TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x13fa…3fac

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
5,187
Categories scored
31
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Mls, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 54 out of 100; worst College Football at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly.

The individual picks are not listed for this wallet. It holds 5,187 qualified picks — more than the 2,000 this page can detail on the request path. The record below is the summary of every one of them, and the JSON endpoint carries the same per-Category figures.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST60728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST47325.4%120 W · 353 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT39936.8%147 W · 252 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST38729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST36630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST36038.6%139 W · 221 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST27726.4%73 W · 204 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT24529.8%73 W · 172 L-0.9wins0.00per pick30cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT24327.2%66 W · 177 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT23932.2%77 W · 162 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT22421%47 W · 177 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST21925.6%56 W · 163 L+0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST20026%52 W · 148 L+0.2wins0.00per pick26cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST17931.8%57 W · 122 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST17329.5%51 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST13821%29 W · 109 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST13417.2%23 W · 111 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST7530.7%23 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST7226.4%19 W · 53 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-12.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST4025%10 W · 30 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST3915.4%6 W · 33 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-39.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST3438.2%13 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick17cpaid-84.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT110%0 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1010%1 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick25cpaid-68.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-31.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2024, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-35.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.