TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1556…b722

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
357
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Lol, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 56 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT29639.5%117 W · 179 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 296 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$208.16
France vs. England: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+142.8%+$314.25
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
France vs. England: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$362.08
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$244.44
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+130.5%+$587.04
England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$616Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$616
England vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$283.36
Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+325.5%+$41.83
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$698Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$1,138.84
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
France vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,866Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,865.6
France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$510
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+241.9%+$72.56
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$505
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+292.2%+$87.65
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 296 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT3154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+27.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$765Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+42%+$321.2
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+119.3%+$775.34
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)backed LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)backed LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$70.91
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 4 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$170.27
Game Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)backed LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$94.12
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)backed LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$156.41
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$233.33
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$38.82
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+1.5)backed LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-40.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$539.99
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$796.77
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.47
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,126.66
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,007Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,007
FC Seoul vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Ulsan HD FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Ulsan HD FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$709.43
Ulsan HD FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+103.2%+$34.06
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,183Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,388.47
All 16 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlético San Luis vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+117.5%+$235.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Astana FK vs. FC Dinamo City: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,478Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+94.9%+$1,402.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
American vs. National: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,443Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,442.56
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.