Wallet 0x2b59…9db6
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x2b5920274740ca61745eeb077587bf5bb4ff9db6
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$555,582 staked over 5,258 qualified picks in 45 categories, 18 of 45 below 50.
Best category
Tweets
$25,482 staked over 271 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.09 per pick.
See the full Tweets boardSecond best
Valorant
$2,025 staked over 24 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.06 per pick.
See the full Valorant boardThird best
CS2
$5,297 staked over 16 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.05 per pick.
See the full CS2 boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 5,258 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category45 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 5,258 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tweetslast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $25,482 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 2,245 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 428 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 50% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 142 of 271 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 271 | 60.9%165 W · 106 L | +26.9 | +0.10 | 51c | +30.2% | 60 |
The 271 picks behind Tweets are not listed here. This wallet has 5,258 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 271 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorantlast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $2,025 | —no start of play | 6 dto the end, median over 161 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1077% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 77% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 6 of 24 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.0 | +0.12 | 63c | +17.7% | 57 |
The 24 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 5,258 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 24 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2 Inactivelast settled Sep 6, 2026, EDT | $5,297 | —no start of play | 11 dto the end, median over 144 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1084% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 84% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 8 of 16 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.9 | +0.12 | 63c | +19.6% | 55 |
The 16 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 5,258 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 16 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie Alast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $3,033 | before 0%in play 100%, over 56 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 01 after the start | 2 h 37to the end, median over 250 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 19% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 52 of 62 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +3.9 | +0.06 | 39c | -6% | 55 |
The 62 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 5,258 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 62 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Midtermslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $6,156 | —no start of play | 23 dto the end, median over 575 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 56 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 41% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 57 of 122 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +6.3 | +0.05 | 49c | -4.3% | 55 |
The 122 picks behind Us Midterms are not listed here. This wallet has 5,258 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 122 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFClast settled Oct 4, 2026, EDT | $31 | —no start of play | 14 dto the end, median over 17 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.38100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1 | +0.38 | 62c | +62.3% | 55 |
The 3 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 5,258 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Musiclast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $271 | —no start of play | 5 dto the end, median over 263 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 15 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0882% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 82% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 7 of 15 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5 | +0.10 | 43c | +32.1% | 54 |
The 15 picks behind Music are not listed here. This wallet has 5,258 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 15 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Movies Inactivelast settled Sep 8, 2026, EDT | $3,609 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 580 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 67 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 67% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 34 of 60 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +3.2 | +0.05 | 46c | +6.2% | 54 |
The 60 picks behind Movies are not listed here. This wallet has 5,258 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 60 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Macro Indicatorslast settled Sep 24, 2026, EDT | $1,137 | —no start of play | 25 dto the end, median over 374 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 82 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 66% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 16 of 40 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.3 | +0.06 | 54c | -4.4% | 54 |
The 40 picks behind Macro Indicators are not listed here. This wallet has 5,258 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 40 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Oct 10, 2026, EDT | $161 | —no start of play | 79 dto the end, median over 85 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 24% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 6 of 10 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0 | +0.10 | 50c | -11.2% | 53 |
The 10 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 5,258 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 10 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Stockslast settled Oct 9, 2026, EDT | $884 | —no start of play | 9 h 47to the end, median over 122 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 13 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 31% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 9 of 15 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.2 | +0.08 | 39c | +130.8% | 53 |
The 15 picks behind Stocks are not listed here. This wallet has 5,258 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 15 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2 Inactivelast settled Oct 11, 2026, EDT | $12,913 | before 68%in play 32%, over 78 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 48 before the start | 18 h 02to the end, median over 289 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 11 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 38% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 39 of 99 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +3.0 | +0.03 | 54c | +3.3% | 53 |
The 99 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 5,258 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 99 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lol Inactivelast settled Oct 14, 2026, EDT | $3,104 | —too few: 1 pick | 23 dto the end, median over 165 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 19% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 19 of 35 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.4 | +0.04 | 59c | -0.9% | 53 |
The 35 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 5,258 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 35 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1last settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $19,069 | before 18%in play 82%, over 50 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 48 min after the start | 1 h 50to the end, median over 184 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 27% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 47 of 50 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.5 | +0.03 | 51c | +9.6% | 52 |
