Wallet 0x1b0f…b7ae
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x1b0fcd4c06147cb090681b4bd59cab5b9319b7ae
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$397,832 staked over 5,168 qualified picks in 33 categories, 16 of 33 below 50.
Best category
Europa Conference League
$7,048 staked over 121 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.09 per pick.
See the full Europa Conference League boardSecond best
Dota2
$388 staked over 14 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.07 per pick.
See the full Dota2 boardThird best
World Politics
$9,384 staked over 8 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.07 per pick.
See the full World Politics boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 5,168 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category33 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 5,168 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $7,048 | before 83%in play 17%, over 121 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 12 before the start | 5 h 41to the end, median over 148 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | +0.12101% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 101% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 62 of 121 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +13.8 | +0.11 | 35c | +36.7% | 61 |
The 121 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,168 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 121 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2last settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $388 | before 14%in play 86%, over 14 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 29 min after the start | 2 h 35to the end, median over 28 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1893% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 93% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 12 of 14 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.6 | +0.19 | 45c | +35.3% | 58 |
The 14 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 5,168 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 14 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| World Politicslast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT | $9,384 | —no start of play | 2 dresells, median over 12 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled | +0.31113% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 113% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 6 of 8 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.2 | +0.27 | 35c | +52.8% | 57 |
The 8 picks behind World Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 5,168 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 8 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $3,360 | before 55%in play 45%, over 60 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 22 min before the start | 3 h 03to the end, median over 109 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 53 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0788% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 88% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 55 of 60 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.8 | +0.08 | 49c | +23% | 56 |
The 60 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 5,168 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 60 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 6, 2026, EDT | $5,502 | before 82%in play 18%, over 103 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 19 before the start | 4 h 48to the end, median over 162 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 26 of them sold before the market settled | +0.06102% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 102% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 89 of 105 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +6.3 | +0.06 | 41c | +14.2% | 55 |
The 105 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 5,168 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 105 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $103,064 | before 63%in play 37%, over 1,095 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 55 min before the start | 4 h 43to the end, median over 1,121 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 183 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0599% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 544 of 1,095 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,095 | 53.7%588 W · 507 L | +51.8 | +0.05 | 49c | +9.5% | 55 |
The 1,095 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 5,168 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,095 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $4,916 | before 87%in play 13%, over 84 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 33 before the start | 5 h 05to the end, median over 103 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 14 of them sold before the market settled | +0.06100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 52 of 84 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +5.0 | +0.06 | 40c | +14.4% | 55 |
The 84 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,168 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 84 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fed Rates Inactivelast settled Sep 16, 2026, EDT | $71 | —no start of play | 2 dresells, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.41100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2 | +0.41 | 59c | +68.9% | 55 |
The 3 picks behind Fed Rates are not listed here. This wallet has 5,168 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Weather Inactivelast settled Jul 25, 2026, EDT | $18 | —too few: 1 pick | 22 h 22to the end, median over 33 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | +0.5796% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 96% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6 | +0.59 | 41c | +143.9% | 53 |
The 1 picks behind Weather are not listed here. This wallet has 5,168 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1last settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $237 | —too few: 8 picks | 3 h 20to the end, median over 13 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.09101% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 101% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 5 of 8 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7 | +0.09 | 53c | +35.6% | 52 |
The 8 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 5,168 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 8 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $51,765 | before 68%in play 32%, over 505 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 57 before the start | 5 h 44to the end, median over 511 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 84 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02103% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 103% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 279 of 505 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 505 | 51.9%262 W · 243 L | +10.1 | +0.02 | 50c | +3.9% | 52 |
The 505 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 5,168 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 505 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $45,297 | before 25%in play 75%, over 913 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 35 min after the start | 2 h 23to the end, median over 1,545 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 56 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0179% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 79% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 624 of 913 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 913 | 43.2%394 W · 519 L | +10.5 | +0.01 | 42c | +1.2% | 51 |
The 913 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 5,168 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 913 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Macro Indicators Inactivelast settled Sep 4, 2026, EDT | $36 | —no start of play | 2 h 17to the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.2999% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3 | +0.29 | 71c | +40.8% | 51 |
The 1 picks behind Macro Indicators are not listed here. This wallet has 5,168 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| AI Inactivelast settled Sep 30, 2026, EDT | $34 | —no start of play | 15 h 45resells, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.22100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2 | +0.22 | 78c | +28.8% | 51 |
The 1 picks behind AI are not listed here. This wallet has 5,168 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $101,880 | before 37%in play 63%, over 1,360 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 24 min after the start | 2 h 18to the end, median over 1,597 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 89 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0180% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 80% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1,118 of 1,361 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,361 | 40.5%551 W · 810 L | +10.3 | +0.01 | 40c | +2.6% | 51 |
The 1,361 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 5,168 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,361 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian League Inactivelast settled Sep 9, 2026, EDT | $35 | —too few: 2 picks | 2 h 47to the end, median over 5 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05136% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 136% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1 | +0.04 | 46c | -2% | 50 |
The 2 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,168 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorantlast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $1,541 | before 93%in play 7%, over 15 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 30 before the start | 6 h 50to the end, median over 23 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01173% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 173% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 10 of 15 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1 | +0.01 | 39c | +8.6% | 50 |
