TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x13d0…cafa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
220
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 62 out of 100; worst Premier League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT8839.8%35 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 88 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Heat vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11.04
Wizards vs. Kingsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Clippers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Pelicans vs. Pacersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Warriorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hawks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+150%+$30
Jazz vs. Mavericksbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bucks vs. Spursbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Thunder vs. Rocketsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Suns vs. Pistonsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Grizzlies vs. Magicbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Wizards vs. Clippersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+400%+$80
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hawks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+150%+$30
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11.35
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Bulls vs. Rocketsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 88 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5366%35 W · 18 L+8.8wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+40.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+280.1%+$116.17
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$88.4
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
France vs. England: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+147.5%+$59.01
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$69.73
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+146.9%+$58.77
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+241.9%+$96.75
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$77.14
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$12.98
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.3
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+66%+$26.39
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$13.33
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$24.52
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.63
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$14.12
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.67
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+174.4%+$52.33
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+102.2%+$40.88
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST2133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+334.8%+$66.96
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16.63
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$8.59
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+63.9%+$7.67
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+48.1%+$8.66
Will Spain win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT+61.3%+$24.52
Will France win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$30
Will Netherlands win Group D?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Will Germany win Group A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2024, EDT+25%+$19.25
All 21 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+92.3%+$11.08
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15.37
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+25%+$4.33
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+117.4%+$19.96
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25.4
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+44.9%+$6.74
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+25%+$2.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-12.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.6
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+140%+$35
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.35
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$23.1
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$25.65
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick62cpaid+39.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
F1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+49.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Lightningbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Avalanche vs. Panthersbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Avalanche vs. Hurricanesbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+150%+$15
Maple Leafs vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+49.3%+$5.35
All 4 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+518.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+518.1%+$77.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+29.9%+$4.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+28.4%+$8.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Long Beach State Beach vs. UC Irvine Anteatersbacked Long Beach State Beach · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.