Wallet 0x1e52…91d6
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x1e524ff2123d380a690dbdf2245de2a9428e91d6
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$813,178 staked over 4,846 qualified picks in 53 categories, 31 of 53 below 50.
Best category
Ncaa Basketball
$12,353 staked over 65 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.06 per pick.
See the full Ncaa Basketball boardSecond best
F1
$4,012 staked over 43 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.05 per pick.
See the full F1 boardThird best
Macro Indicators
$1,810 staked over 15 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.05 per pick.
See the full Macro Indicators boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 4,846 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category53 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 4,846 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast settled Mar 28, 2026, EDT | $12,353 | before 75%in play 25%, over 65 Ncaa Basketball picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 46 before the start | 7 h 46to the end, median over 90 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | +0.06out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 72% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 42 of 65 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +5.7 | +0.09 | 40c | +12.6% | 57 |
The 65 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 4,846 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 65 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| F1last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $4,012 | before 93%in play 7%, over 14 F1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 45 before the start | 3 dto the end, median over 63 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 11 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0890% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 90% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 7 of 43 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +3.7 | +0.09 | 24c | +134.6% | 56 |
The 43 picks behind F1 are not listed here. This wallet has 4,846 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 43 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Macro Indicators Inactivelast settled Sep 16, 2026, EDT | $1,810 | —no start of play | 13 dto the end, median over 29 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | +0.15107% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 107% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 4 of 15 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.2 | +0.14 | 39c | +9.5% | 56 |
The 15 picks behind Macro Indicators are not listed here. This wallet has 4,846 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 15 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Token Launches Inactivelast settled Mar 4, 2026, EST | $17,054 | —no start of play | 5 dto the end, median over 31 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 11 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0989% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 89% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 4 of 26 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +2.6 | +0.10 | 21c | +224.1% | 56 |
The 26 picks behind Token Launches are not listed here. This wallet has 4,846 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 26 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFC Inactivelast settled Sep 26, 2026, EDT | $2,832 | before 86%in play 14%, over 14 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 42 h 39 before the start | 1 dto the end, median over 21 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1197% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 97% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 14 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6 | +0.11 | 46c | +26.6% | 54 |
The 14 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 4,846 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 14 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Earnings Inactivelast settled Jul 29, 2026, EDT | $893 | —no start of play | 17 h 29to the end, median over 25 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.11133% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 133% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 6 of 18 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.5 | +0.08 | 30c | +100.5% | 54 |
The 18 picks behind Earnings are not listed here. This wallet has 4,846 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 18 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Olympicslast settled Feb 17, 2026, EST | $411 | —too few: 3 picks | 7 h 13to the end, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.2899% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8 | +0.28 | 39c | +20.5% | 53 |
The 3 picks behind Olympics are not listed here. This wallet has 4,846 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Chess Inactivelast settled Feb 8, 2026, EST | $667 | —no start of play | 11 dto the end, median over 6 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.2291% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 91% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7 | +0.24 | 43c | +11.4% | 53 |
The 3 picks behind Chess are not listed here. This wallet has 4,846 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions League Inactivelast settled Jul 21, 2026, EDT | $4,937 | before 57%in play 43%, over 30 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 12 min before the start | 5 h 43to the end, median over 52 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 11 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 18 of 31 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.0 | +0.03 | 32c | -10.2% | 52 |
The 31 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,846 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 31 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $2,567 | before 78%in play 22%, over 18 Euroleague picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 36 before the start | 5 h 22to the end, median over 20 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 30% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 5 of 18 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.8 | +0.04 | 40c | -8.2% | 52 |
The 18 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 4,846 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 18 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mls Inactivelast settled May 24, 2026, EDT | $5,576 | before 16%in play 84%, over 44 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 32 min after the start | 3 h 13to the end, median over 47 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 10 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0292% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 92% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 31 of 44 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.0 | +0.02 | 36c | +17.2% | 52 |
The 44 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 4,846 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 44 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| IPO Inactivelast settled May 8, 2026, EDT | $165 | —no start of play | 21 h 37to the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.35100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4 | +0.35 | 65c | +54.6% | 52 |