The 50 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 5,258 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 50 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| World Politicslast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $13,673 | —no start of play | 3 dto the end, median over 2,818 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 388 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 138 of 269 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +5.6 | +0.02 | 54c | -1.3% | 52 |
The 269 picks behind World Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 5,258 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 269 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesligalast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $7,749 | before 5%in play 95%, over 75 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 07 after the start | 2 h 23to the end, median over 308 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 21 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 71 of 75 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.3 | +0.02 | 44c | +8.8% | 51 |
The 75 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 5,258 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 75 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $4,770 | before 37%in play 63%, over 57 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 27 min after the start | 3 h 28to the end, median over 549 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 76 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 47 of 57 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +1.0 | +0.02 | 42c | -26.9% | 51 |
The 57 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,258 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 57 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLB Inactivelast settled Sep 28, 2026, EDT | $1,278 | —too few: 1 pick | 12 dto the end, median over 253 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 19% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 3 of 14 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4 | +0.03 | 62c | -1.8% | 51 |
The 14 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 5,258 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 14 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHL Inactivelast settled Jun 26, 2026, EDT | $148 | —no start of play | 8 dto the end, median over 44 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 5 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3 | +0.06 | 54c | +14.4% | 51 |
The 5 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 5,258 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $21,711 | before 20%in play 80%, over 81 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 35 min after the start | 1 h 48to the end, median over 408 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 19 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 68 of 81 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +1.0 | +0.01 | 41c | -24.6% | 51 |
The 81 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,258 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 81 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| IPOlast settled Sep 1, 2026, EDT | $2,237 | —no start of play | 7 dto the end, median over 298 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 89 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 19 of 40 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.4 | +0.01 | 44c | -18.9% | 51 |
The 40 picks behind IPO are not listed here. This wallet has 5,258 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 40 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $74 | —no start of play | 36 dto the end, median over 83 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0499% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1 | +0.04 | 62c | +4.6% | 50 |
The 3 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 5,258 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Weatherlast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $65,639 | before 58%in play 42%, over 1,926 Weather picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 18 before the start | 16 h 29to the end, median over 26,193 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6,447 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 1,342 of 2,020 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2,020 | 55.4%1,120 W · 900 L | +8.9 | 0.00 | 55c | -5.7% | 50 |
The 2,020 picks behind Weather are not listed here. This wallet has 5,258 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2,020 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennis Inactivelast settled Aug 19, 2026, EDT | $1,917 | —no start of play | 9 dto the end, median over 40 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 5 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1 | +0.02 | 58c | -8.5% | 50 |
The 5 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 5,258 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $10,181 | before 13%in play 87%, over 115 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 21 after the start | 3 h 22to the end, median over 655 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 61 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 107 of 115 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.3 | 0.00 | 47c | -18% | 50 |
The 115 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 5,258 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 115 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Golf Inactivelast settled Jun 21, 2026, EDT | $100 | —too few: 1 pick | 6 dto the end, median over 119 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03172% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 172% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1 | +0.02 | 31c | -43.5% | 50 |
The 3 picks behind Golf are not listed here. This wallet has 5,258 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Australian A Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $728 | before 0%in play 100%, over 15 Australian A League picks with a start of play; typically bought 49 min after the start | 2 h 57to the end, median over 33 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01306% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 306% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 13 of 15 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1 | 0.00 | 53c | -17.8% | 50 |
The 15 picks behind Australian A League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,258 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 15 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ukrainelast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $6,159 | —no start of play | 57 dto the end, median over 287 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 20 of them sold before the market settled | -0.12no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 13 of 17 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.1 | -0.01 | 30c | -47.8% | 50 |
The 17 picks behind Ukraine are not listed here. This wallet has 5,258 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 17 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketballlast settled Jun 23, 2026, EDT | $155 | —no start of play | 42 dto the end, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.23no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1 | -0.12 | 12c | -100% | 49 |
The 1 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 5,258 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricketlast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $7,666 | before 35%in play 65%, over 31 Cricket picks with a start of play; typically bought 33 min after the start | 2 dto the end, median over 89 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 13 of 31 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.3 | -0.01 | 46c | -32.5% | 49 |
