Wallet 0x2c33…0563
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x2c335066fe58fe9237c3d3dc7b275c2a034a0563
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$260,080,712 staked over 8,730 qualified picks in 33 categories, 7 of 33 below 50.
Best category
Dota2
$8,484,843 staked over 147 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.10 per pick.
See the full Dota2 boardSecond best
Cricket
$110,849 staked over 30 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.05 per pick.
See the full Cricket boardThird best
Asian League
$291,308 staked over 59 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.05 per pick.
See the full Asian League boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 8,730 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category33 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 8,730 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dota2last settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $8,484,843 | before 24%in play 76%, over 144 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 45 min after the start | 2 h 52to the end, median over 173 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1086% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 86% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 146 of 147 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 147 | 62.6%92 W · 55 L | +17.0 | +0.12 | 51c | +23.4% | 61 |
The 147 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 8,730 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 147 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricketlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $110,849 | before 10%in play 90%, over 30 Cricket picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 51 after the start | 4 h 38to the end, median over 46 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.06out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 64% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 28 of 30 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.8 | +0.09 | 41c | +12.6% | 56 |
The 30 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 8,730 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 30 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $291,308 | before 42%in play 58%, over 59 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 min after the start | 3 h 54to the end, median over 98 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0793% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 93% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 44 of 59 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +4.2 | +0.07 | 39c | -4.4% | 56 |
The 59 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 8,730 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 59 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie Alast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $2,231,231 | before 60%in play 40%, over 129 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 14 min before the start | 3 h 29to the end, median over 169 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 63% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 103 of 129 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +6.5 | +0.05 | 48c | +33.4% | 55 |
The 129 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 8,730 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 129 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $13,624,561 | before 41%in play 59%, over 394 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 9 min after the start | 3 h 02to the end, median over 441 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0488% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 88% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 390 of 396 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 396 | 53.8%213 W · 183 L | +17.6 | +0.04 | 49c | +8.1% | 55 |
The 396 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 8,730 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 396 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $3,186,268 | before 52%in play 48%, over 221 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 min before the start | 2 h 52to the end, median over 314 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 74% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 172 of 222 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 222 | 49.5%110 W · 112 L | +10.0 | +0.05 | 45c | +0.5% | 55 |
The 222 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 8,730 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 222 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $4,403,418 | before 49%in play 51%, over 154 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 0 min after the start | 2 h 43to the end, median over 201 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 61% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 139 of 155 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | +6.4 | +0.04 | 47c | -6.2% | 54 |
The 155 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 8,730 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 155 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $24,140,612 | before 27%in play 73%, over 1,247 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 20 min after the start | 2 h 35to the end, median over 1,518 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 36% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 1,200 of 1,250 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,250 | 46.8%585 W · 665 L | +40.6 | +0.03 | 44c | +29% | 54 |
The 1,250 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 8,730 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,250 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesligalast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $1,042,294 | before 48%in play 52%, over 98 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 min after the start | 2 h 53to the end, median over 135 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04109% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 109% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 83 of 98 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +3.7 | +0.04 | 45c | +1.2% | 53 |
The 98 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 8,730 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 98 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast settled Mar 20, 2026, EDT | $1,654,975 | before 98%in play 2%, over 44 Ncaa Basketball picks with a start of play; typically bought 41 min before the start | 5 h 02to the end, median over 46 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0490% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 90% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 41 of 44 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.9 | +0.04 | 50c | +9.8% | 53 |
The 44 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 8,730 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 44 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $17,678,524 | before 72%in play 28%, over 612 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 14 before the start | 5 h 37to the end, median over 759 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0281% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 81% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 406 of 612 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 612 | 52.6%322 W · 290 L | +15.2 | +0.02 | 50c | +3% | 53 |
The 612 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 8,730 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 612 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $8,491,748 | before 58%in play 42%, over 399 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 18 min before the start | 4 h 08to the end, median over 492 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 51% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 302 of 399 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 399 | 50.9%203 W · 196 L | +8.6 | +0.02 | 49c | +0.6% | 52 |
The 399 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 8,730 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 399 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagueslast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $861,062 | before 51%in play 49%, over 150 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 min before the start | 4 h 28to the end, median over 189 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 39% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 109 of 150 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +3.2 | +0.02 | 46c | +1.7% | 52 |
The 150 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 8,730 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 150 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Golf Inactivelast settled Aug 17, 2026, EDT | $26,493 | —too few: 2 picks | 22 h 36to the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.2189% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 89% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5 | +0.24 | 26c | +14.7% | 52 |
The 2 picks behind Golf are not listed here. This wallet has 8,730 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Australian A Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $91,837 | —too few: 5 picks | 8 h 31to the end, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0988% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 88% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5 | +0.10 | 50c | +33.3% | 52 |
The 5 picks behind Australian A League are not listed here. This wallet has 8,730 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleague Inactivelast settled May 29, 2026, EDT | $3,454 | —too few: 6 picks | 22 h 58to the end, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0797% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 97% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4 | +0.07 | 43c | +12.5% | 51 |
The 6 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 8,730 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 6 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $1,619,840 | before 27%in play 73%, over 114 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 16 min after the start | 2 h 23to the end, median over 135 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 110 of 114 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | +1.6 | +0.01 | 43c | -4.4% | 51 |
