TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x11f6…d13e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
36
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 52 out of 100; worst CS2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
WNBAlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rae Burrell: Points O/U 14.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.14
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 159.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$75.34
Shakira Austin: Assists O/U 2.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Washington Mystics vs. Portland Fire: O/U 165.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.28
Portland Fire vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 183.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.28
Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 163.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.77
Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 161.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.28
Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 165.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$47.08
Indiana Fever vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 185.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.15
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 168.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$14.87
Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 178.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.95
New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 172.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$18.39
Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 168.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+100.5%+$50.26
Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 193.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$55.14
All 15 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-54.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: SHIN (-1.5) vs ALKA (+1.5)backed ALKA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.38
Counter-Strike: ex-Sashi Academy vs Noir Verse (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Noir Verse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.88
Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs ENCE (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.46
Counter-Strike: Raccoons vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #1 Play-Inbacked Raccoons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$25.5
Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs SAW Youngsters (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked SAW Youngsters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.13
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Map Handicap: NTR (-1.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (+1.5)backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffsbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$21.85
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.05
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Playoffsbacked Esport Academy Copenhagen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.33
All 10 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+103.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffsbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.26
Game Handicap: EST (-1.5) vs RMD Gaming (+1.5)backed Estral Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$22.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$24.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+52.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Santos Laguna vs. CD Guadalajara: Club Santos Laguna O/U 2.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$52.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rome: Francesca Jones vs Federica Urgesibacked Francesca Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$83
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.