Wallet 0x277b…31fa
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x277ba20ae11cd6a022e2f087dc7ee3835ab031fa
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$689,314 staked over 5,252 qualified picks in 32 categories, 11 of 32 below 50.
Best category
Cricket
$3,714 staked over 41 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.14 per pick.
See the full Cricket boardSecond best
MLB
$7,128 staked over 62 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.11 per pick.
See the full MLB boardThird best
Asian League
$6,085 staked over 133 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.08 per pick.
See the full Asian League boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 5,252 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category32 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 5,252 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cricketlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $3,714 | before 0%in play 100%, over 41 Cricket picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 30 after the start | 4 h 29to the end, median over 73 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.2088% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 88% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 37 of 41 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +9.5 | +0.23 | 45c | +42.2% | 66 |
The 41 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 5,252 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 41 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $7,128 | before 3%in play 97%, over 62 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 38 min after the start | 2 h 25to the end, median over 173 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.11out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 74% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 51 of 62 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +9.4 | +0.15 | 51c | +27.3% | 62 |
The 62 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 5,252 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 62 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $6,085 | before 0%in play 100%, over 133 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 12 after the start | 2 h 37to the end, median over 318 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0776% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 76% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 114 of 133 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | +11.9 | +0.09 | 50c | +16.3% | 58 |
The 133 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,252 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 133 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $5,766 | before 0%in play 100%, over 83 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 35 min after the start | 2 h 03to the end, median over 196 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 56% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 73 of 83 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +7.7 | +0.09 | 52c | +11.3% | 58 |
The 83 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,252 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 83 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Politics Inactivelast settled Jul 12, 2025, EDT | $1,532 | —no start of play | 1 dresells, median over 6 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | +0.3299% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.9 | +0.32 | 18c | +217.2% | 57 |
The 6 picks behind Us Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 5,252 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 6 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $5,963 | before 0%in play 100%, over 90 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 00 after the start | 3 h 16to the end, median over 251 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0584% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 84% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 80 of 90 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | +5.7 | +0.06 | 54c | +6.1% | 56 |
The 90 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 5,252 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 90 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorantlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $11,271 | before 3%in play 97%, over 117 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 04 after the start | 2 h 25to the end, median over 234 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0583% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 83% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 107 of 117 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | +6.6 | +0.06 | 48c | +6.6% | 55 |
The 117 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 5,252 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 117 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $228,859 | before 3%in play 97%, over 968 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 25 after the start | 1 h 19to the end, median over 1,514 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 30 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 73% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 753 of 969 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 969 | 50.6%490 W · 479 L | +43.8 | +0.05 | 46c | +6% | 55 |
The 969 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 5,252 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 969 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $43,038 | before 4%in play 96%, over 201 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 57 after the start | 41 minto the end, median over 312 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 46% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 168 of 201 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | +9.7 | +0.05 | 43c | +3.7% | 55 |
The 201 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 5,252 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 201 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $30,558 | before <1%in play >99%, over 253 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 48 after the start | 1 h 10to the end, median over 391 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 51% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 168 of 253 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 253 | 54.5%138 W · 115 L | +9.9 | +0.04 | 51c | +0.6% | 54 |
The 253 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 5,252 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 253 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Australian A Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $819 | —too few: 9 picks | 2 h 41to the end, median over 20 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.17129% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 129% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 8 of 9 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2 | +0.13 | 54c | +27.7% | 54 |
The 9 picks behind Australian A League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,252 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 9 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $2,879 | before 0%in play 100%, over 22 Euroleague picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 40 after the start | 2 h 29to the end, median over 31 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 67% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 22 of 22 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2 | +0.06 | 49c | +3.4% | 53 |
The 22 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 5,252 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 22 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie Alast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $3,238 | before 0%in play 100%, over 43 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 33 min after the start | 1 h 44to the end, median over 93 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 38% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 41 of 43 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.5 | +0.04 | 50c | -5% | 52 |
The 43 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 5,252 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 43 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $14,696 | before 0%in play 100%, over 89 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 38 min after the start | 3 h 15to the end, median over 206 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 69% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 80 of 89 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +2.5 | +0.03 | 51c | -0.4% | 52 |
The 89 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,252 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 89 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Boxing Inactivelast settled Sep 13, 2026, EDT | $893 | —too few: 2 picks | 4 h 16to the end, median over 5 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.2997% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 97% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6 | +0.29 | 71c | +42.3% | 52 |
The 2 picks behind Boxing are not listed here. This wallet has 5,252 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast settled Feb 25, 2026, EST | $258 | —too few: 3 picks | 3 h 23to the end, median over 7 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.20106% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 106% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6 | +0.19 | 48c | +46.7% | 52 |
The 3 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 5,252 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1last settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $1,653 | before 0%in play 100%, over 31 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 24 after the start | 1 h 02to the end, median over 60 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.08282% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 282% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 30 of 31 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.9 | +0.03 | 49c | +12.5% | 52 |
