TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2b5f…7750

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
168
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 61 out of 100; worst Lol at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT14325.9%37 W · 106 L+0.5wins0.00per pick26cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 143 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$105.51
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.88
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+215%+$141.9
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$71.75
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.6
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+241.9%+$113.83
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,963Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$698.78
Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 2 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 143 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.39per pick28cpaid+149.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$37.14
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+190.7%+$288.02
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+648.5%+$373.41
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$134
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+297.4%+$196.28
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-53.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs AG.AL (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked AG.AL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$77.15
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$106.97
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.35
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.26
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.05
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.11
All 8 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs BIG Academy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Bbacked Inner Circle Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.