Wallet 0x2160…4c78
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x216050de6080fac3926226b2b8ce3d5544784c78
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$671,672 staked over 5,675 qualified picks in 32 categories, 11 of 32 below 50.
Best category
Euroleague
$1,315 staked over 34 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.07 per pick.
See the full Euroleague boardSecond best
UFC
$3,615 staked over 32 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.07 per pick.
See the full UFC boardThird best
World Politics
$6,135 staked over 66 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.06 per pick.
See the full World Politics boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 5,675 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category32 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 5,675 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Euroleaguelast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $1,315 | before 97%in play 3%, over 34 Euroleague picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 24 before the start | 8 h 08to the end, median over 78 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.13105% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 105% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 28 of 34 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.2 | +0.12 | 55c | +18.6% | 58 |
The 34 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 5,675 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 34 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFClast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $3,615 | before 44%in play 56%, over 32 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 24 min after the start | 51 minto the end, median over 52 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0979% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 79% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 26 of 32 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.8 | +0.12 | 44c | +22.7% | 57 |
The 32 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 5,675 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 32 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| World Politicslast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $6,135 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 107 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 11 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0885% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 85% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 51 of 66 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +5.8 | +0.09 | 43c | +10.7% | 57 |
The 66 picks behind World Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 5,675 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 66 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $80,340 | before 37%in play 63%, over 586 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 11 min after the start | 2 h 37to the end, median over 1,700 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | +0.10149% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 149% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 514 of 588 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 588 | 59.5%350 W · 238 L | +39.3 | +0.07 | 53c | +8.5% | 57 |
The 588 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 5,675 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 588 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $35,760 | before 41%in play 59%, over 559 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 17 min after the start | 2 h 47to the end, median over 1,894 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.07116% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 116% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 389 of 559 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 559 | 58.5%327 W · 232 L | +34.8 | +0.06 | 52c | +9.8% | 57 |
The 559 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 5,675 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 559 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $6,664 | before 42%in play 58%, over 57 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 42 min after the start | 2 h 10to the end, median over 233 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.08116% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 116% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 51 of 57 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.7 | +0.06 | 50c | +9.1% | 55 |
The 57 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 5,675 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 57 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $28,857 | before 55%in play 45%, over 462 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 55 min before the start | 2 h 38to the end, median over 1,007 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.06123% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 123% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 368 of 463 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 463 | 56.2%260 W · 203 L | +21.2 | +0.05 | 52c | +6.5% | 55 |
The 463 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 5,675 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 463 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Jul 6, 2026, EDT | $4,546 | before 3%in play 97%, over 115 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 29 min after the start | 1 h 32to the end, median over 521 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 65 of them sold before the market settled | +0.08156% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 156% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 120 of 123 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +5.9 | +0.05 | 55c | +2.5% | 54 |
The 123 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 5,675 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 123 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHLlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $10,351 | before 90%in play 10%, over 177 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 12 before the start | 6 h 18to the end, median over 385 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05107% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 107% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 153 of 177 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +8.0 | +0.04 | 54c | +3.6% | 54 |
The 177 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 5,675 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 177 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $126,372 | before 14%in play 86%, over 281 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 00 after the start | 3 h 16to the end, median over 463 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled | +0.06143% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 143% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 279 of 281 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 281 | 52.3%147 W · 134 L | +11.7 | +0.04 | 48c | +2.2% | 54 |
The 281 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 5,675 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 281 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $70,306 | before 5%in play 95%, over 237 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 24 after the start | 1 h 54to the end, median over 395 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 15 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03121% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 121% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 237 of 237 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | +6.0 | +0.03 | 47c | +0.6% | 53 |
The 237 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 5,675 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 237 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Weatherlast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT | $120,775 | before 83%in play 17%, over 1,228 Weather picks with a start of play; typically bought 19 h 17 before the start | 2 dto the end, median over 2,243 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 133 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 53% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 969 of 1,228 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,228 | 43.2%531 W · 697 L | +25.4 | +0.02 | 41c | +11.2% | 52 |
The 1,228 picks behind Weather are not listed here. This wallet has 5,675 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,228 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie Alast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $5,655 | before 47%in play 53%, over 36 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 min after the start | 1 h 54to the end, median over 144 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 29 of 36 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.0 | +0.03 | 44c | -1.5% | 52 |
The 36 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 5,675 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 36 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| F1 Inactivelast settled Sep 6, 2026, EDT | $922 | —too few: 1 pick | 7 h 30to the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.50120% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 120% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4 | +0.42 | 58c | +71.3% | 52 |
The 1 picks behind F1 are not listed here. This wallet has 5,675 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $1,777 | before 57%in play 43%, over 14 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 41 before the start | 1 h 55to the end, median over 61 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.08181% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 181% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 14 of 14 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6 | +0.04 | 53c | +8.4% | 52 |
