Wallet 0x21ff…0d71
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x21ffd2b7a212a6f277ed3eca1a9f8efcbca90d71
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$3,934,346 staked over 20,618 qualified picks in 55 categories, 37 of 55 below 50.
Best category
Serie A
$8,168 staked over 49 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.10 per pick.
See the full Serie A boardSecond best
South American Leagues
$7,581 staked over 53 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.07 per pick.
See the full South American Leagues boardThird best
Euroleague
$2,244 staked over 14 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.06 per pick.
See the full Euroleague boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 20,618 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category55 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 20,618 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A Inactivelast settled Oct 11, 2026, EDT | $8,168 | before 100%in play 0%, over 44 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 11 h 40 before the start | 11 h 58resells, median over 103 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 86 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1699% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 32 of 49 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +7.7 | +0.16 | 56c | +26.6% | 62 |
The 49 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 20,618 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 49 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagues Inactivelast settled Oct 8, 2026, EDT | $7,581 | before 100%in play 0%, over 53 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 13 h 12 before the start | 10 h 10resells, median over 119 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 102 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1099% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 31 of 53 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +5.4 | +0.10 | 60c | +36.6% | 58 |
The 53 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 20,618 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 53 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleague Inactivelast settled May 31, 2026, EDT | $2,244 | before 100%in play 0%, over 11 Euroleague picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 h 04 before the start | 10 h 38resells, median over 30 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 25 of them sold before the market settled | +0.18104% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 104% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 9 of 14 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4 | +0.17 | 47c | +33.9% | 57 |
The 14 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 20,618 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 14 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFClast settled Oct 10, 2026, EDT | $9,475 | before 100%in play 0%, over 49 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 44 h 37 before the start | 1 dresells, median over 136 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 105 of them sold before the market settled | +0.08100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 21 of 60 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +4.9 | +0.08 | 57c | +23.1% | 56 |
The 60 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 20,618 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 60 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 15, 2026, EDT | $4,909 | before 100%in play 0%, over 45 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 8 h 55 before the start | 6 h 33resells, median over 127 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 118 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0797% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 97% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 26 of 50 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +3.4 | +0.07 | 59c | +3.3% | 55 |
The 50 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 20,618 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 50 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Oct 1, 2026, EDT | $2,869 | before 100%in play 0%, over 20 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 16 h 05 before the start | 2 dresells, median over 78 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 58 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0578% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 78% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 14 of 32 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.2 | +0.07 | 56c | -10.1% | 54 |
The 32 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 20,618 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 32 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $20,316 | before 100%in play 0%, over 60 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 15 h 21 before the start | 14 h 11resells, median over 172 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 154 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0599% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 42 of 65 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | +3.1 | +0.05 | 57c | +7.9% | 54 |
The 65 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 20,618 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 65 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $5,075 | before 97%in play 3%, over 33 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 44 before the start | 5 h 23resells, median over 80 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 69 of them sold before the market settled | +0.06103% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 103% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 19 of 33 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.9 | +0.06 | 61c | +4% | 54 |
The 33 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 20,618 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 33 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHL Inactivelast settled Sep 20, 2026, EDT | $18,716 | before 100%in play 0%, over 40 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 14 h 37 before the start | 4 dresells, median over 178 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 144 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0387% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 87% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 41 of 78 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.3 | +0.03 | 50c | -8.9% | 52 |
The 78 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 20,618 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 78 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $26,240 | before 100%in play 0%, over 111 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 9 h 52 before the start | 14 h 32resells, median over 354 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 276 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0292% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 92% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 96 of 154 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +3.4 | +0.02 | 53c | -11% | 52 |
The 154 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 20,618 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 154 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Stockslast settled Oct 13, 2026, EDT | $14,139 | —no start of play | 3 dresells, median over 789 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 536 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03153% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 153% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 45 of 181 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 181 | 47.5%86 W · 95 L | +3.4 | +0.02 | 46c | -15.4% | 52 |
The 181 picks behind Stocks are not listed here. This wallet has 20,618 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 181 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $16,095 | before 100%in play 0%, over 77 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 9 h 23 before the start | 4 h 31resells, median over 327 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 291 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0279% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 79% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 65 of 105 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +2.1 | +0.02 | 64c | -1.9% | 52 |