The 114 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 8,730 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 114 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Boxing Inactivelast settled Sep 13, 2026, EDT | $3,736 | —too few: 1 pick | 8 h 16to the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.2995% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 95% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3 | +0.30 | 70c | +42.9% | 51 |
The 1 picks behind Boxing are not listed here. This wallet has 8,730 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fed Rates Inactivelast settled Jul 29, 2026, EDT | $64,938 | —no start of play | 6 h 02to the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.2498% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 98% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2 | +0.24 | 76c | +31.4% | 51 |
The 1 picks behind Fed Rates are not listed here. This wallet has 8,730 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Middle East Inactivelast settled Jun 17, 2026, EDT | $22,150 | —no start of play | 14 dto the end, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1195% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 95% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2 | +0.12 | 38c | -20.6% | 51 |
The 2 picks behind Middle East are not listed here. This wallet has 8,730 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 7, 2026, EDT | $98,181,057 | before 63%in play 37%, over 882 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 18 min before the start | 3 h 22to the end, median over 1,569 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 31% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 824 of 887 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 887 | 50.8%451 W · 436 L | +6.8 | +0.01 | 50c | -1% | 51 |
The 887 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 8,730 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 887 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $643,350 | before 69%in play 31%, over 67 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 38 min before the start | 5 h 49to the end, median over 111 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 41 of 67 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.7 | +0.01 | 44c | +4.4% | 51 |
The 67 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 8,730 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 67 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| F1last settled Oct 11, 2026, EDT | $63,626 | —too few: 4 picks | 9 h 29to the end, median over 10 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 72% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 3 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2 | +0.03 | 26c | -43% | 51 |
The 7 picks behind F1 are not listed here. This wallet has 8,730 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 7 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $16,310,967 | before 67%in play 33%, over 406 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 17 min before the start | 3 h 17to the end, median over 590 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 356 of 407 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 407 | 49.4%201 W · 206 L | +1.8 | 0.00 | 49c | -5.1% | 50 |
The 407 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 8,730 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 407 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $5,990,858 | before 48%in play 52%, over 407 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 min after the start | 3 h 49to the end, median over 516 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 307 of 407 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 407 | 47.9%195 W · 212 L | +0.6 | 0.00 | 48c | -8.7% | 50 |
The 407 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 8,730 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 407 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $32,239,185 | before 23%in play 77%, over 2,046 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 41 min after the start | 1 h 53to the end, median over 2,441 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 1,977 of 2,048 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2,048 | 45.5%932 W · 1,116 L | +0.9 | 0.00 | 45c | -1.1% | 50 |
The 2,048 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 8,730 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2,048 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $6,986,091 | before 17%in play 83%, over 411 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 51 min after the start | 3 h 35to the end, median over 503 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 402 of 411 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 411 | 47.4%195 W · 216 L | -0.1 | 0.00 | 47c | -2.5% | 50 |
The 411 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 8,730 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 411 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHLlast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $3,040,705 | before 61%in play 39%, over 199 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 min before the start | 4 h 51to the end, median over 227 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 150 of 199 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 199 | 45.2%90 W · 109 L | -5.1 | -0.03 | 48c | -11.4% | 47 |
The 199 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 8,730 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 199 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1last settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $1,078,366 | before 59%in play 41%, over 71 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 21 min before the start | 2 h 42to the end, median over 91 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 53 of 71 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -2.4 | -0.03 | 51c | -12.2% | 47 |
The 71 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 8,730 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 71 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFClast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $3,672,299 | before 16%in play 84%, over 117 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 50 after the start | 43 minto the end, median over 146 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 120 of 125 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -4.0 | -0.03 | 46c | -6.4% | 47 |
The 125 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 8,730 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 125 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $1,807,116 | before 59%in play 41%, over 101 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 8 min before the start | 4 h 41to the end, median over 143 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 84 of 101 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | -3.4 | -0.03 | 45c | -17.9% | 47 |
The 101 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 8,730 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 101 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mlslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $1,003,018 | before 47%in play 53%, over 100 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 min after the start | 2 h 13to the end, median over 129 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 85 of 100 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -4.6 | -0.05 | 48c | -21.8% | 46 |
The 100 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 8,730 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 100 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorantlast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT | $1,029,932 | before 38%in play 62%, over 78 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 16 min after the start | 2 h 57to the end, median over 80 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 74 of 78 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -4.0 | -0.05 | 49c | -15.8% | 46 |
The 78 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 8,730 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 78 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 14
- What they are worth now
- $402,206bought for $358,938
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 14worth $0
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 14, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Now | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 189,058 | 72c | 74c | $139,903 |
| Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 149,156 | 40c | 57c | $85,019 |
| Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 114,817 | 51c | 63c | $71,760 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 19,996 | 85c | 97c | $19,486 |
| Guangzhou Open: Daria Snigur vs Anna Bondar (opens in a new tab)backed Anna Bondar | 17,249 | 87c | 100c | $17,241 |
| Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 27,281 | 66c | 60c | $16,232 |
| Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 15,880 | 83c | 90c | $14,212 |
| Pan Pacific Open: Moyuka Uchijima vs Elise Mertens (opens in a new tab)backed Elise Mertens | 12,264 | 98c | 100c | $12,209 |
| Seoul: Marin Cilic vs Zhizhen Zhang (opens in a new tab)backed Zhizhen Zhang | 18,710 | 38c | 41c | $7,578 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 12,790 | 39c | 45c | $5,756 |
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of 14. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes · settled | 120,324 | 3c | $0 | Never scored |
| Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes · settled | 120,324 | 3c | $0 | Never scored |
| Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes · settled | 120,324 | 3c | $0 | Never scored |
| Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes · settled | 120,324 | 3c | $0 | Never scored |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes · settled | 120,324 | 3c | $0 | Never scored |
Do these count towards the record above? 5 never will. TailMyPicks scored those markets, and this wallet’s position on them did not clear the bar: too small, bought above the price cap, or hedged away.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.