The 1 picks behind IPO are not listed here. This wallet has 4,846 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Australian A Leaguelast settled May 15, 2026, EDT | $3,189 | before 29%in play 71%, over 21 Australian A League picks with a start of play; typically bought 8 min after the start | 4 h 09to the end, median over 22 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 16 of 21 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.6 | +0.03 | 30c | +31.6% | 51 |
The 21 picks behind Australian A League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,846 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 21 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Oct 8, 2026, EDT | $5,703 | before 76%in play 24%, over 21 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 48 before the start | 8 h 02to the end, median over 24 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 10 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 30% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 14 of 22 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.6 | +0.03 | 38c | +20.3% | 51 |
The 22 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 4,846 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 22 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Football Inactivelast settled Jan 10, 2026, EST | $1,664 | —too few: 7 picks | 5 h 59to the end, median over 11 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 53% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 5 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4 | +0.06 | 37c | -8.8% | 51 |
The 7 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 4,846 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 7 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Golf Inactivelast settled Aug 4, 2026, EDT | $1,091 | before 16%in play 84%, over 19 Golf picks with a start of play; typically bought 24 h 00 after the start | 2 dto the end, median over 79 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 5% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 8 of 20 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.5 | +0.02 | 18c | -22.8% | 51 |
The 20 picks behind Golf are not listed here. This wallet has 4,846 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 20 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Commoditieslast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT | $7,564 | —no start of play | 3 dto the end, median over 75 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 23 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02212% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 212% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 16 of 57 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 57 | 22.8%13 W · 44 L | +0.4 | +0.01 | 22c | -18.7% | 51 |
The 57 picks behind Commodities are not listed here. This wallet has 4,846 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 57 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Venezuela Inactivelast settled Jan 15, 2026, EST | $1,855 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 72% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1 | +0.06 | 44c | -22.4% | 51 |
The 2 picks behind Venezuela are not listed here. This wallet has 4,846 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Boxing Inactivelast settled Jul 25, 2026, EDT | $632 | —no start of play | 34 dto the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1 | +0.05 | 45c | +28.1% | 50 |
The 2 picks behind Boxing are not listed here. This wallet has 4,846 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFL Inactivelast settled Aug 13, 2026, EDT | $9,117 | before 42%in play 58%, over 19 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 min after the start | 9 h 19to the end, median over 40 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 13 of 29 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.2 | +0.01 | 30c | +61.4% | 50 |
The 29 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 4,846 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 29 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Politics Inactivelast settled Jul 1, 2026, EDT | $9,821 | —no start of play | 8 dto the end, median over 32 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 11 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 32% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 4 of 22 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.2 | +0.01 | 22c | -49.6% | 50 |
The 22 picks behind Us Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 4,846 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 22 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Middle East Inactivelast settled Sep 1, 2026, EDT | $42,744 | —no start of play | 6 dto the end, median over 159 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 45 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 24 of 122 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 122 | 17.2%21 W · 101 L | +0.2 | 0.00 | 17c | -42% | 50 |
The 122 picks behind Middle East are not listed here. This wallet has 4,846 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 122 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fed Rates Inactivelast settled May 22, 2026, EDT | $2,983 | —no start of play | 6 dto the end, median over 17 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 6 of 10 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.1 | -0.01 | 11c | -67.3% | 50 |
The 10 picks behind Fed Rates are not listed here. This wallet has 4,846 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 10 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $38,186 | before 52%in play 48%, over 210 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 9 min before the start | 5 h 14to the end, median over 248 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 53 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 146 of 210 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -1.1 | -0.01 | 37c | -12.2% | 49 |
The 210 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 4,846 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 210 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorantlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $8,989 | before 60%in play 40%, over 50 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 56 min before the start | 6 h 16to the end, median over 83 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 18 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 34 of 54 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -0.4 | -0.01 | 38c | +2.1% | 49 |
The 54 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 4,846 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 54 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 6, 2026, EDT | $37,960 | before 53%in play 47%, over 229 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 min before the start | 3 h 52to the end, median over 312 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 109 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 141 of 238 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 238 | 34.9%83 W · 155 L | -1.4 | -0.01 | 35c | -13.7% | 49 |
The 238 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 4,846 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 238 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesliga Inactivelast settled Aug 16, 2026, EDT | $8,866 | before 23%in play 77%, over 70 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 14 min after the start | 4 h 32to the end, median over 86 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 16 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 50 of 70 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -0.7 | -0.01 | 34c | -8.3% | 49 |
