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Wallet 0x1471…b21c

Rebuilt .

Best in College Football134 qualified picks$2,911 staked5 of 9 categories below 50first seen Oct 4, 2026, EDT

Score by category

The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.9 categories, best first

Tennis in detail

51+0.01 edge/pickout of reachSee the full Tennis board
Qualified picksEvery pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
58
Win rateHow often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
27.6% 16 W · 42 L
vs expectedWins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
+0.9
Realizable edgePer qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
+0.02
Avg entryThe average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
26c
ROI per pickThe average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
-11.8%
StakedThe money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
$1,310
When it betsWhether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
before 0%in play 100%, over 58 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 00 after the start
HoldsHow long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. When it bets says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
1 h 00to the end, median over 95 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 37 of them sold before the market settled
At your priceWhat a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
-0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 54 of 58 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)
Last settledThe day this wallet’s latest qualified pick in this category settled. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
Oct 29, 2026, EDT

If you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast

You’d be -$340.8 tailing 58 Tennis picks (16 W · 42 L) at $50 each: -11.8% per pick.

A hypothetical, built only from this wallet’s own qualified Tennis picks. It puts $50 on each one, held to the end, at the price the wallet paid plus the 0c of slippage TailMyPicks adds in its score. It shows what those picks did, not what the next one will do. It is before any fees you pay where you bet.

Tennis picks

SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 29, 2026, EDTSwiss Indoors Basel: Ben Shelton vs Jerome Kymon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Ben SheltonLost (open this pick on its own page)34c$15-100%-$15.01
Oct 29, 2026, EDTSwiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Jan-Lennard Struffon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Novak DjokovicLost (open this pick on its own page)64c$28-100%-$27.88
Oct 29, 2026, EDTSet 1 Winner: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos Alcarazon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Nikoloz BasilashviliLost (open this pick on its own page)20c$10-100%-$10
Oct 29, 2026, EDTSwiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael Jodaron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Valentin VacherotWon (open this pick on its own page)18c$27+444.8%+$120.1
Oct 28, 2026, EDTSwiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Holger Runeon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Holger RuneWon (open this pick on its own page)39c$20+156.4%+$31.28
Oct 28, 2026, EDTErste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarinoon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Adrian MannarinoWon (open this pick on its own page)47c$14+112.8%+$15.79
Oct 28, 2026, EDTErste Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Brandon Nakashimaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Tallon GriekspoorWon (open this pick on its own page)42c$19+138.1%+$26.24
Oct 28, 2026, EDTErste Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedevon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Daniel Merida AguilarLost (open this pick on its own page)21c$19-100%-$19.28
Oct 28, 2026, EDTSwiss Indoors Basel: Yannick Hanfmann vs Jan-Lennard Struffon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Yannick HanfmannLost (open this pick on its own page)19c$14-100%-$14
Oct 28, 2026, EDTSet 1 Winner: Han Shi vs Dayana Yastremskaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Han ShiWon (open this pick on its own page)37c$20+170.3%+$34.05
Oct 27, 2026, EDTErste Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Martin Landaluceon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Martin LandaluceLost (open this pick on its own page)10c$41-100%-$41
Oct 27, 2026, EDTSet 2 Winner: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcarazon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Karen KhachanovLost (open this pick on its own page)27c$15-100%-$14.55
Oct 27, 2026, EDTSet 1 Winner: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcarazon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Carlos AlcarazWon (open this pick on its own page)32c$18+211.7%+$37.11
Oct 27, 2026, EDTSwiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Zizou Bergson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Hubert HurkaczWon (open this pick on its own page)31c$13+222.6%+$28.94
Oct 27, 2026, EDTGuangzhou Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Claire Liuon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Antonia RuzicLost (open this pick on its own page)31c$28-100%-$28.14
Oct 27, 2026, EDTPan Pacific Open: Naomi Osaka vs Jasmine Paolinion Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Jasmine PaoliniLost (open this pick on its own page)17c$15-100%-$15
Oct 27, 2026, EDTPan Pacific Open: Tereza Valentova vs Mia Pohankovaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Tereza ValentovaLost (open this pick on its own page)26c$33-100%-$32.73
Oct 26, 2026, EDTSwiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Quentin Halyson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Holger RuneWon (open this pick on its own page)31c$13+222.6%+$28.94
Oct 24, 2026, EDTAlmaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Stefanos Tsitsipason Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Stefanos TsitsipasLost (open this pick on its own page)33c$13-100%-$13.2
Oct 23, 2026, EDTAlmaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Terence Atmaneon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Terence AtmaneLost (open this pick on its own page)9c$22-100%-$22
Oct 20, 2026, EDTLyon Open: Ugo Humbert vs Corentin Mouteton Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Corentin MoutetWon (open this pick on its own page)39c$32+157.6%+$50.42
Oct 20, 2026, EDTSet 2 Winner: Ugo Humbert vs Corentin Mouteton Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Corentin MoutetLost (open this pick on its own page)43c$13-100%-$13
Oct 20, 2026, EDTEuropean Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Marcos Gironon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Marcos GironLost (open this pick on its own page)26c$56-100%-$56.46
Oct 20, 2026, EDTLyon Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Sebastian Baezon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Sebastian BaezLost (open this pick on its own page)24c$28-100%-$28
Oct 20, 2026, EDTAlmaty Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Aleksandar Kovacevicon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Aleksandar KovacevicLost (open this pick on its own page)10c$43-100%-$43
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
About this page

What is a Tail Score?

A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.

The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry figures of each category tell the two apart.

The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.

Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why this page scores each category on its own rather than as one blended number.

Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.