TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x18a2…eea0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.04
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic - Map 2 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic - Map 1 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+102.2%+$20.44
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$38.32
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.71
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs GenOne - Map 1 Winnerbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Fake do Biru - Map 2 Winnerbacked Isurus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$40.86
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$37.14
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs MIBR Academy - Map 1 Winnerbacked MIBR Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Isurus - Map 1 Winnerbacked Isurus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs paiN Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+116.7%+$23.35
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd - Map 1 Winnerbacked Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Playoffsbacked MIBR Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs MIBR Academy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Bounty Hunters Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+61.3%+$15.33
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+190.9%+$28.48
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+181.2%+$180.84
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+92.3%+$21.12
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+64.3%+$38.48
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Solary vs Vitality.Bee (BO3) - LFL Playoffsbacked Vitality.Bee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
LoL: VfB eSports vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked VfB eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.56
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+98.8%+$35.29
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.5
LoL: VfB eSports vs Eintracht Spandau (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked VfB eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Team Orange Gaming (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Team Orange Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$29.17
All 10 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: GIANTX vs Fnatic - Map 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Valorant: Joblife vs Pcific Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Pcific Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.95
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$27.06
Valorant: Team Heretics vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+165%+$157.01
Valorant: Team Heretics vs BBL Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.2
Valorant: Team Solid vs 2GAME Esports (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Playoffsbacked 2GAME Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+78%+$25.08
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-43.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dan Ndoye: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$14.58
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$39.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+96.9%+$24.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$21.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$14.69
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.