The 105 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 20,618 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 105 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Spacelast settled Aug 30, 2026, EDT | $1,051 | —no start of play | 4 dresells, median over 41 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 34 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04111% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 111% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 4 of 21 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.7 | +0.03 | 40c | +9.5% | 52 |
The 21 picks behind Space are not listed here. This wallet has 20,618 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 21 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Australian A League Inactivelast settled Apr 25, 2026, EDT | $184 | —too few: 1 pick | 1 dresells, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.37100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4 | +0.37 | 63c | +58.7% | 52 |
The 1 picks behind Australian A League are not listed here. This wallet has 20,618 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorantlast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $53,874 | before 97%in play 3%, over 266 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 22 before the start | 5 h 26resells, median over 401 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 285 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02105% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 105% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 150 of 283 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 283 | 53.7%152 W · 131 L | +4.3 | +0.02 | 52c | +2.6% | 52 |
The 283 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 20,618 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 283 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 7, 2026, EDT | $462,163 | before 100%in play 0%, over 682 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 11 h 07 before the start | 13 h 23resells, median over 3,157 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2,592 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01112% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 112% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 598 of 1,120 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,120 | 50.1%561 W · 559 L | +6.1 | +0.01 | 50c | -6.8% | 51 |
The 1,120 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 20,618 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,120 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1 Inactivelast settled Sep 6, 2026, EDT | $2,767 | before 100%in play 0%, over 10 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 12 h 48 before the start | 18 h 19resells, median over 46 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 35 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01129% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 129% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 8 of 11 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1 | +0.01 | 54c | -6.9% | 50 |
The 11 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 20,618 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 11 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Olympicslast settled Feb 22, 2026, EST | $6,642 | —no start of play | 5 dresells, median over 58 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 46 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0199% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1 | +0.01 | 49c | -34.2% | 50 |
The 4 picks behind Olympics are not listed here. This wallet has 20,618 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2 Inactivelast settled Sep 17, 2026, EDT | $62,231 | before 99%in play 1%, over 235 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 05 before the start | 8 h 07resells, median over 477 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 371 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 151 of 277 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 277 | 50.5%140 W · 137 L | -0.3 | 0.00 | 51c | -0.5% | 50 |
The 277 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 20,618 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 277 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $42,510 | before 100%in play 0%, over 118 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 14 h 46 before the start | 4 dresells, median over 665 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 510 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 142 of 264 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 264 | 47.7%126 W · 138 L | -0.7 | 0.00 | 48c | -8.4% | 50 |
The 264 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 20,618 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 264 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| China Taiwanlast settled Sep 26, 2026, EDT | $8,570 | —no start of play | 6 dresells, median over 200 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 157 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 25 of 56 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.4 | -0.01 | 49c | -18.9% | 50 |
The 56 picks behind China Taiwan are not listed here. This wallet has 20,618 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 56 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| F1last settled Oct 12, 2026, EDT | $15,970 | before 100%in play 0%, over 84 F1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 36 h 15 before the start | 22 h 24resells, median over 307 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 240 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 36 of 102 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -0.7 | -0.01 | 50c | +11.1% | 49 |
The 102 picks behind F1 are not listed here. This wallet has 20,618 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 102 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagues Inactivelast settled Oct 12, 2026, EDT | $5,017 | before 100%in play 0%, over 44 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 9 h 49 before the start | 6 h 16resells, median over 100 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 91 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 26 of 44 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -0.7 | -0.02 | 65c | -4.1% | 49 |
The 44 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 20,618 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 44 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricketlast settled Oct 14, 2026, EDT | $1,171 | —too few: 5 picks | 17 h 19resells, median over 51 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 47 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 13 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5 | -0.04 | 50c | -21.2% | 49 |
The 13 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 20,618 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 13 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Earningslast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $17,152 | —no start of play | 2 dresells, median over 473 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 364 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 74 of 232 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 232 | 43.1%100 W · 132 L | -3.4 | -0.01 | 45c | -5% | 49 |
The 232 picks behind Earnings are not listed here. This wallet has 20,618 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 232 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| World Politicslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $400,770 | —no start of play | 3 dresells, median over 3,634 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2,606 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 527 of 1,306 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,306 | 45.9%600 W · 706 L | -24.9 | -0.02 | 48c | -11.8% | 48 |
