Wallet 0x1b47…d814
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x1b47e9b128e6b671edebfb2cac23dd3efc40d814
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$26,973,846 staked over 4,855 qualified picks in 29 categories, 11 of 29 below 50.
Best category
Mls
$124,400 staked over 144 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.08 per pick.
See the full Mls boardSecond best
NHL
$8,418 staked over 29 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.07 per pick.
See the full NHL boardThird best
Dota2
$61,995 staked over 64 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.05 per pick.
See the full Dota2 boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 4,855 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category29 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 4,855 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mlslast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $124,400 | before 87%in play 13%, over 144 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 12 before the start | 5 h 48to the end, median over 182 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0883% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 83% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 109 of 144 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 144 | 63.2%91 W · 53 L | +14.0 | +0.10 | 53c | +11.8% | 59 |
The 144 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 4,855 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 144 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHLlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $8,418 | before 93%in play 7%, over 29 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 39 before the start | 5 h 47to the end, median over 57 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.14101% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 101% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 12 of 29 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.0 | +0.14 | 52c | +31.9% | 58 |
The 29 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 4,855 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 29 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $61,995 | before 52%in play 48%, over 64 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 16 min before the start | 5 h 29to the end, median over 85 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0796% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 96% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 53 of 64 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +4.5 | +0.07 | 46c | +25.4% | 56 |
The 64 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 4,855 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 64 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie Alast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $1,384,517 | before 71%in play 29%, over 234 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 53 min before the start | 4 h 47to the end, median over 282 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 51% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 152 of 234 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 234 | 52.1%122 W · 112 L | +12.0 | +0.05 | 47c | +1.6% | 55 |
The 234 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 4,855 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 234 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $362,741 | before 78%in play 22%, over 145 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 13 before the start | 5 h 34to the end, median over 187 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 55% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 89 of 145 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +7.4 | +0.05 | 45c | +13% | 55 |
The 145 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 4,855 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 145 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $775,619 | before 61%in play 39%, over 264 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 40 min before the start | 4 h 30to the end, median over 325 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0393% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 93% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 220 of 264 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 264 | 49.2%130 W · 134 L | +9.2 | +0.03 | 46c | +9% | 54 |
The 264 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 4,855 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 264 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $1,945,662 | before 79%in play 21%, over 328 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 43 before the start | 6 h 49to the end, median over 398 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 4% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 231 of 328 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 328 | 51.8%170 W · 158 L | +11.2 | +0.03 | 48c | -0.5% | 54 |
The 328 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 4,855 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 328 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $1,164,757 | before 82%in play 18%, over 197 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 23 before the start | 7 h 21to the end, median over 283 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 147 of 199 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 199 | 49.7%99 W · 100 L | +6.7 | +0.03 | 46c | -3.8% | 53 |
The 199 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,855 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 199 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $148,119 | before 70%in play 30%, over 93 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 50 min before the start | 5 h 56to the end, median over 124 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03110% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 110% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 60 of 93 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +2.8 | +0.03 | 52c | +5.2% | 53 |
The 93 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 4,855 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 93 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $111,600 | before 21%in play 79%, over 553 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 43 min after the start | 2 h 06to the end, median over 694 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03127% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 127% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 498 of 553 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 553 | 47.6%263 W · 290 L | +12.0 | +0.02 | 45c | +8.5% | 52 |
The 553 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 4,855 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 553 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $359,700 | before 76%in play 24%, over 212 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 28 before the start | 6 h 20to the end, median over 302 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0283% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 83% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 148 of 212 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | +4.7 | +0.02 | 52c | -3.3% | 52 |
The 212 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,855 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 212 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorantlast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $19,366 | before 66%in play 34%, over 58 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 57 min before the start | 6 h 21to the end, median over 72 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0288% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 88% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 48 of 58 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.4 | +0.02 | 53c | +3.3% | 52 |
The 58 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 4,855 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 58 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Australian A League Inactivelast settled Apr 2, 2026, EDT | $50 | —too few: 1 pick | 4 h 26to the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.3399% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3 | +0.33 | 67c | +49.3% | 51 |
The 1 picks behind Australian A League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,855 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $603,836 | before 74%in play 26%, over 161 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 23 before the start | 5 h 21to the end, median over 199 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 93 of 161 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | +2.0 | +0.01 | 48c | -3.7% | 51 |