The 15 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 5,168 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 15 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $9,981 | before 71%in play 29%, over 174 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 15 before the start | 3 h 47to the end, median over 209 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 108 of 174 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 174 | 45.4%79 W · 95 L | -0.6 | 0.00 | 46c | -4.9% | 50 |
The 174 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 5,168 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 174 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricket Inactivelast settled Jul 19, 2026, EDT | $85 | —too few: 5 picks | 3 h 41to the end, median over 7 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2 | -0.03 | 63c | -3.8% | 49 |
The 5 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 5,168 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie Alast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $349 | before 93%in play 7%, over 14 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 13 before the start | 3 h 58to the end, median over 16 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 8 of 14 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5 | -0.03 | 39c | +17% | 49 |
The 14 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 5,168 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 14 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Midterms Inactivelast settled Aug 5, 2026, EDT | $12 | —no start of play | 4 dresells, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.35no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4 | -0.35 | 35c | -100% | 49 |
The 1 picks behind Us Midterms are not listed here. This wallet has 5,168 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $4,310 | before 82%in play 18%, over 68 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 57 before the start | 5 h 23to the end, median over 117 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 23 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 47 of 68 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -1.6 | -0.02 | 51c | -6.8% | 48 |
The 68 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 5,168 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 68 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $2,938 | before 81%in play 19%, over 67 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 54 min before the start | 3 h 41to the end, median over 89 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 42 of 67 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -1.8 | -0.03 | 34c | -5.9% | 48 |
The 67 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,168 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 67 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $1,433 | before 82%in play 18%, over 34 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 50 min before the start | 4 h 49to the end, median over 37 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 25 of 34 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.3 | -0.04 | 36c | -17.5% | 47 |
The 34 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 5,168 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 34 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Commodities Inactivelast settled Jul 31, 2026, EDT | $38 | —no start of play | 4 h 12resells, median over 5 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.33no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7 | -0.33 | 33c | -100% | 47 |
The 2 picks behind Commodities are not listed here. This wallet has 5,168 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $1,788 | before 82%in play 18%, over 28 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 02 before the start | 3 h 22to the end, median over 32 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 21 of 28 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.5 | -0.06 | 38c | -16.2% | 47 |
The 28 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 5,168 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 28 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $26,848 | before 68%in play 32%, over 234 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 54 before the start | 5 h 08to the end, median over 239 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 10 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 155 of 236 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -7.9 | -0.03 | 48c | -9.1% | 47 |
The 236 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 5,168 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 236 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHLlast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $5,204 | before 55%in play 45%, over 58 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 18 min before the start | 3 h 36to the end, median over 60 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 47 of 58 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -2.8 | -0.05 | 39c | -15.4% | 46 |
The 58 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 5,168 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 58 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mlslast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $3,308 | before 79%in play 21%, over 62 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 37 min before the start | 3 h 05to the end, median over 79 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 44 of 62 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -3.5 | -0.06 | 36c | -11.4% | 45 |
The 62 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 5,168 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 62 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $2,370 | before 74%in play 26%, over 47 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 40 min before the start | 4 h 31to the end, median over 67 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 13 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 36 of 47 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -3.7 | -0.08 | 40c | -17.7% | 44 |
The 47 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 5,168 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 47 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $684 | before 71%in play 29%, over 14 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 38 min before the start | 3 h 27to the end, median over 17 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.16no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 10 of 14 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.2 | -0.16 | 37c | -44.3% | 44 |
The 14 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 5,168 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 14 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleaguelast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $3,462 | before 85%in play 15%, over 41 Euroleague picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 56 before the start | 6 h 19to the end, median over 41 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 33 of 41 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -4.1 | -0.10 | 42c | -33% | 43 |
The 41 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 5,168 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 41 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFC Inactivelast settled Sep 5, 2026, EDT | $445 | before 90%in play 10%, over 20 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 23 h 38 before the start | 22 h 00to the end, median over 30 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 14 of them sold before the market settled | -0.13no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 14 of 20 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.9 | -0.15 | 50c | -36.5% | 43 |
The 20 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 5,168 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 20 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 6
- What they are worth now
- $433bought for $522
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 43worth $0
Its 6 running positions
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Now | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A (opens in a new tab)backed OG | 689.4 | 45c | 45c | $307 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Under | 91.6 | 55c | 76c | $69 |
| Cairns Taipans vs. New Zealand Breakers (opens in a new tab)backed Cairns Taipans | 100 | 47c | 35c | $35 |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 33 | 51c | 56c | $18 |
| Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 28 | 21c | 17c | $5 |
| Spread: Bahcesehir Koleji (-4.5) (opens in a new tab)backed Bahcesehir Koleji | 188 | 49c | 0c | $0 |
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of 43. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Linda Noskova vs Elina Svitolina (opens in a new tab)backed Linda Noskova · settled | 1,231 | 16c | $0 | Counted |
| Palermo: Louis Wessels vs Andrej Martin (opens in a new tab)backed Louis Wessels · settled | 605 | 51c | $0 | Counted |
| National Bank Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Elena Rybakina (opens in a new tab)backed Daria Kasatkina · settled | 466.75 | 29c | $0 | Counted |
| Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5) (opens in a new tab)backed New York Liberty · settled | 460.4 | 45c | $0 | Counted |
| Spread: Belarus (-2.5) (opens in a new tab)backed San Marino · settled | 455.7 | 50c | $0 | Counted |
Do these count towards the record above? 5 do: the wallet holds a scored pick on those markets, already in the table above.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.