Wallet 0x2c1a…42d8
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x2c1a7a67e6f71bd61a616841f54ae0df8e8d42d8
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$604,919 staked over 3,824 qualified picks in 52 categories, 35 of 52 below 50.
Best category
UFC
$3,388 staked over 18 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.11 per pick.
See the full UFC boardSecond best
Other European Leagues
$14,057 staked over 88 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.05 per pick.
See the full Other European Leagues boardThird best
Mls
$3,929 staked over 25 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.04 per pick.
See the full Mls boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 3,824 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category52 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 3,824 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFClast settled Oct 6, 2026, EDT | $3,388 | before 88%in play 12%, over 17 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 8 h 05 before the start | 14 h 09to the end, median over 21 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | +0.2799% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 18 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +4.8 | +0.27 | 40c | +93.4% | 62 |
The 18 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 3,824 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 18 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagues Inactivelast settled Sep 13, 2026, EDT | $14,057 | before 23%in play 77%, over 88 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 14 min after the start | 4 h 30to the end, median over 105 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 11 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 65% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 60 of 88 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | +5.1 | +0.06 | 29c | +24% | 55 |
The 88 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 3,824 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 88 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mls Inactivelast settled Aug 19, 2026, EDT | $3,929 | before 48%in play 52%, over 25 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 min after the start | 5 h 31to the end, median over 28 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0791% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 91% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 18 of 25 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.9 | +0.08 | 36c | +22.2% | 54 |
The 25 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 3,824 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 25 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Olympicslast settled Feb 22, 2026, EST | $8,971 | before 15%in play 85%, over 13 Olympics picks with a start of play; typically bought 208 h 42 after the start | 3 dto the end, median over 62 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0478% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 78% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 7 of 36 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +2.0 | +0.06 | 19c | -22.4% | 54 |
The 36 picks behind Olympics are not listed here. This wallet has 3,824 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 36 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| F1 Inactivelast settled Sep 12, 2026, EDT | $2,060 | before 100%in play 0%, over 11 F1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 24 h 38 before the start | 1 dto the end, median over 27 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0991% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 91% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 5 of 11 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1 | +0.10 | 36c | -24.1% | 53 |
The 11 picks behind F1 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,824 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 11 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorant Inactivelast settled Oct 12, 2026, EDT | $6,723 | before 59%in play 41%, over 41 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 59 min before the start | 5 h 26to the end, median over 52 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0593% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 93% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 21 of 41 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +2.0 | +0.05 | 41c | +6.8% | 53 |
The 41 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 3,824 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 41 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Football Inactivelast settled Nov 29, 2025, EST | $365 | —too few: 4 picks | 17 h 21to the end, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1998% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 98% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8 | +0.20 | 30c | +79.8% | 53 |
The 4 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 3,824 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Golf Inactivelast settled Apr 12, 2026, EDT | $55 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.63100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6 | +0.63 | 37c | +167.1% | 53 |
The 1 picks behind Golf are not listed here. This wallet has 3,824 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fed Rateslast settled Sep 29, 2026, EDT | $1,788 | —no start of play | 8 h 50to the end, median over 18 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 64% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 5 of 11 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8 | +0.07 | 29c | -12.3% | 52 |
The 11 picks behind Fed Rates are not listed here. This wallet has 3,824 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 11 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lol Inactivelast settled Oct 6, 2026, EDT | $24,930 | before 67%in play 33%, over 150 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 29 before the start | 5 h 56to the end, median over 178 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 51 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02102% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 102% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 83 of 152 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 152 | 39.5%60 W · 92 L | +2.8 | +0.02 | 38c | -5% | 52 |
The 152 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 3,824 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 152 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Venezuela Inactivelast settled Jan 20, 2026, EST | $368 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1384% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 84% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4 | +0.15 | 19c | -17.2% | 52 |
The 3 picks behind Venezuela are not listed here. This wallet has 3,824 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| China Taiwanlast settled Oct 1, 2026, EDT | $2,423 | —no start of play | 11 dto the end, median over 11 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05151% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 151% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 4 of 10 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3 | +0.03 | 27c | -39.6% | 51 |