The 70 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 4,846 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 70 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| AI Inactivelast settled Sep 28, 2026, EDT | $9,455 | —no start of play | 10 dto the end, median over 106 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 27 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 22 of 67 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 67 | 22.4%15 W · 52 L | -0.7 | -0.01 | 23c | -27.8% | 49 |
The 67 picks behind AI are not listed here. This wallet has 4,846 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 67 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| China Taiwan Inactivelast settled Jul 1, 2026, EDT | $452 | —no start of play | 71 dresells, median over 5 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.15no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4 | -0.15 | 15c | -100% | 48 |
The 3 picks behind China Taiwan are not listed here. This wallet has 4,846 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier League Inactivelast settled Oct 3, 2026, EDT | $26,667 | before 40%in play 60%, over 154 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 min after the start | 4 h 51to the end, median over 190 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 32 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 104 of 157 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 157 | 29.9%47 W · 110 L | -3.0 | -0.02 | 32c | -24.7% | 48 |
The 157 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,846 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 157 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Midterms Inactivelast settled Oct 11, 2026, EDT | $2,167 | —no start of play | 13 dto the end, median over 32 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 11 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 6 of 22 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.0 | -0.05 | 32c | -39.3% | 48 |
The 22 picks behind Us Midterms are not listed here. This wallet has 4,846 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 22 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Movieslast settled Oct 5, 2026, EDT | $5,946 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 74 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 17 of 39 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -1.4 | -0.04 | 21c | -57.1% | 48 |
The 39 picks behind Movies are not listed here. This wallet has 4,846 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 39 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagues Inactivelast settled Aug 27, 2026, EDT | $25,729 | before 28%in play 72%, over 189 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 10 min after the start | 4 h 31to the end, median over 217 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 30 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 142 of 189 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 189 | 28.6%54 W · 135 L | -4.9 | -0.03 | 31c | -18.8% | 47 |
The 189 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 4,846 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 189 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $15,218 | before 30%in play 70%, over 104 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 10 min after the start | 4 h 20to the end, median over 127 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 21 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 75 of 104 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 104 | 29.8%31 W · 73 L | -3.1 | -0.03 | 33c | -13.6% | 47 |
The 104 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 4,846 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 104 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $69,789 | before 56%in play 44%, over 358 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 8 min before the start | 4 h 42to the end, median over 445 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 86 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 230 of 364 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 364 | 32.4%118 W · 246 L | -9.7 | -0.03 | 35c | -15.1% | 47 |
The 364 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 4,846 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 364 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Music Inactivelast settled Aug 17, 2026, EDT | $15,629 | —no start of play | 34 dto the end, median over 76 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 18 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 50 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | -1.9 | -0.04 | 8c | -50.7% | 47 |
The 50 picks behind Music are not listed here. This wallet has 4,846 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 50 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLB Inactivelast settled Oct 6, 2026, EDT | $25,196 | before 27%in play 73%, over 146 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 min after the start | 4 h 36to the end, median over 165 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 25 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 104 of 146 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 146 | 34.9%51 W · 95 L | -4.8 | -0.03 | 38c | -17% | 47 |
The 146 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 4,846 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 146 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie A Inactivelast settled May 24, 2026, EDT | $12,774 | before 39%in play 61%, over 69 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 min after the start | 4 h 21to the end, median over 89 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 41 of 69 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -2.7 | -0.04 | 28c | -16.8% | 47 |
The 69 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 4,846 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 69 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tweets Inactivelast settled Oct 2, 2026, EDT | $58,973 | —no start of play | 5 dto the end, median over 273 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 57 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 63 of 202 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 202 | 10.9%22 W · 180 L | -6.5 | -0.03 | 14c | -74.5% | 47 |
The 202 picks behind Tweets are not listed here. This wallet has 4,846 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 202 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHL Inactivelast settled Jun 11, 2026, EDT | $17,845 | before 60%in play 40%, over 96 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 23 min before the start | 6 h 01to the end, median over 133 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 14 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 50 of 104 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -3.9 | -0.04 | 42c | -20.8% | 47 |
The 104 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 4,846 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 104 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBA Inactivelast settled Jul 11, 2026, EDT | $62,109 | before 68%in play 32%, over 266 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 50 before the start | 6 h 28to the end, median over 314 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 35 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 151 of 269 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 269 | 39%105 W · 164 L | -9.3 | -0.03 | 43c | -19.6% | 46 |
