TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1306…c689

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
349
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Boxing, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT15645.5%71 W · 85 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 156 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$383.12
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$188.1
Michael Olise: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. England: England O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$81.58
France vs. England: France 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$142.31
England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$258.18
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Michael Olise: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+300%+$150
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 156 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT6254.8%34 W · 28 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.99
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$48.95
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.65
Julian Alvarez: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.55
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.69
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$114.92
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.92
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$72.57
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$81.92
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.93
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.19
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.43
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.59
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.62
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$46.75
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$49.85
Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+69.7%+$34.85
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT6144.3%27 W · 34 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$50.68
Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.39
Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$57.56
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$88.89
Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.5
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.73
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.89
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.17
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.23
Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42.35
Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$39.83
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$31.27
West Ham United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$35.44
Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+72.4%+$33.31
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+51.5%+$25.76
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$42.59
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+61.9%+$21.68
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Will Tottenham win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$43.17
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: Club Atlético de Madrid O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.97
Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Betis Balompié O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$69.05
Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Sevilla FC O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$89.29
Vinicius Junior: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.94
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.56
Spread: Levante UD (-1.5)backed Levante UD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$21.62
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.75
Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$36.81
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$58.2
Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
Athletic Club vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$62.07
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Will Barcelona beat Atlético Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$33.83
Will Barcelona beat Atletico Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$50
All 23 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.43
Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.13
SC Freiburg vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$45.61
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.47
Aston Villa FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$93.22
RC Celta de Vigo vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.61
AS Roma vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$78.06
Olympique Lyonnais vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$70.94
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$108.26
Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$85
Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$41.63
Will AS Roma win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Tottenham beat Rangers?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will AS Roma beat Braga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Will Manchester United beat Viktoria Plzen?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Will Tottenham beat AS Roma?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST-100%-$20
All 20 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: AS Roma O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$48.77
SS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.13
AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.59
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$29.95
Como 1907 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$134.12
SSC Napoli vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.58
FC Internazionale Milano vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47.4
SS Lazio vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$127
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will AC Milan win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$18.1
All 11 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+53.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Boxing — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.63
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.