The 10 picks behind China Taiwan are not listed here. This wallet has 3,824 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 10 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 3, 2026, EDT | $23,824 | before 41%in play 59%, over 114 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 min after the start | 4 h 17to the end, median over 158 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 38 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 93 of 124 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 124 | 35.5%44 W · 80 L | +1.0 | +0.01 | 35c | -16.3% | 51 |
The 124 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 3,824 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 124 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Midtermslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $6,657 | —no start of play | 12 dto the end, median over 44 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 15 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 13 of 28 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.3 | +0.01 | 27c | -20.9% | 51 |
The 28 picks behind Us Midterms are not listed here. This wallet has 3,824 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 28 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Crypto Milestones Inactivelast settled Apr 13, 2026, EDT | $3,049 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 57 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 22 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 11 of 30 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.3 | +0.01 | 12c | +44.4% | 51 |
The 30 picks behind Crypto Milestones are not listed here. This wallet has 3,824 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 30 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier League Inactivelast settled Oct 13, 2026, EDT | $22,301 | before 35%in play 65%, over 108 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 min after the start | 4 h 45to the end, median over 142 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 25 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 76 of 116 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | +0.4 | 0.00 | 30c | +4.4% | 50 |
The 116 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,824 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 116 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| World Politics Inactivelast settled Oct 13, 2026, EDT | $15,060 | —no start of play | 3 dto the end, median over 148 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 31 of them sold before the market settled | 0.0092% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 92% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 26 of 85 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | +0.1 | 0.00 | 32c | -12.6% | 50 |
The 85 picks behind World Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 3,824 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 85 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesliga Inactivelast settled May 8, 2026, EDT | $9,043 | before 29%in play 71%, over 59 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 18 min after the start | 4 h 41to the end, median over 70 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 46 of 59 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -0.1 | 0.00 | 29c | -0.8% | 50 |
The 59 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 3,824 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 59 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2 Inactivelast settled Oct 2, 2026, EDT | $22,614 | before 46%in play 54%, over 101 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 12 min after the start | 4 h 35to the end, median over 113 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 19 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 71 of 102 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -0.4 | 0.00 | 39c | +3.5% | 50 |
The 102 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,824 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 102 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleague Inactivelast settled Oct 1, 2026, EDT | $5,458 | before 89%in play 11%, over 18 Euroleague picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 11 before the start | 1 dto the end, median over 39 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 12 of 29 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.2 | -0.01 | 28c | -38.4% | 50 |
The 29 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 3,824 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 29 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT | $9,952 | before 64%in play 36%, over 61 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 32 before the start | 5 h 10to the end, median over 68 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 31 of 61 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -0.3 | -0.01 | 37c | -16.5% | 50 |
The 61 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,824 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 61 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricket Inactivelast settled May 8, 2026, EDT | $3,317 | before 45%in play 55%, over 20 Cricket picks with a start of play; typically bought 18 min after the start | 7 h 37to the end, median over 23 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 12 of 20 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.3 | -0.01 | 31c | -23.2% | 49 |
The 20 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 3,824 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 20 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $36,662 | before 59%in play 41%, over 196 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 36 min before the start | 4 h 35to the end, median over 236 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 54 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 134 of 201 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 201 | 40.3%81 W · 120 L | -1.5 | -0.01 | 41c | -10.1% | 49 |
The 201 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,824 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 201 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Earnings Inactivelast settled Aug 4, 2026, EDT | $1,206 | —no start of play | 22 h 09to the end, median over 25 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 15 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3 | -0.02 | 35c | -30.9% | 49 |
The 15 picks behind Earnings are not listed here. This wallet has 3,824 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 15 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Space Inactivelast settled Jan 1, 2026, EST | $415 | —no start of play | 182 dresells, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.23no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2 | -0.23 | 23c | -100% | 49 |
