Wallet 0x2765…7ee4
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x27653cd5aab78f00563f50a03c12504a9b877ee4
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$3,256,584 staked over 3,692 qualified picks in 34 categories, 10 of 34 below 50.
Best category
MLB
$5,043 staked over 26 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.09 per pick.
See the full MLB boardSecond best
Fifa International
$55,907 staked over 70 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.07 per pick.
See the full Fifa International boardThird best
Tennis
$88,169 staked over 188 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.06 per pick.
See the full Tennis boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 3,692 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category34 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 3,692 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB Inactivelast settled Nov 2, 2025, EST | $5,043 | before 33%in play 67%, over 18 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 35 min after the start | 8 h 12to the end, median over 99 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 46 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1796% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 96% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 10 of 26 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.7 | +0.18 | 51c | +25.4% | 60 |
The 26 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 3,692 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 26 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Jul 19, 2026, EDT | $55,907 | before 19%in play 81%, over 42 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 50 min after the start | 4 h 06to the end, median over 134 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 10 of them sold before the market settled | +0.10105% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 105% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 37 of 70 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.4 | +0.09 | 42c | +17% | 57 |
The 70 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 3,692 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 70 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennis Inactivelast settled Sep 12, 2026, EDT | $88,169 | before 9%in play 91%, over 112 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 26 after the start | 2 h 59to the end, median over 664 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 63 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0688% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 88% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 94 of 188 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 188 | 41%77 W · 111 L | +13.5 | +0.07 | 34c | +3% | 57 |
The 188 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 3,692 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 188 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier League Inactivelast settled May 22, 2026, EDT | $96,637 | before 10%in play 90%, over 332 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 32 min after the start | 4 h 19to the end, median over 722 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 52 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0575% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 75% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 253 of 342 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9 | +0.06 | 45c | +9.3% | 57 |
The 342 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,692 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 342 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBA Inactivelast settled Dec 19, 2025, EST | $13,619 | before 4%in play 96%, over 98 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 08 after the start | 3 h 49to the end, median over 220 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 27 of them sold before the market settled | +0.08104% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 104% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 85 of 112 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +8.2 | +0.07 | 43c | +14.4% | 57 |
The 112 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 3,692 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 112 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Olympicslast settled Feb 22, 2026, EST | $1,419 | —too few: 3 picks | 2 dto the end, median over 17 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1998% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 98% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 11 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.1 | +0.19 | 35c | +1.3% | 57 |
The 11 picks behind Olympics are not listed here. This wallet has 3,692 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 11 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $1,133,040 | before 7%in play 93%, over 700 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 57 min after the start | 3 h 18to the end, median over 1,116 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 157 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0381% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 81% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 643 of 753 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 753 | 53.4%402 W · 351 L | +30.9 | +0.04 | 49c | +8.3% | 54 |
The 753 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,692 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 753 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions League Inactivelast settled Apr 29, 2026, EDT | $80,528 | before 19%in play 81%, over 159 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 18 min after the start | 4 h 22to the end, median over 384 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 41 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 55% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 111 of 173 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9 | +0.04 | 44c | -1.9% | 54 |
The 173 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,692 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 173 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesliga Inactivelast settled Jan 23, 2026, EST | $400 | —too few: 8 picks | 3 h 00to the end, median over 52 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1282% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 82% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 5 of 8 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1 | +0.14 | 36c | +2.8% | 54 |
The 8 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 3,692 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 8 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2last settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $861,121 | before 6%in play 94%, over 617 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 11 after the start | 3 h 13to the end, median over 904 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 140 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 63% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 561 of 625 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 625 | 52.2%326 W · 299 L | +20.0 | +0.03 | 49c | +6.1% | 53 |
The 625 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,692 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 625 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1 Inactivelast settled Oct 5, 2025, EDT | $1,168 | —too few: 4 picks | 2 h 19to the end, median over 33 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.2096% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 96% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8 | +0.21 | 29c | +184.2% | 53 |
The 4 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,692 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Chess Inactivelast settled Nov 30, 2024, EST | $49 | —no start of play | 1 dto the end, median over 5 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.3693% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 93% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8 | +0.38 | 62c | +63.5% | 53 |
The 2 picks behind Chess are not listed here. This wallet has 3,692 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFC Inactivelast settled Jun 27, 2026, EDT | $97,925 | before 74%in play 26%, over 50 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 15 h 51 before the start | 3 h 39to the end, median over 310 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 112 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0385% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 85% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 57 of 202 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +6.0 | +0.03 | 46c | +4.3% | 53 |
The 202 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 3,692 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 202 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| World Politics Inactivelast settled Nov 14, 2024, EST | $308 | —no start of play | 7 h 32to the end, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.69100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7 | +0.69 | 31c | +217.8% | 53 |
The 1 picks behind World Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 3,692 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| F1 Inactivelast settled Dec 7, 2025, EST | $7,725 | —too few: 6 picks | 21 h 00resells, median over 52 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 35 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0591% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 91% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 5 of 18 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.1 | +0.06 | 66c | -1.4% | 53 |
