Wallet 0x1733…1e15
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x17338df30635b5dd167ebf78428775c6c7ac1e15
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$1,740,124 staked over 5,065 qualified picks in 35 categories, 20 of 35 below 50.
Best category
UFC
$48,672 staked over 55 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.14 per pick.
See the full UFC boardSecond best
Serie A
$8,225 staked over 35 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.11 per pick.
See the full Serie A boardThird best
CS2
$31,454 staked over 208 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.08 per pick.
See the full CS2 boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 5,065 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category35 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 5,065 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFClast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $48,672 | before 96%in play 4%, over 55 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 102 h 57 before the start | 5 dto the end, median over 64 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.20100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 24 of 55 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 55 | 80%44 W · 11 L | +10.9 | +0.20 | 60c | +41.7% | 65 |
The 55 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 5,065 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 55 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie Alast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $8,225 | before 100%in play 0%, over 35 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 11 h 36 before the start | 16 h 18to the end, median over 37 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.19100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 4 of 35 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +6.5 | +0.19 | 56c | +39.1% | 62 |
The 35 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 5,065 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 35 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $31,454 | before 100%in play 0%, over 208 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 56 before the start | 11 h 58to the end, median over 218 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0998% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 98% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 89 of 208 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +19.1 | +0.09 | 51c | +20.8% | 59 |
The 208 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 5,065 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 208 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $4,299 | before 100%in play 0%, over 35 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 13 h 06 before the start | 20 h 21to the end, median over 38 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.10100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 12 of 35 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.6 | +0.10 | 58c | +26.9% | 57 |
The 35 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,065 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 35 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Football Inactivelast settled Jan 20, 2026, EST | $35,933 | before 98%in play 2%, over 87 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 14 h 15 before the start | 20 h 37to the end, median over 87 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05101% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 101% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 21 of 87 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +3.9 | +0.04 | 48c | +9.9% | 54 |
The 87 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 5,065 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 87 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $15,782 | before 100%in play 0%, over 63 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 8 h 40 before the start | 12 h 52to the end, median over 69 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0597% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 97% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 21 of 63 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +3.0 | +0.05 | 59c | +12.6% | 54 |
The 63 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 5,065 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 63 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian League Inactivelast settled May 24, 2026, EDT | $323 | —too few: 5 picks | 2 dto the end, median over 11 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.2097% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 97% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0 | +0.20 | 60c | +42.8% | 54 |
The 5 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,065 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mls Inactivelast settled Aug 20, 2026, EDT | $917 | —too few: 9 picks | 14 h 57to the end, median over 11 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.13100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 5 of 9 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1 | +0.13 | 54c | +24.6% | 54 |
The 9 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 5,065 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 9 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $295,923 | before 98%in play 2%, over 804 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 8 h 39 before the start | 13 h 24to the end, median over 838 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0399% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 362 of 804 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 804 | 53.2%428 W · 376 L | +23.9 | +0.03 | 50c | +5.1% | 53 |
The 804 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 5,065 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 804 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleaguelast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $22,660 | before 100%in play 0%, over 75 Euroleague picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 57 before the start | 11 h 37to the end, median over 78 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0499% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 33 of 75 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +2.9 | +0.04 | 53c | +9% | 53 |
The 75 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 5,065 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 75 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fed Rates Inactivelast settled Oct 29, 2025, EDT | $197 | —no start of play | 23 h 31to the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.3598% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 98% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7 | +0.36 | 64c | +58.7% | 53 |
The 2 picks behind Fed Rates are not listed here. This wallet has 5,065 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lol Inactivelast settled Oct 13, 2026, EDT | $31,520 | before 100%in play 0%, over 156 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 11 h 35 before the start | 17 h 51to the end, median over 168 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0399% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 53 of 156 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 156 | 57.1%89 W · 67 L | +4.6 | +0.03 | 54c | +1.7% | 53 |
The 156 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 5,065 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 156 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Boxing Inactivelast settled Jul 25, 2026, EDT | $745 | —no start of play | 1 dto the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.2598% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 98% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5 | +0.25 | 75c | +34.4% | 52 |
The 2 picks behind Boxing are not listed here. This wallet has 5,065 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Middle East Inactivelast settled Jul 2, 2026, EDT | $55 | —no start of play | 5 dto the end, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.35100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4 | +0.35 | 65c | +53.8% | 51 |
The 1 picks behind Middle East are not listed here. This wallet has 5,065 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHLlast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT | $187,722 | before 100%in play 0%, over 532 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 13 h 34 before the start | 19 h 30to the end, median over 534 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00178% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 178% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 221 of 532 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 532 | 50.8%270 W · 262 L | +0.5 | 0.00 | 51c | +2% | 50 |
The 532 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 5,065 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 532 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagues Inactivelast settled Aug 17, 2026, EDT | $483 | —too few: 9 picks | 2 dto the end, median over 10 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 9 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0 | 0.00 | 56c | +16.6% | 50 |
The 9 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 5,065 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 9 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| World Politics Inactivelast settled Jul 1, 2026, EDT | $107 | —no start of play | 5 dto the end, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.21no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2 | -0.21 | 21c | -100% | 49 |