The 31 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 5,258 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 31 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mlslast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $14,099 | before 12%in play 88%, over 147 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 34 min after the start | 2 h 15to the end, median over 542 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 39 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 135 of 148 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -1.0 | -0.01 | 47c | -4% | 49 |
The 148 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 5,258 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 148 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Commoditieslast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $982 | —no start of play | 10 dto the end, median over 226 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 69 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 19 of 42 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -0.4 | -0.01 | 58c | -8% | 49 |
The 42 picks behind Commodities are not listed here. This wallet has 5,258 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 42 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| AIlast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $6,599 | —no start of play | 29 dto the end, median over 1,650 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 81 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 62 of 138 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -1.2 | -0.01 | 53c | -11.2% | 49 |
The 138 picks behind AI are not listed here. This wallet has 5,258 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 138 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagueslast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $22,297 | before 10%in play 90%, over 225 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 53 min after the start | 2 h 56to the end, median over 970 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 99 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 202 of 225 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 225 | 44.4%100 W · 125 L | -2.2 | -0.01 | 45c | -22.6% | 49 |
The 225 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 5,258 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 225 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 7, 2026, EDT | $195,349 | before 26%in play 74%, over 482 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 26 min after the start | 3 h 16to the end, median over 3,061 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 137 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 483 of 567 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 567 | 38.3%217 W · 350 L | -5.4 | -0.01 | 39c | -25.2% | 49 |
The 567 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 5,258 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 567 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $15,979 | before 8%in play 92%, over 98 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 48 min after the start | 2 h 55to the end, median over 559 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 45 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 91 of 106 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.4 | -0.01 | 44c | -21.9% | 49 |
The 106 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,258 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 106 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| F1last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $16,305 | before 70%in play 30%, over 69 F1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 22 h 44 before the start | 3 dto the end, median over 417 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.15no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 48 of 70 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -1.0 | -0.01 | 47c | -25% | 49 |
The 70 picks behind F1 are not listed here. This wallet has 5,258 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 70 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $16,971 | before 17%in play 83%, over 115 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 44 min after the start | 2 h 27to the end, median over 482 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 19 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 107 of 115 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -1.8 | -0.02 | 42c | -23.4% | 49 |
The 115 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 5,258 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 115 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Middle East Inactivelast settled Sep 22, 2026, EDT | $3,079 | —no start of play | 30 dto the end, median over 77 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 28 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 20 of 23 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.8 | -0.03 | 25c | -44.2% | 48 |
The 23 picks behind Middle East are not listed here. This wallet has 5,258 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 23 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| China Taiwanlast settled Sep 30, 2026, EDT | $819 | —no start of play | 34 dto the end, median over 98 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 10 of 17 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7 | -0.04 | 45c | +1.1% | 48 |
The 17 picks behind China Taiwan are not listed here. This wallet has 5,258 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 17 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $14,633 | before 11%in play 89%, over 194 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 44 min after the start | 3 h 05to the end, median over 867 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 80 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 178 of 194 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -3.6 | -0.02 | 45c | -15% | 48 |
The 194 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,258 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 194 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBA Inactivelast settled Oct 3, 2026, EDT | $1,154 | —no start of play | 9 dto the end, median over 169 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 14 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7 | -0.05 | 41c | -36.5% | 48 |
The 14 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 5,258 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 14 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fed Rates Inactivelast settled Sep 16, 2026, EDT | $19,479 | —no start of play | 42 dto the end, median over 59 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.14no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 9 of 15 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.1 | -0.07 | 41c | -33.7% | 47 |
The 15 picks behind Fed Rates are not listed here. This wallet has 5,258 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 15 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Space Inactivelast settled May 10, 2026, EDT | $65 | —no start of play | 7 dto the end, median over 19 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.29no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9 | -0.29 | 63c | -42.3% | 47 |
The 3 picks behind Space are not listed here. This wallet has 5,258 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Politicslast settled Oct 9, 2026, EDT | $412 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 39 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | -0.18no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 8 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0 | -0.13 | 38c | -18.8% | 46 |
The 8 picks behind Us Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 5,258 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 8 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 1,518
- What they are worth now
- $1,574bought for $12,643
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 0worth $0
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 1,518, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.