TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1f64…3633

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,177
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 60 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT99049.4%489 W · 501 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 990 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Tauson (-1.5) vs Zarazua (+1.5)backed Zarazua · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$107.12
Set Handicap: Marcinko (-1.5) vs Parks (+1.5)backed Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$31.64
Monterrey Open: Alycia Parks vs Petra Marcinkobacked Petra Marcinko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.57
Set Handicap: Kasintseva (-1.5) vs Jorge (+1.5)backed Jorge · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.44
Winston-Salem Open: Adam Walton vs Jesper de Jongbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.77
Coco Gauff vs. Jessica Pegula: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$362Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$284.66
Arthur Fils vs. Frances Tiafoe: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.17
Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Tiafoe (+1.5)backed Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$511Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+76.9%+$393.08
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.66
Winston-Salem Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Jenson Brooksbybacked Jenson Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$53.04
Flavio Cobolli vs. Arthur Fils: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$250.83
Coco Gauff vs. Marta Kostyuk: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.35
Lorenzo Musetti vs. Frances Tiafoe: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+84.6%+$108.23
Bejlek vs. Keys: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.61
Set Handicap: Nakashima (-1.5) vs Borges (+1.5)backed Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$81.46
Coco Gauff vs. Marie Bouzkova: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.94
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Paul (+1.5)backed Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$101.93
Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$525.34
Set Handicap: Tien (-1.5) vs Tiafoe (+1.5)backed Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$19.2
Set Handicap: Faria (-1.5) vs Walton (+1.5)backed Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$82.58
Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Waltonbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.09
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,582Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+132.9%+$2,101.84
Cincinnati Open: Michael Zheng vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Michael Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Set Handicap: Musetti (-1.5) vs Zheng (+1.5)backed Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.89
Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Borges (+1.5)backed Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+64.8%+$146.06
Showing 25 of 990 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT7263.9%46 W · 26 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Anthony Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.68
UFC Fight Night: Serghei Spivac vs. Vitor Petrino (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Vitor Petrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,282Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$967.06
UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. MarQuel Mederos (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Mason Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.5
UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Jalin Turner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+81.6%+$79.89
UFC 330: Eric McConico vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Donte Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$22.34
UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Tresean Gore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$594Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+98.1%+$582.68
UFC 330: Lucas Fernando vs. Rafael Tobias (Light Heavyweight, Early Prelims)backed Lucas Fernando · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,961Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$1,240.58
UFC Fight Night: Juliana Miller vs. Ravena Oliveira (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Juliana Miller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.31
UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Navajo Stirling · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$723Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$254.08
UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Aleksandar Rakic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,826Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$565.01
UFC Fight Night: Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Milos Janicic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.63
UFC Fight Night: Ludovit Klein vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Ludovit Klein · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$528Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$527.84
UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Bogdan Grad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$88.8
UFC Fight Night: Mike Davis vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Nurullo Aliev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$592Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$291.34
UFC Fight Night: Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Magomed Zaynukov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$876Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$362.89
UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Axel Sola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$427Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$240.58
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Dricus Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,329Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+47%+$624.39
UFC Fight Night: Tabatha Ricci vs. Fatima Kline (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Fatima Kline · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,463Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$367.5
UFC Fight Night: Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Tommy McMillen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+81.2%+$118.63
UFC Fight Night: Austin Bashi vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Jose Miguel Delgado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+112.2%+$373.45
UFC Fight Night: Alvin Hines vs. RJ Harris (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Alvin Hines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.28
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$814Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$310.62
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Benoît Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$908Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$908.33
UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Mario Bautista · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$52.27
UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Robert Whittaker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+91.4%+$251.98
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT6264.5%40 W · 22 L+8.2wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+33.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: France (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Türkiye leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.21
United States leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$10.25
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed Türkiye · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$60.99
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Japan vs. Sweden: Japan O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$12.32
Spread: Japan (-1.5)backed Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$23
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Tunisia O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+201.1%+$31.29
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)backed Tunisia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.66
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.16
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+465%+$74.2
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+178.6%+$39.24
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+147.1%+$32.74
Germany leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+98%+$22.77
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Ecuador · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$68.54
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.92
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-2.5)backed Curaçao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$10.75
Korea Republic leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.13
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.24
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.36
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.01
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$15.01
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.81
Czechia vs. Mexico: Mexico O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.25
Czechia vs. Mexico: Mexico O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.86
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+37.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+71.6%+$17.28
Ducks vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$24.18
Rangers vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+127.3%+$14.05
Lightning vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+138.6%+$204.92
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+241.5%+$39.88
Islanders vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$21.51
Oilers vs. Sabresbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,877Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$1,877.5
Golden Knights vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+122.2%+$549.98
Canucks vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$471Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$471.31
Capitals vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$598Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+100.7%+$601.49
Oilers vs. Bluesbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$448.55
Utah vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$520
Maple Leafs vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$810
Jets vs. Flamesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+76.1%+$540
Penguins vs. Rangersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$18.6
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.01
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 203.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.46
Raptors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+124.6%+$63.82
Pacers vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$162.62
Celtics vs. Nets: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$152.01
Celtics vs. Nets: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$101.57
Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$27.72
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+131.2%+$75.86
Mavericks vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$28.8
Jazz vs. Spurs: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+112.8%+$54.06
Clippers vs. Wizards: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$45.18
Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+143.9%+$34.16
Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$31.53
All 13 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-35.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padresbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.6
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$73.05
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$868Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$868
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$217
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$343
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+100%+$525
Astros vs. Angelsbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$534Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$534.44
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Rangers vs. Astrosbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$286.99
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+64.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arkansas vs. Tennesseebacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$44
Ball State vs. Western Michiganbacked Ball State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$647Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$647.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-09-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$980.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Salt Lake vs. Colorado Rapids SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.