TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1fe6…e62a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
144
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NHL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT4634.8%16 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.37
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+176.3%+$58.2
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.58
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.38
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.72
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.86
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.77
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.21
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+132.3%+$47.84
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.23
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.43
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.79
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+201%+$48.84
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+209.4%+$25.04
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.95
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.98
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.25
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+119%+$14.67
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.62
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.94
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.78
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.97
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.36
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+82.8%+$16.76
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT3256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+146.4%+$28.52
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.36
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$10.73
New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.39
Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+79.5%+$8.4
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.97
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.45
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.28
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+84.5%+$18.32
Spread: Texas Rangers (-5.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+113.8%+$19.89
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.58
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+110.9%+$11.57
Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.19
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+97.2%+$17.25
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+137.2%+$18.29
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$7.56
New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.34
Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+66%+$13.83
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.96
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.97
New York Yankees vs. Houston Astrosbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+76.3%+$23.91
New York Yankees vs. Houston Astrosbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+73.5%+$19.86
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+141.7%+$57.1
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT3243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.68
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.02
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.65
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.33
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.31
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.87
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+356.1%+$60.11
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.24
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.83
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+106.6%+$35.07
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.04
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+86.4%+$10.72
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.35
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+133.6%+$15.44
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+59.9%+$8.24
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.39
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.64
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.1
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.34
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$9.46
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.06
Spread: Panama (-1.5)backed Panama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.21
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$23.82
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.28
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+96.8%+$13.28
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT2356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.47
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+143.2%+$26.5
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$8.55
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.04
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$15.52
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+78%+$9.2
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.51
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.11
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+144.1%+$41.32
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.39
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$30.69
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.17
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.84
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+78.4%+$19.96
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+72.3%+$23.73
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+65%+$6.8
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+138%+$14.08
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$11.76
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.86
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.96
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+76.7%+$22.04
All 23 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+90.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+37.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.12
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+174.3%+$63.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navonebacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.96
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.