The 1 picks behind Space are not listed here. This wallet has 3,824 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| IPO Inactivelast settled Jun 12, 2026, EDT | $78 | —no start of play | 15 dto the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.27no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3 | -0.27 | 27c | -100% | 49 |
The 1 picks behind IPO are not listed here. This wallet has 3,824 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian League Inactivelast settled Sep 5, 2026, EDT | $11,627 | before 22%in play 78%, over 102 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 31 min after the start | 4 h 20to the end, median over 121 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 11 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 70 of 102 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 102 | 25.5%26 W · 76 L | -1.5 | -0.02 | 27c | +3.9% | 49 |
The 102 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,824 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 102 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBA Inactivelast settled Oct 6, 2026, EDT | $49,642 | before 66%in play 34%, over 202 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 14 before the start | 6 h 55to the end, median over 281 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 28 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 122 of 208 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -3.3 | -0.02 | 41c | -14.7% | 48 |
The 208 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 3,824 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 208 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ukraine Inactivelast settled Aug 1, 2026, EDT | $7,920 | —no start of play | 15 dto the end, median over 30 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 8 of 25 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.9 | -0.03 | 19c | -68% | 48 |
The 25 picks behind Ukraine are not listed here. This wallet has 3,824 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 25 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie Alast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $5,293 | before 37%in play 63%, over 32 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 min after the start | 4 h 49to the end, median over 35 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 21 of 32 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -1.1 | -0.03 | 28c | -26.2% | 48 |
The 32 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 3,824 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 32 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast settled Mar 26, 2026, EDT | $11,019 | before 62%in play 38%, over 66 Ncaa Basketball picks with a start of play; typically bought 54 min before the start | 5 h 14to the end, median over 93 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 35 of 66 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.8 | -0.03 | 39c | -10.1% | 48 |
The 66 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 3,824 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 66 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1 Inactivelast settled Sep 12, 2026, EDT | $5,410 | before 44%in play 56%, over 27 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 min after the start | 4 h 35to the end, median over 33 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 19 of 27 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.1 | -0.04 | 30c | -20.6% | 48 |
The 27 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,824 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 27 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Token Launches Inactivelast settled Aug 27, 2026, EDT | $4,967 | —no start of play | 6 dto the end, median over 20 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 16 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.9 | -0.06 | 18c | -65.6% | 47 |
The 16 picks behind Token Launches are not listed here. This wallet has 3,824 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 16 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Stockslast settled Oct 13, 2026, EDT | $7,912 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 70 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 8 of 37 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -1.4 | -0.04 | 23c | -34.5% | 47 |
The 37 picks behind Stocks are not listed here. This wallet has 3,824 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 37 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $8,998 | before 51%in play 49%, over 63 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 min before the start | 5 h 00to the end, median over 72 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 12 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 35 of 63 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -2.1 | -0.03 | 37c | -15.1% | 47 |
The 63 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 3,824 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 63 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Weatherlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $57,559 | before 73%in play 27%, over 785 Weather picks with a start of play; typically bought 8 h 21 before the start | 1 dto the end, median over 1,749 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 136 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 334 of 955 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 955 | 28.1%268 W · 687 L | -26.0 | -0.03 | 31c | -35.8% | 47 |
The 955 picks behind Weather are not listed here. This wallet has 3,824 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 955 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $52,761 | before 60%in play 40%, over 283 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 38 min before the start | 5 h 06to the end, median over 353 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 81 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 178 of 292 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 292 | 31.2%91 W · 201 L | -9.8 | -0.03 | 35c | -23.4% | 47 |
The 292 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 3,824 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 292 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagueslast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $14,842 | before 21%in play 79%, over 95 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 18 min after the start | 4 h 44to the end, median over 128 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 15 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 70 of 95 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -3.8 | -0.04 | 29c | -18.8% | 46 |
The 95 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 3,824 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 95 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tweetslast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $29,017 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 142 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 20 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 38 of 99 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 99 | 12.1%12 W · 87 L | -4.7 | -0.05 | 17c | -61.8% | 46 |