The 1,306 picks behind World Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 20,618 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,306 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesliga Inactivelast settled Oct 9, 2026, EDT | $4,465 | before 100%in play 0%, over 17 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 13 h 35 before the start | 12 h 17resells, median over 53 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 45 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 12 of 18 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.8 | -0.05 | 60c | -20.7% | 48 |
The 18 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 20,618 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 18 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT | $64,094 | before 99%in play 1%, over 140 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 9 h 47 before the start | 22 h 53resells, median over 378 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 271 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 135 of 211 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -4.8 | -0.02 | 49c | -10.3% | 48 |
The 211 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 20,618 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 211 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Weatherlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $565,453 | before 85%in play 15%, over 8,634 Weather picks with a start of play; typically bought 12 h 51 before the start | 16 h 04resells, median over 30,586 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 21,776 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4,322 of 8,840 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 8,840 | 49.1%4,338 W · 4,502 L | -196.0 | -0.02 | 51c | -7.5% | 48 |
The 8,840 picks behind Weather are not listed here. This wallet has 20,618 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 8,840 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT | $85,010 | before >99%in play <1%, over 384 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 10 h 13 before the start | 9 h 57resells, median over 910 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 803 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 256 of 428 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -10.5 | -0.02 | 54c | -6.4% | 47 |
The 428 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 20,618 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 428 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fed Rateslast settled Sep 30, 2026, EDT | $105,824 | —no start of play | 10 dresells, median over 402 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 288 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 53 of 159 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 159 | 43.4%69 W · 90 L | -4.7 | -0.03 | 46c | -23.4% | 47 |
The 159 picks behind Fed Rates are not listed here. This wallet has 20,618 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 159 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Token Launcheslast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $44,071 | —no start of play | 4 dresells, median over 923 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 642 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 88 of 242 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 242 | 36%87 W · 155 L | -6.9 | -0.03 | 39c | -16.2% | 47 |
The 242 picks behind Token Launches are not listed here. This wallet has 20,618 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 242 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Midtermslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $92,505 | —no start of play | 13 dresells, median over 1,141 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 720 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 176 of 443 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 443 | 39.5%175 W · 268 L | -12.6 | -0.03 | 42c | -26.9% | 47 |
The 443 picks behind Us Midterms are not listed here. This wallet has 20,618 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 443 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketballlast settled Jun 23, 2026, EDT | $46,229 | before 96%in play 4%, over 282 Ncaa Basketball picks with a start of play; typically bought 10 h 41 before the start | 9 h 28resells, median over 416 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 361 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 182 of 306 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | -9.0 | -0.03 | 52c | -7.8% | 47 |
The 306 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 20,618 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 306 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $52,700 | before 97%in play 3%, over 238 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 8 h 17 before the start | 9 h 25resells, median over 451 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 354 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 140 of 280 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 280 | 45%126 W · 154 L | -8.3 | -0.03 | 48c | -16.2% | 47 |
The 280 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 20,618 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 280 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $26,771 | before 100%in play 0%, over 34 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 8 h 54 before the start | 3 dresells, median over 475 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 340 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 63 of 150 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 150 | 46.7%70 W · 80 L | -4.8 | -0.03 | 50c | -14% | 47 |
The 150 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 20,618 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 150 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Pokerlast settled Aug 6, 2026, EDT | $144 | —no start of play | 6 h 54resells, median over 7 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | -0.38no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8 | -0.38 | 38c | -100% | 47 |
The 2 picks behind Poker are not listed here. This wallet has 20,618 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tweetslast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $114,369 | —no start of play | 3 dresells, median over 4,013 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2,928 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 277 of 597 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 597 | 46.4%277 W · 320 L | -19.1 | -0.03 | 50c | -13.6% | 47 |
The 597 picks behind Tweets are not listed here. This wallet has 20,618 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 597 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| AIlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $149,949 | —no start of play | 7 dresells, median over 2,188 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1,439 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 229 of 607 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 607 | 34.8%211 W · 396 L | -19.9 | -0.03 | 38c | -29.4% | 47 |
The 607 picks behind AI are not listed here. This wallet has 20,618 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 607 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Middle Eastlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $591,638 | —no start of play | 5 dresells, median over 2,254 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1,527 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 343 of 791 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 791 | 40.7%322 W · 469 L | -27.0 | -0.03 | 44c | -20% | 46 |
The 791 picks behind Middle East are not listed here. This wallet has 20,618 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 791 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mls Inactivelast settled Oct 6, 2026, EDT | $4,760 | before 100%in play 0%, over 30 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 11 h 53 before the start | 6 h 52resells, median over 65 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 57 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 19 of 30 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.9 | -0.06 | 63c | -16.8% | 46 |