The 269 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 4,846 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 269 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Weatherlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $47,141 | before 67%in play 33%, over 722 Weather picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 h 10 before the start | 1 dto the end, median over 1,599 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 117 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 294 of 843 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 843 | 27%228 W · 615 L | -31.9 | -0.04 | 31c | -24.3% | 46 |
The 843 picks behind Weather are not listed here. This wallet has 4,846 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 843 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1 Inactivelast settled May 17, 2026, EDT | $5,847 | before 27%in play 73%, over 33 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 17 min after the start | 5 h 05to the end, median over 35 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | -0.11no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 27 of 33 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.2 | -0.07 | 31c | -10.9% | 46 |
The 33 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 4,846 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 33 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagues Inactivelast settled Sep 19, 2026, EDT | $25,364 | before 22%in play 78%, over 178 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 20 min after the start | 4 h 40to the end, median over 207 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 17 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 120 of 178 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 178 | 23.6%42 W · 136 L | -8.5 | -0.05 | 28c | -38.5% | 45 |
The 178 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 4,846 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 178 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricket Inactivelast settled Sep 23, 2026, EDT | $5,591 | before 58%in play 42%, over 31 Cricket picks with a start of play; typically bought 24 min before the start | 6 h 52to the end, median over 40 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 10 of them sold before the market settled | -0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 18 of 31 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.4 | -0.08 | 37c | -26.7% | 45 |
The 31 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 4,846 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 31 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| World Politicslast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $9,416 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 102 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 23 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 26 of 57 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -3.6 | -0.06 | 34c | +1% | 45 |
The 57 picks behind World Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 4,846 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 57 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $45,486 | before 41%in play 59%, over 271 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 12 min after the start | 4 h 13to the end, median over 327 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 48 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 213 of 274 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 274 | 34.7%95 W · 179 L | -13.6 | -0.05 | 40c | -23.3% | 45 |
The 274 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 4,846 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 274 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Crypto Milestones Inactivelast settled Jul 1, 2026, EDT | $14,554 | —no start of play | 6 dto the end, median over 117 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 14 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 16 of 80 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 80 | 15%12 W · 68 L | -4.9 | -0.06 | 21c | -44.8% | 45 |
The 80 picks behind Crypto Milestones are not listed here. This wallet has 4,846 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 80 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference League Inactivelast settled Aug 13, 2026, EDT | $13,395 | before 46%in play 54%, over 67 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 min after the start | 5 h 14to the end, median over 80 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled | -0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 40 of 67 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 67 | 22.4%15 W · 52 L | -5.3 | -0.08 | 30c | -46.7% | 44 |
The 67 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,846 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 67 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian League Inactivelast settled Sep 7, 2026, EDT | $20,160 | before 21%in play 79%, over 159 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 30 min after the start | 4 h 21to the end, median over 184 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 27 of them sold before the market settled | -0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 120 of 159 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 159 | 27%43 W · 116 L | -12.7 | -0.08 | 35c | -29.3% | 42 |
The 159 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,846 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 159 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Stocks Inactivelast settled May 13, 2026, EDT | $3,915 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 65 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | -0.13no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 8 of 35 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | -4.3 | -0.12 | 21c | -76% | 42 |
The 35 picks behind Stocks are not listed here. This wallet has 4,846 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 35 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2 Inactivelast settled Oct 8, 2026, EDT | $21,496 | before 39%in play 61%, over 92 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 13 min after the start | 3 h 47to the end, median over 104 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 25 of them sold before the market settled | -0.13no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 68 of 92 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 92 | 28.3%26 W · 66 L | -9.7 | -0.11 | 39c | -39.4% | 41 |
The 92 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 4,846 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 92 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ukraine Inactivelast settled Oct 8, 2026, EDT | $19,224 | —no start of play | 29 dto the end, median over 54 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 21 of them sold before the market settled | -0.15no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 13 of 45 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | -5.9 | -0.13 | 24c | -72.6% | 41 |
The 45 picks behind Ukraine are not listed here. This wallet has 4,846 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 45 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 74
- What they are worth now
- $2,449bought for $2,856
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 0worth $0
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 74, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.