The 99 picks behind Tweets are not listed here. This wallet has 3,824 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 99 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Middle Eastlast settled Oct 15, 2026, EDT | $26,075 | —no start of play | 7 dto the end, median over 124 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 49 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 33 of 73 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 73 | 11%8 W · 65 L | -3.9 | -0.05 | 16c | -55.3% | 46 |
The 73 picks behind Middle East are not listed here. This wallet has 3,824 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 73 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Music Inactivelast settled Sep 28, 2026, EDT | $2,627 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 41 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 6 of 21 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.9 | -0.09 | 23c | -56.2% | 45 |
The 21 picks behind Music are not listed here. This wallet has 3,824 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 21 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Movies Inactivelast settled Jul 28, 2026, EDT | $2,433 | —no start of play | 5 dto the end, median over 37 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.11no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 16 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.7 | -0.11 | 11c | -100% | 45 |
The 16 picks behind Movies are not listed here. This wallet has 3,824 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 16 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Australian A League Inactivelast settled Apr 18, 2026, EDT | $1,353 | —too few: 8 picks | 4 h 18to the end, median over 10 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.24no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 6 of 8 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4 | -0.18 | 43c | -55.8% | 45 |
The 8 picks behind Australian A League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,824 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 8 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| AI Inactivelast settled Oct 1, 2026, EDT | $4,873 | —no start of play | 19 dto the end, median over 76 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 19 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 14 of 41 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | -3.1 | -0.07 | 12c | -89.9% | 45 |
The 41 picks behind AI are not listed here. This wallet has 3,824 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 41 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Macro Indicators Inactivelast settled Sep 11, 2026, EDT | $1,697 | —no start of play | 23 dto the end, median over 13 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.21no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 10 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.7 | -0.17 | 17c | -100% | 45 |
The 10 picks behind Macro Indicators are not listed here. This wallet has 3,824 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 10 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Commoditieslast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $16,290 | —no start of play | 9 dto the end, median over 80 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 29 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 12 of 63 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 63 | 19%12 W · 51 L | -4.3 | -0.07 | 26c | -60.6% | 45 |
The 63 picks behind Commodities are not listed here. This wallet has 3,824 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 63 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLB Inactivelast settled Sep 1, 2026, EDT | $18,366 | before 46%in play 54%, over 93 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 min after the start | 4 h 57to the end, median over 121 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 22 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 66 of 103 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 103 | 32%33 W · 70 L | -6.5 | -0.06 | 38c | -24.6% | 44 |
The 103 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 3,824 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 103 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Oct 10, 2026, EDT | $2,628 | before 68%in play 32%, over 19 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 8 h 19 before the start | 6 h 15to the end, median over 25 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | -0.13no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 8 of 19 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.5 | -0.13 | 39c | -43.1% | 44 |
The 19 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 3,824 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 19 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference League Inactivelast settled Aug 27, 2026, EDT | $4,752 | before 32%in play 68%, over 28 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 min after the start | 4 h 40to the end, median over 37 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | -0.15no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 23 of 30 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -3.8 | -0.13 | 29c | -60.3% | 42 |
The 30 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,824 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 30 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHLlast settled Oct 14, 2026, EDT | $23,924 | before 61%in play 39%, over 119 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 43 before the start | 5 h 57to the end, median over 142 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 12 of them sold before the market settled | -0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 59 of 119 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 119 | 32.8%39 W · 80 L | -10.4 | -0.09 | 42c | -23.1% | 42 |
The 119 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 3,824 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 119 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Politics Inactivelast settled Apr 18, 2026, EDT | $2,266 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 30 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.18no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 21 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -3.4 | -0.16 | 21c | -93.5% | 42 |
The 21 picks behind Us Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 3,824 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 21 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFL Inactivelast settled Sep 27, 2026, EDT | $1,977 | —too few: 7 picks | 13 h 27to the end, median over 12 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.23no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 7 of 11 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.9 | -0.26 | 44c | -33.5% | 41 |
The 11 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 3,824 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 11 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 75
- What they are worth now
- $2,309bought for $3,081
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 0worth $0
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 75, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.