TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x164c…3e39

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,281
Categories scored
37
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 60 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1,03451.3%530 W · 504 L+69.5wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Weather — the 1,034 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$9.96
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.45
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.48
Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+211.3%+$116.71
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+94.4%+$36.24
Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.25
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+142.1%+$407.76
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.48
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$76.51
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+39%+$87.5
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+58%+$23.22
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+88.4%+$27.33
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+60.8%+$77.68
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.33
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.02
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.41
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+61%+$68.29
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+258.1%+$26.6
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.77
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$7.67
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.86
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$406Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$105.77
Showing 25 of 1,034 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT4165.9%27 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+87.4%+$14.16
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+334.8%+$34.65
FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+69.5%+$8.2
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$14.8
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Galatasaray SK vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+49.3%+$7.14
Sporting CP vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Qairat FK vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.7
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+122.2%+$22
FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$11
FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Qairat FK vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+63.8%+$21.73
Will RB Salzburg win on 2025-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.6
Will Chelsea beat Fluminense in regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Will PSG beat Bayern Munich in regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$15
FIFA Club World Cup: Palmeiras vs. Chelsea (To Advance) backed Chelsea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
FIFA Club World Cup: Real Madrid vs. Juventus (To Advance) backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Real Madrid vs. Juventus: 3+ Goals Scored? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$23.49
FIFA Club World Cup: Flamengo vs. Bayern Munich (To Advance)backed Bayern Munich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$5.83
PSG vs. Inter Miami: 4+ Goals Scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.81
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST3161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+85.2%+$16.56
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.22
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+354.5%+$39
Liverpool FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Liverpool FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20.1
Leicester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$12.51
Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+138.1%+$30.16
Manchester City FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+85.2%+$11.5
Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10.12
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$29.2
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$14.1
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$8.7
Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$35.1
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+37%+$6.65
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+96.1%+$15.37
Arsenal FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$18.6
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+75.4%+$20.31
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$16.8
Manchester City vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+60.9%+$39.88
Aston Villa vs. Arsenal: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5
Will Crystal Palace vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.74
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will Chelsea vs. Brighton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$64
Will Chelsea vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+40.9%+$9.66
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$64.79
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT2128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+42.9%+$15
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.58
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$11.66
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+455.6%+$82
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$46.77
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$14.88
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+60%+$7.56
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$26.2
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.3
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.81
Will Elon tweet 420–449 times August 8–August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 25–August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.4
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 25–August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$27.2
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 25–August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+182.2%+$27.21
Will Elon tweet 130–144 times June 20–27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
All 21 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1513.3%2 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick36cpaid-69.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$43.28
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$11.21
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$97.58
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+60.4%+$15.8
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$149.03
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$59.4
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.08
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$126.12
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$64
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.51
Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.87
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$98.32
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$70.19
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+37%+$5.55
Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+38.3%+$9.82
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.6
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+75%+$184.32
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.31per pick24cpaid+122.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Putin not meet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$72
Will Putin visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.57
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+506.1%+$333.98
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$43.5
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+233.3%+$35
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+270.4%+$434.35
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$111.79
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$21.3
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+261.9%+$173
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+320.4%+$172.38
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$16.2
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed IR Iran · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Spread: Spain (-4.5)backed Saudi Arabia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$19.2
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.1
Brazil vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
Spread: United States (-2.5)backed Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.75
Will Croatia beat Czechia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$14.08
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Girona FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.49
Real Betis Balompié vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
Real Betis Balompié vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+49.3%+$19.7
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$19.8
Villarreal CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+185.7%+$29.71
Will Osasuna win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+75.4%+$17.2
Espanyol vs. Rayo Vallecano: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.5
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will Espanyol vs. Valencia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-43.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+85.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+81.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+133%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-57.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+70.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-68.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 10, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+71.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Marlins vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$16.85
Reds vs. Cubsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$10.37
Rangers vs. Padresbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+30.4%+$14
All 3 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 13, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+25.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liberty vs Sparksbacked Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Sunday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT+38.2%+$8.34
Lynx vs Libertybacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$23.75
All 3 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+44.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+235.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Spanish" be said at the Super Bowl?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+404.3%+$86.86
Giants vs. Bills backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+66.2%+$10.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Grizzliesbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+108.3%+$26
Bulls vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+85.2%+$34.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
São Paulo FC vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+65.8%+$14.93
EC Vitória vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+33.3%+$8.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-18.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$12.2
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tria FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+163.2%+$35.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grand Canyon Antelopes vs. San Diego State Aztecsbacked Grand Canyon Antelopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+75.4%+$9.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Transylvania Open: Yue Yuan vs Sara Sorribes Tormobacked Yuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+69.5%+$8.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+46.9%+$6.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Yadong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.