TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1e89…af95

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
368
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 58 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT14943.6%65 W · 84 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 149 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$880Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$880
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,380Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$620
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$435
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,384Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,383.99
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,720Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+86%+$1,480
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,194Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,193.73
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$576Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$576
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$504
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,915Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,915
Will Team Falcons Win The International 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.64
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$192
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,090Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,090
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$669Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$668.59
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$650
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$744Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$744
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,360Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$640
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$564Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$635.99
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$705Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$705
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,690Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+42%+$710
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$1,515.06
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$940Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,059.99
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$419.99
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$564Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$564.06
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,299Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,299
Showing 25 of 149 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT8652.3%45 W · 41 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 86 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 3 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$950Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$950
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$534Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$533.8
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$672.64
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,188Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$2,022.93
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$610
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$333
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,420Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$580
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic - Map 2 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$357
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$864Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$336
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$697Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$697
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$390
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,197Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$903
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR - Map 1 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$583Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$583.28
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,013Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,013
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$434.2
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$621Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$279
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,188Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,187.99
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$864Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$336
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$855Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$854.99
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$445.08
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,054Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$645.99
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 3 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,391Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$1,018.9
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$674Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$262.08
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$528Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$528
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$664Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$955.8
Showing 25 of 86 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT6759.7%40 W · 27 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$874Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,026
Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Waltonbacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$737Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$363
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Ekaterina Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,612Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,612.49
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+119%+$928.53
Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borgesbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,132Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+66.5%+$752.85
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$933Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+121.8%+$1,136.9
National Bank Open: Maria Sakkari vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$936Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$264
National Bank Open: Zizou Bergs vs Ben Sheltonbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$328.05
National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsenbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$964.8
National Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaurbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$547Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$972.79
Canadian Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Lorenzo Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$805Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$805
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsenbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.6
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Emma Navarro vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Elisabetta Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+203.5%+$576.68
Set Handicap: Tsitsipas (-1.5) vs Minaur (+1.5)backed Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$792Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$308
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$715Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$585
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,122Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$528
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Arthur Fils vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$620
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$997Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$996.99
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Mackenzie McDonaldbacked Mackenzie McDonald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Kei Nishikori vs Juncheng Shangbacked Kei Nishikori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+150%+$501
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajdabacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$614Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$613.54
Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Bergs (+1.5)backed Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$325
Set 1 Winner: Fritz vs Bergsbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$307
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,748Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+70%+$1,224.13
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5341.5%22 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.75
France vs. England: France O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$549Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$548.8
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$248
Spread: England (-4.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.5
France vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$810Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$810
Spread: England (-2.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.5
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$738Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$738.1
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$975
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$541Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$479.4
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$516Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$516.06
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$209.99
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$544Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$256
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$399.63
France vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$182
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.38
Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$618Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$617.76
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.5
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.56
France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.82
France vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$537Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+37%+$198.72
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+125.2%+$403
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.36
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick15cpaid+28.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+122%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kalmar FF vs. Malmo FF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$1,015.24
Will IFK Goteborg vs. IF Brommapojkarna end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$836Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$264
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+56.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Seattle Stormbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$936Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$264
Spread: Indiana Fever (-1.5)backed Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$82.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$829Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$828.52
Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$717Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$1,392.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$556Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$555.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.