The 30 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 20,618 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 30 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Venezuelalast settled Oct 1, 2026, EDT | $31,909 | —no start of play | 5 dresells, median over 161 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 120 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 30 of 58 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.0 | -0.05 | 43c | -36.1% | 46 |
The 58 picks behind Venezuela are not listed here. This wallet has 20,618 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 58 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2last settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT | $43,202 | before 97%in play 3%, over 236 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 29 before the start | 4 h 30resells, median over 332 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 274 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 140 of 240 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -9.8 | -0.04 | 51c | -9.9% | 46 |
The 240 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 20,618 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 240 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Macro Indicatorslast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $44,418 | —no start of play | 12 dresells, median over 550 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 417 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 78 of 201 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 201 | 46.8%94 W · 107 L | -9.0 | -0.04 | 51c | -21% | 46 |
The 201 picks behind Macro Indicators are not listed here. This wallet has 20,618 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 201 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Musiclast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT | $48,418 | —no start of play | 5 dresells, median over 646 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 461 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 67 of 199 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 199 | 33.2%66 W · 133 L | -10.0 | -0.05 | 38c | +14.2% | 45 |
The 199 picks behind Music are not listed here. This wallet has 20,618 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 199 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $27,626 | before 100%in play 0%, over 82 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 h 35 before the start | 13 h 44resells, median over 204 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 130 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 51 of 104 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -6.2 | -0.06 | 49c | -20.9% | 45 |
The 104 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 20,618 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 104 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Crypto Milestones Inactivelast settled Oct 1, 2026, EDT | $34,574 | —no start of play | 3 dresells, median over 1,347 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1,085 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 57 of 124 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 124 | 33.9%42 W · 82 L | -7.3 | -0.06 | 40c | -30.2% | 45 |
The 124 picks behind Crypto Milestones are not listed here. This wallet has 20,618 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 124 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Golf Inactivelast settled Aug 31, 2026, EDT | $3,377 | before 30%in play 70%, over 27 Golf picks with a start of play; typically bought 21 h 03 after the start | 2 dresells, median over 202 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 159 of them sold before the market settled | -0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 13 of 41 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -3.4 | -0.08 | 43c | -15.9% | 44 |
The 41 picks behind Golf are not listed here. This wallet has 20,618 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 41 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Chess Inactivelast settled Aug 19, 2026, EDT | $1,987 | —too few: 5 picks | 18 h 51resells, median over 79 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 69 of them sold before the market settled | -0.11no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 8 of 27 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.7 | -0.10 | 51c | -33.3% | 44 |
The 27 picks behind Chess are not listed here. This wallet has 20,618 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 27 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Boxing Inactivelast settled Sep 12, 2026, EDT | $6,967 | —too few: 3 picks | 2 dresells, median over 62 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 42 of them sold before the market settled | -0.15no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 9 of 21 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.5 | -0.12 | 45c | -13.4% | 44 |
The 21 picks behind Boxing are not listed here. This wallet has 20,618 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 21 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Commoditieslast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $193,022 | —no start of play | 5 dresells, median over 1,462 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 922 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 170 of 414 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 414 | 36.5%151 W · 263 L | -24.4 | -0.06 | 42c | -33.3% | 44 |
The 414 picks behind Commodities are not listed here. This wallet has 20,618 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 414 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ukrainelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $135,192 | —no start of play | 17 dresells, median over 989 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 610 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 151 of 423 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 423 | 36.9%156 W · 267 L | -25.5 | -0.06 | 43c | -39.8% | 44 |
The 423 picks behind Ukraine are not listed here. This wallet has 20,618 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 423 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Movieslast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $65,487 | —no start of play | 3 dresells, median over 1,475 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1,028 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 137 of 405 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 405 | 38.3%155 W · 250 L | -24.6 | -0.06 | 44c | -24.8% | 44 |
The 405 picks behind Movies are not listed here. This wallet has 20,618 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 405 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Politicslast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT | $118,861 | —no start of play | 6 dresells, median over 1,284 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 966 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 185 of 579 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 579 | 33%191 W · 388 L | -42.4 | -0.07 | 40c | -30.3% | 42 |
The 579 picks behind Us Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 20,618 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 579 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| IPOlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $15,422 | —no start of play | 18 dresells, median over 236 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 162 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 32 of 70 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -7.3 | -0.10 | 43c | -47.9% | 41 |
The 70 picks behind IPO are not listed here. This wallet has 20,618 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 70 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
This wallet holds more positions than we read. We counted at least 500 running positions and stopped there. So no figure is shown: one side of a hedge could be in the part we did not reach. Wallets this size are almost certainly market makers, not forecasters. The record above is not affected.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.