The 18 picks behind F1 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,692 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 18 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorantlast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $46,663 | before 0%in play 100%, over 42 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 07 after the start | 3 h 06to the end, median over 62 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 10 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 53% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 42 of 47 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +1.6 | +0.03 | 56c | +17.4% | 52 |
The 47 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 3,692 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 47 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $579,269 | before 7%in play 93%, over 503 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 06 after the start | 3 h 20to the end, median over 680 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 153 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 68% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 477 of 514 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 514 | 47.9%246 W · 268 L | +10.1 | +0.02 | 46c | -3.2% | 52 |
The 514 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 3,692 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 514 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Golf Inactivelast settled Jul 20, 2025, EDT | $3,348 | —no start of play | 23 h 14to the end, median over 31 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled | +0.09100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6 | +0.09 | 57c | +12.4% | 52 |
The 6 picks behind Golf are not listed here. This wallet has 3,692 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 6 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagues Inactivelast settled Oct 5, 2025, EDT | $140 | —too few: 1 pick | 2 h 43to the end, median over 10 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.4193% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 93% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4 | +0.44 | 56c | +78.6% | 52 |
The 1 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 3,692 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ukraine Inactivelast settled Oct 1, 2024, EDT | $355 | —no start of play | 10 dto the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.24100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2 | +0.24 | 76c | +31.6% | 51 |
The 1 picks behind Ukraine are not listed here. This wallet has 3,692 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagues Inactivelast settled Sep 21, 2025, EDT | $43 | —too few: 2 picks | 4 h 22to the end, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.10100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2 | +0.10 | 40c | -10.7% | 51 |
The 2 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 3,692 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Liga Inactivelast settled Jan 17, 2026, EST | $32,070 | before 10%in play 90%, over 63 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 39 min after the start | 3 h 44to the end, median over 145 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 14 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 49 of 65 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +0.4 | +0.01 | 44c | -10.5% | 50 |
The 65 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 3,692 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 65 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference League Inactivelast settled Mar 12, 2026, EDT | $18,591 | before 27%in play 73%, over 60 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 44 min after the start | 4 h 18to the end, median over 182 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled | 0.0098% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 98% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 30 of 66 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.3 | 0.00 | 47c | -6.6% | 50 |
The 66 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,692 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 66 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHL Inactivelast settled Jan 3, 2026, EST | $10,823 | before 2%in play 98%, over 54 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 55 min after the start | 3 h 20to the end, median over 156 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 18 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 36 of 56 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | 0.0 | 0.00 | 34c | +21.5% | 50 |
The 56 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 3,692 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 56 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Football Inactivelast settled Dec 30, 2025, EST | $21,572 | before 40%in play 60%, over 84 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 35 min after the start | 4 h 42to the end, median over 176 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 19 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 39 of 86 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.3 | 0.00 | 43c | -3.5% | 50 |
The 86 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 3,692 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 86 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFL Inactivelast settled Feb 9, 2026, EST | $72,540 | before 34%in play 66%, over 163 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 21 min after the start | 5 h 51to the end, median over 484 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 155 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 110 of 228 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | -2.7 | -0.01 | 40c | -18.7% | 49 |
The 228 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 3,692 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 228 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Movies Inactivelast settled Mar 16, 2026, EDT | $701 | —no start of play | 4 h 08to the end, median over 35 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 14 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 10 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.5 | -0.05 | 15c | -81% | 48 |
The 10 picks behind Movies are not listed here. This wallet has 3,692 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 10 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Boxing Inactivelast settled Apr 12, 2026, EDT | $11,626 | —too few: 1 pick | 8 h 09resells, median over 16 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 13 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8 | -0.06 | 53c | -17.5% | 48 |
The 13 picks behind Boxing are not listed here. This wallet has 3,692 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 13 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Weather Inactivelast settled Mar 18, 2025, EDT | $58 | —no start of play | 17 h 32resells, median over 164 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 94 of them sold before the market settled | -0.39no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7 | -0.23 | 23c | -100% | 47 |
The 3 picks behind Weather are not listed here. This wallet has 3,692 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Music Inactivelast settled May 18, 2025, EDT | $1,946 | —no start of play | 6 h 39resells, median over 5 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.25no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7 | -0.24 | 24c | -100% | 47 |
The 3 picks behind Music are not listed here. This wallet has 3,692 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast settled Apr 8, 2025, EDT | $5,275 | before 36%in play 64%, over 14 Ncaa Basketball picks with a start of play; typically bought 55 min after the start | 12 h 34to the end, median over 88 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 31 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 10 of 31 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.5 | -0.05 | 37c | +20.5% | 47 |
The 31 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 3,692 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 31 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie A Inactivelast settled Jan 14, 2026, EST | $6,173 | before 7%in play 93%, over 15 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 52 min after the start | 3 h 27to the end, median over 39 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 11 of 15 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.1 | -0.07 | 61c | -19.3% | 47 |
The 15 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 3,692 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 15 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mls Inactivelast settled Sep 22, 2025, EDT | $238 | —too few: 4 picks | 4 h 25to the end, median over 10 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.25no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0 | -0.25 | 25c | -100% | 46 |
The 4 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 3,692 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBA Inactivelast settled Oct 21, 2024, EDT | $2,093 | —too few: 3 picks | 8 h 04to the end, median over 11 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.29no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7 | -0.29 | 46c | -77.3% | 44 |
The 6 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 3,692 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 6 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 1
- What they are worth now
- $1,106bought for $1,008
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 0worth $0
Its one running position
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Now | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 1,309 | 77c | 85c | $1,106 |
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.