Ligue 1 · one pick
Wallet 0x23d4…5607 got this right.
Le Havre AC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x23d4b23cd19441d2156c35c545650c8bff485607/m/0xfd0bda97d58438ad473acfc3a81d000db0a71d059518d51dfc61d7d825fbf1d2
Rebuilt .
What this wallet called, and what happened
- Backed
- Yesat 51c — the average price it paid on that side
- What happened
- Yes won · US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Position
- 196.08 shares$100 spent on the side it backed
- P/L held to resolution
- +$96.08+96.1% on this pick, not cash withdrawn
TailMyPicks grades a pick on the market’s winning outcome whether or not the wallet sold beforehand — buying the winner at 40c and selling at 80c is still a correct forecast. Backed is the side left once opposing buys cancel each other share for share, so a fully hedged market yields no pick at all.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
One call is not a record. Here is this wallet’s whole Ligue 1 record.
| Wallet | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x23d4…5607in Ligue 1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
These 7 columns describe every qualified pick this wallet holds in Ligue 1 and say nothing about the market above. vs expected is the number of wins over what the prices it paid already implied, which is what separates a forecaster from somebody who bought favourites.
From here
- This wallet’s whole record, category by categoryEvery category it is scored in, with the ones below 50 counted as loudly as the ones above.
- Everyone who was on this market16 wallets hold a qualified pick here, largest position first, each with its Ligue 1 record.
- Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)The venue’s own page for the question. TailMyPicks never calls Polymarket while rendering — this is a link you follow, not a request this page makes.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.