The 1 picks behind World Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 5,065 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Commodities Inactivelast settled Jul 21, 2026, EDT | $648 | —no start of play | 10 dto the end, median over 10 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3 | -0.05 | 38c | -56.7% | 49 |
The 6 picks behind Commodities are not listed here. This wallet has 5,065 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 6 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Australian A League Inactivelast settled Apr 18, 2026, EDT | $18 | —too few: 1 pick | 6 dto the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.32no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3 | -0.32 | 32c | -100% | 49 |
The 1 picks behind Australian A League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,065 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorantlast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $9,359 | before 100%in play 0%, over 55 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 11 h 32 before the start | 19 h 10to the end, median over 61 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 22 of 55 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -1.1 | -0.02 | 53c | -5.3% | 49 |
The 55 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 5,065 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 55 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast settled Apr 4, 2026, EDT | $301,279 | before >99%in play <1%, over 1,231 Ncaa Basketball picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 51 before the start | 9 h 32to the end, median over 1,253 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 554 of 1,231 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6 | -0.01 | 48c | -2.8% | 48 |
The 1,231 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 5,065 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,231 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricket Inactivelast settled May 3, 2026, EDT | $430 | —too few: 3 picks | 10 h 42to the end, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.14no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4 | -0.15 | 48c | -41.5% | 48 |
The 3 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 5,065 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBA Inactivelast settled Aug 22, 2026, EDT | $1,493 | —too few: 9 picks | 14 h 53to the end, median over 9 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 9 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6 | -0.07 | 51c | -10.2% | 48 |
The 9 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 5,065 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 9 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBA Inactivelast settled Jun 13, 2026, EDT | $553,394 | before 98%in play 2%, over 1,171 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 12 h 13 before the start | 17 h 16to the end, median over 1,193 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 632 of 1,172 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,172 | 47.8%560 W · 612 L | -21.3 | -0.02 | 50c | -3.9% | 48 |
The 1,172 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 5,065 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,172 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesliga Inactivelast settled May 9, 2026, EDT | $1,215 | —too few: 7 picks | 2 dto the end, median over 7 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6 | -0.09 | 52c | -36.6% | 48 |
The 7 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 5,065 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 7 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Politics Inactivelast settled Oct 29, 2025, EDT | $706 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.59no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6 | -0.59 | 59c | -100% | 47 |
The 1 picks behind Us Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 5,065 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions League Inactivelast settled Jul 14, 2026, EDT | $1,704 | before 100%in play 0%, over 10 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 26 h 13 before the start | 1 dto the end, median over 12 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 6 of 10 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9 | -0.09 | 59c | -10.8% | 47 |
The 10 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,065 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 10 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $103,066 | before 99%in play 1%, over 211 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 17 h 13 before the start | 23 h 07to the end, median over 212 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 46 of 211 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -6.7 | -0.03 | 48c | -5.3% | 47 |
The 211 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 5,065 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 211 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| China Taiwan Inactivelast settled Oct 30, 2025, EDT | $452 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.75no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8 | -0.75 | 75c | -100% | 47 |
The 1 picks behind China Taiwan are not listed here. This wallet has 5,065 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLB Inactivelast settled Sep 22, 2026, EDT | $25,859 | before 100%in play 0%, over 95 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 9 h 57 before the start | 14 h 36to the end, median over 96 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 40 of 95 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -3.9 | -0.04 | 51c | -8.5% | 46 |
The 95 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 5,065 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 95 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $7,538 | before 100%in play 0%, over 40 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 29 h 16 before the start | 2 dto the end, median over 40 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 19 of 40 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.6 | -0.09 | 51c | -21.2% | 44 |
The 40 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 5,065 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 40 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference League Inactivelast settled Aug 13, 2026, EDT | $1,676 | before 100%in play 0%, over 11 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 24 h 13 before the start | 1 dto the end, median over 14 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.21no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 11 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3 | -0.21 | 49c | -43.9% | 43 |
The 11 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,065 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 11 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1 Inactivelast settled Sep 13, 2026, EDT | $3,163 | before 100%in play 0%, over 11 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 19 h 40 before the start | 21 h 18to the end, median over 13 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.22no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 11 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4 | -0.22 | 58c | -39.8% | 43 |
The 11 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 5,065 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 11 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 4, 2026, EDT | $42,398 | before 100%in play 0%, over 111 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 12 h 20 before the start | 14 h 01to the end, median over 149 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 69 of 114 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | -10.3 | -0.09 | 49c | -26.4% | 42 |
The 114 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 5,065 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 114 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagueslast settled Oct 15, 2026, EDT | $711 | —too few: 8 picks | 5 h 58to the end, median over 11 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.46no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 8 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.7 | -0.46 | 58c | -83.1% | 38 |
The 8 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 5,065 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 8 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 24
- What they are worth now
- $12,410bought for $11,544
- Settled, not yet cashed
- at least 50worth $0
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 24, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of at least 50 (we keep the 50 biggest per wallet, so a wallet at exactly that number is holding more than we counted). These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguars vs. Colts: O/U 48.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Over · settled | 3,745 | 51c | $0 | Counted |
| Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev (opens in a new tab)backed Zverev · settled | 2,066 | 17c | $0 | Counted |
| Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Over · settled | 1,372 | 45c | $0 | Counted |
| Oakland Golden Grizzlies vs. Milwaukee Panthers (opens in a new tab)backed Milwaukee Panthers · settled | 1,244 | 41c | $0 | Counted |
| Lightning vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Over · settled | 1,091 | 55c | $0 | Counted |
Do these count towards the record above? 5 do: the wallet holds a scored pick on those markets, already in the table above.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.