TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x14e4…eabb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
3,986
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Tennis, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 58 out of 100; worst Champions League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly.

The individual picks are not listed for this wallet. It holds 3,986 qualified picks — more than the 2,000 this page can detail on the request path. The record below is the summary of every one of them, and the JSON endpoint carries the same per-Category figures.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT93145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT58652.9%310 W · 276 L+23.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT56553.6%303 W · 262 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT50949.5%252 W · 257 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT43353.6%232 W · 201 L+32.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT19344%85 W · 108 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT15747.8%75 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT7657.9%44 W · 32 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT6355.6%35 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT5554.5%30 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT5538.2%21 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT5052%26 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT4957.1%28 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT4355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT4254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT3737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT3063.3%19 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+27.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-28.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT2540%10 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.