settled | 390 | 46c | $0 | Counted |
| Quito: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Hernan Casanova (opens in a new tab)backed Felipe Meligeni Alves · settled | 246.73 | 19c | $0 | Counted |
| Patriots vs. Bills: O/U 50.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Under · settled | 221.12 | 41c | $0 | Counted |
Do these count towards the record above? 4 do: the wallet holds a scored pick on those markets, already in the table above. 1 is not in the published record at all: TailMyPicks has published nothing about that market, so it is neither counted nor ruled out. Either we have not read it yet, or nothing anyone held on it was ever scored.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.