The 161 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 4,855 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 161 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $637,857 | before 40%in play 60%, over 65 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 17 min after the start | 3 h 21to the end, median over 73 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03243% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 243% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 47 of 65 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +0.9 | +0.01 | 51c | +1.2% | 51 |
The 65 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 4,855 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 65 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricket Inactivelast settled Sep 18, 2026, EDT | $889 | —too few: 2 picks | 6 h 39to the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.17134% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 134% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3 | +0.13 | 37c | -19.7% | 51 |
The 2 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 4,855 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleague Inactivelast settled May 22, 2026, EDT | $331 | —too few: 2 picks | 10 h 27to the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.08102% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 102% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2 | +0.08 | 42c | +3.4% | 51 |
The 2 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 4,855 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $3,579,529 | before 85%in play 15%, over 434 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 37 before the start | 7 h 20to the end, median over 548 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 258 of 434 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 434 | 52.1%226 W · 208 L | +0.8 | 0.00 | 52c | +4.9% | 50 |
The 434 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,855 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 434 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $1,129 | —too few: 4 picks | 1 h 57to the end, median over 7 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1 | -0.01 | 51c | -16.9% | 50 |
The 4 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 4,855 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $710,410 | before 58%in play 42%, over 268 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 26 min before the start | 4 h 43to the end, median over 369 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 231 of 268 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -1.2 | 0.00 | 48c | -7.7% | 50 |
The 268 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 4,855 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 268 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 7, 2026, EDT | $13,646,509 | before 83%in play 17%, over 755 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 14 before the start | 7 h 53to the end, median over 981 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 618 of 760 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 760 | 44.5%338 W · 422 L | -6.9 | -0.01 | 45c | -10.6% | 49 |
The 760 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 4,855 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 760 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast settled Apr 4, 2026, EDT | $9,969 | —too few: 7 picks | 22 h 16to the end, median over 12 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 6 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4 | -0.05 | 34c | -48.2% | 49 |
The 7 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 4,855 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 7 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $585,666 | before 62%in play 38%, over 281 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 33 before the start | 7 h 06to the end, median over 328 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 222 of 281 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 281 | 38.1%107 W · 174 L | -7.5 | -0.03 | 41c | -16% | 47 |
The 281 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 4,855 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 281 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Golf Inactivelast settled Aug 31, 2026, EDT | $17 | —no start of play | 23 dto the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.71no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7 | -0.71 | 71c | -100% | 47 |
The 1 picks behind Golf are not listed here. This wallet has 4,855 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $396,945 | before 59%in play 41%, over 161 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 07 before the start | 5 h 27to the end, median over 200 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 143 of 161 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -5.2 | -0.03 | 46c | -12.3% | 47 |
The 161 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 4,855 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 161 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFClast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $109,707 | before 53%in play 47%, over 36 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 min before the start | 2 h 15to the end, median over 45 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 28 of 36 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.3 | -0.06 | 54c | -14.8% | 46 |
The 36 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 4,855 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 36 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $210,066 | before 77%in play 23%, over 304 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 51 before the start | 7 h 05to the end, median over 439 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 179 of 304 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 304 | 45.1%137 W · 167 L | -14.6 | -0.05 | 50c | -11.2% | 45 |
The 304 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 4,855 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 304 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBA Inactivelast settled Sep 24, 2026, EDT | $3,819 | before 70%in play 30%, over 20 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 46 before the start | 7 h 48to the end, median over 23 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.13no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 16 of 20 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.6 | -0.13 | 58c | -26.1% | 44 |
The 20 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 4,855 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 20 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $10,222 | before 40%in play 60%, over 25 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 min after the start | 4 h 22to the end, median over 33 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.12no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 21 of 25 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.2 | -0.13 | 41c | -58.4% | 43 |
The 25 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,855 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 25 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 10
- What they are worth now
- $4,011bought for $4,034
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 0worth $0
Its 10 running positions
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Now | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 2,128 | 75c | 76c | $1,607 |
| Bengals vs. Ravens (opens in a new tab)backed Ravens | 3,294 | 42c | 42c | $1,367 |
| Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-10-25? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 398 | 85c | 85c | $336 |
| Will SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 396.68 | 84c | 84c | $331 |
| Will Getafe CF win on 2026-10-25? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 276.81 | 84c | 86c | $237 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 138.74 | 61c | 54c | $75 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 59.49 | 71c | 68c | $40 |
| Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 75.44 | 16c | 16c | $12 |
| Market 0xc27f…2740backed outcome 1 | 5 | 78c | 78c | $4 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 5 | 41c | 41c | $2 |
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.