The 14 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 5,675 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 14 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $3,026 | before 57%in play 43%, over 46 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 24 min before the start | 4 h 07to the end, median over 209 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0294% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 94% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 41 of 46 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.1 | +0.02 | 50c | -0.5% | 52 |
The 46 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 5,675 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 46 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Commodities Inactivelast settled Jun 17, 2026, EDT | $13 | —no start of play | 6 h 17resells, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.37103% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 103% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4 | +0.36 | 64c | +55.9% | 52 |
The 1 picks behind Commodities are not listed here. This wallet has 5,675 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $24,666 | before 36%in play 64%, over 320 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 14 min after the start | 2 h 48to the end, median over 835 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03271% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 271% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 257 of 320 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 320 | 54.7%175 W · 145 L | +3.4 | +0.01 | 54c | -1.7% | 51 |
The 320 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 5,675 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 320 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $1,256 | before 42%in play 58%, over 19 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 15 min after the start | 2 h 20to the end, median over 51 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03152% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 152% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 18 of 19 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.3 | +0.02 | 51c | -1.6% | 51 |
The 19 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 5,675 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 19 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $56,259 | before 48%in play 52%, over 256 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 min after the start | 2 h 41to the end, median over 492 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 250 of 256 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 256 | 50%128 W · 128 L | +1.4 | +0.01 | 49c | -1.4% | 51 |
The 256 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 5,675 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 256 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mlslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $7,494 | before 51%in play 49%, over 147 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 min before the start | 2 h 21to the end, median over 454 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04722% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 722% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 125 of 147 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | +0.8 | +0.01 | 52c | -6.1% | 51 |
The 147 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 5,675 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 147 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Middle East Inactivelast settled Jun 17, 2026, EDT | $32 | —no start of play | 7 h 10resells, median over 19 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 13 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1 | -0.06 | 6c | -100% | 50 |
The 1 picks behind Middle East are not listed here. This wallet has 5,675 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $9,429 | before 23%in play 77%, over 162 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 29 min after the start | 1 h 50to the end, median over 635 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 56 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 146 of 162 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | -1.2 | -0.01 | 52c | -0.9% | 49 |
The 162 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 5,675 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 162 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $5,437 | before 51%in play 49%, over 45 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 min before the start | 2 h 20to the end, median over 148 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 43 of 45 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.7 | -0.02 | 46c | -10% | 49 |
The 45 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 5,675 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 45 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $7,064 | before 43%in play 57%, over 109 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 min after the start | 3 h 43to the end, median over 419 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 95 of 109 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | -2.1 | -0.02 | 49c | -2.7% | 48 |
The 109 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 5,675 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 109 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricketlast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $803 | before 0%in play 100%, over 12 Cricket picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 31 after the start | 4 h 51to the end, median over 78 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 11 of 12 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2 | -0.10 | 60c | -25.5% | 47 |
The 12 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 5,675 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 12 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Australian A Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $143 | —too few: 5 picks | 2 h 46to the end, median over 21 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.26no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9 | -0.19 | 39c | -39.4% | 46 |
The 5 picks behind Australian A League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,675 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $2,976 | before 59%in play 41%, over 58 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 03 before the start | 3 h 39to the end, median over 258 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 50 of 58 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.7 | -0.05 | 53c | -14.5% | 46 |
The 58 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,675 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 58 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $10,633 | before 84%in play 16%, over 195 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 30 before the start | 5 h 28to the end, median over 848 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 159 of 195 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 195 | 49.2%96 W · 99 L | -8.7 | -0.04 | 54c | -12.4% | 46 |
The 195 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,675 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 195 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $6,469 | before 57%in play 43%, over 90 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 55 min before the start | 4 h 07to the end, median over 396 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 73 of 90 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -6.0 | -0.07 | 49c | -24.4% | 44 |
The 90 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,675 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 90 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $20,502 | before 70%in play 30%, over 270 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 24 before the start | 3 h 28to the end, median over 1,065 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 229 of 270 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 270 | 43.3%117 W · 153 L | -16.3 | -0.06 | 49c | -16.6% | 44 |
The 270 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,675 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 270 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorantlast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $12,080 | before 35%in play 65%, over 43 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 8 min after the start | 2 h 58to the end, median over 103 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.17no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 43 of 43 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -7.3 | -0.17 | 47c | -43.2% | 38 |
The 43 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 5,675 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 43 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 290
- What they are worth now
- $15,292bought for $15,029
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 0worth $0
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 290, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Now | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bengals vs. Ravens (opens in a new tab)backed Bengals | 4,407 | 56c | 59c | $2,578 |
| Spread: Bengals (-1.5) (opens in a new tab)backed Bengals | 4,419 | 52c | 56c | $2,497 |
| FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Under | 2,809 | 55c | 56c | $1,559 |
| Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Liquid (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage (opens in a new tab)backed FUT Esports | 1,992 | 71c | 73c | $1,444 |
| SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Under | 2,851 | 42c | 47c | $1,326 |
| TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Over | 898.47 | 52c | 54c | $481 |
| Spread: Lions (-3.5) (opens in a new tab)backed Lions | 673.99 | 45c | 51c | $340 |
| RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Over | 610.22 | 55c | 56c | $339 |
| Spread: Ravens (-1.5) (opens in a new tab)backed Ravens | 780.14 | 47c | 39c | $300 |
| Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Over | 581 | 41c | 43c | $250 |
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.