The 31 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 5,252 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 31 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $22,138 | before 0%in play 100%, over 234 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 55 min after the start | 2 h 45to the end, median over 494 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 216 of 234 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 234 | 49.6%116 W · 118 L | +2.7 | +0.01 | 48c | +9.7% | 51 |
The 234 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 5,252 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 234 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHLlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $14,388 | before 1%in play 99%, over 143 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 19 after the start | 1 h 50to the end, median over 300 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 122 of 143 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | +1.6 | +0.01 | 48c | +1.5% | 51 |
The 143 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 5,252 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 143 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $43,337 | before 2%in play 98%, over 522 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 00 after the start | 3 h 20to the end, median over 874 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 509 of 522 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 522 | 46%240 W · 282 L | +1.7 | 0.00 | 46c | -2.7% | 50 |
The 522 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 5,252 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 522 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $3,437 | before 0%in play 100%, over 24 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 20 after the start | 1 h 40to the end, median over 48 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 23 of 24 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.1 | 0.00 | 54c | +16.8% | 50 |
The 24 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 5,252 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 24 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Crypto Milestones Inactivelast settled Jan 1, 2026, EST | $418 | —no start of play | 101 dto the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0 | -0.01 | 51c | -27.5% | 50 |
The 2 picks behind Crypto Milestones are not listed here. This wallet has 5,252 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| AI Inactivelast settled Feb 1, 2026, EST | $11 | —no start of play | 15 h 07resells, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1 | -0.06 | 6c | -100% | 50 |
The 1 picks behind AI are not listed here. This wallet has 5,252 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $25,917 | before 0%in play 100%, over 141 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 12 after the start | 1 h 32to the end, median over 221 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 90 of 141 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -0.6 | 0.00 | 45c | +15% | 50 |
The 141 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 5,252 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 141 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $24,729 | before 1%in play 99%, over 281 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 26 after the start | 2 h 17to the end, median over 459 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 273 of 281 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 281 | 46.6%131 W · 150 L | -2.9 | -0.01 | 48c | -16.3% | 49 |
The 281 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 5,252 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 281 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mlslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $13,869 | before 0%in play 100%, over 179 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 53 min after the start | 1 h 42to the end, median over 369 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 167 of 179 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 179 | 49.7%89 W · 90 L | -2.1 | -0.01 | 51c | -3.9% | 49 |
The 179 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 5,252 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 179 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $77,494 | before 3%in play 97%, over 835 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 01 after the start | 2 h 03to the end, median over 1,408 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 806 of 835 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 835 | 43.2%361 W · 474 L | -20.5 | -0.02 | 46c | -14.1% | 47 |
The 835 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 5,252 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 835 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Middle East Inactivelast settled Feb 22, 2026, EST | $21,407 | —no start of play | 3 dto the end, median over 34 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 14 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 14 of 24 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.3 | -0.05 | 26c | -29.6% | 47 |
The 24 picks behind Middle East are not listed here. This wallet has 5,252 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 24 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $9,567 | before 1%in play 99%, over 121 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 14 after the start | 1 h 53to the end, median over 263 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 116 of 121 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -4.1 | -0.03 | 54c | -6.7% | 47 |
The 121 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 5,252 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 121 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $9,884 | before 0%in play 100%, over 45 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 12 after the start | 2 h 12to the end, median over 93 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 42 of 45 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.0 | -0.04 | 49c | -17.4% | 47 |
The 45 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 5,252 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 45 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 7, 2026, EDT | $40,624 | before <1%in play >99%, over 457 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 38 min after the start | 3 h 24to the end, median over 821 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 399 of 457 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 457 | 45.7%209 W · 248 L | -14.4 | -0.03 | 49c | -7.9% | 47 |
The 457 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 5,252 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 457 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $13,745 | before 2%in play 98%, over 89 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 06 after the start | 1 h 38to the end, median over 168 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 79 of 89 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -3.6 | -0.04 | 46c | -8% | 46 |
The 89 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,252 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 89 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 19
- What they are worth now
- $885bought for $1,091
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 28worth $0
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 19, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Now | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will India A win? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 431.33 | 83c | 82c | $352 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 693.36 | 45c | 28c | $198 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 191.39 | 67c | 53c | $101 |
| Yokohama BayStars vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (opens in a new tab)backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks | 70 | 73c | 99c | $70 |
| Sydney FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 3.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Under | 43.9 | 49c | 100c | $44 |
| Cali (Doubles): Magadan/Pacheco vs Zeballos/Zormann (opens in a new tab)backed Zeballos/Zormann | 97.53 | 33c | 41c | $40 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Under | 31 | 59c | 76c | $23 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Over | 38 | 61c | 50c | $19 |
| AHL: Cleveland Monsters vs. Grand Rapids Griffins (opens in a new tab)backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 18 | 5c | 50c | $9 |
| Will New Zealand A win? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 19.14 | 21c | 43c | $8 |
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of 28. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 2 Winner: Maya Joint vs Zeynep Sonmez (opens in a new tab)backed Maya Joint · settled | 3,120 | 37c | $0 | Counted |
| Set Handicap: Alexander Zverev (-1.5) vs Alex de Minaur (+1.5) (opens in a new tab)backed Alex de Minaur · settled | 1,223 | 34c | $0 | Counted |
| Caribbean Premier League: Antigua And Barbuda Falcons vs St. Kitts and Nevis Patriots (opens in a new tab)backed St. Kitts and Nevis Patriots · settled | 594.18 | 39c | $0 | Counted |
| Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Under · settled | 364 | 16c | $0 | Counted |
| Market 0x8b69…da35backed outcome 1 | 282 | 21c | $0 | Not read yet |
Do these count towards the record above? 4 do: the wallet holds a scored pick on those markets, already in the table above. 1 is not in the published record at all: TailMyPicks has published nothing about that market, so it is neither counted nor ruled out. Either we have not read it yet, or nothing anyone held on it was ever scored.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.