TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2c6f…014e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
378
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: UFC, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 60 out of 100; worst NFL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT18345.4%83 W · 100 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 183 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$546Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$546
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$521Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$520.71
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$483.89
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$484.56
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.97
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.58
Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.15
Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 248.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$521Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$520.66
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.71
Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 246.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$537Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+89.2%+$479.21
Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$515Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$494.62
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$452.97
Jazz vs. Suns: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$213.51
Jazz vs. Suns: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$106.12
Jazz vs. Suns: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
Spread: Hawks (-13.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$521Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$500.29
Nets vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.28
Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Jazz vs. Nuggets: O/U 246.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Rockets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.16
Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Wizards vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$520.71
Raptors vs. Jazz: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$519Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+96.3%+$500.13
Rockets vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Showing 25 of 183 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT7349.3%36 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankeesbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+103.7%+$518.67
Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$550.16
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.29
Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$468.74
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$62.95
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$520.71
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$407Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+92.7%+$377.29
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$520.71
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.37
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$551Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$550.8
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.16
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$132.82
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$611.6
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.08
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.28
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangersbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,031Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,031
Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$487.86
Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$465
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padresbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+150%+$750
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$536Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$536.01
Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$690.78
Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.14
Cleveland Guardians vs. Athleticsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$551Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$508.32
Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.08
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$541Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$499.68
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST6233.9%21 W · 41 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+100%+$500
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+143.9%+$720.39
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+104.1%+$520.71
49ers vs. Seahawks: O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$505.35
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$550.14
Spread: Packers (-1.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$520.2
Chiefs vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+177.8%+$889.6
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$500.16
Spread: Cowboys (-8.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$530.4
49ers vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$499.8
Vikings vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$489.34
Packers vs. Bears: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+88.7%+$487.86
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 42.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$520.2
Vikings vs. Cowboysbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+222.6%+$1,113.66
Chargers vs. Chiefs: O/U 41.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+104.1%+$520.2
Spread: Chiefs (-5.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$541Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$540.8
Raiders vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+92.3%+$449.28
Falcons vs. Buccaneers: O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$515.32
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+104.1%+$520.71
Texans vs. Chiefs: O/U 41.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+100%+$500
Spread: Packers (-6.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$541Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+92.3%+$499.23
Steelers vs. Ravens: O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$520.2
Saints vs. Buccaneers: O/U 41.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$520.2
Titans vs. Browns: O/U 33.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$38.98
Bills vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT5360.4%32 W · 21 L+6.8wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+22.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
UFC — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Chris Padilla · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$526.56
UFC Fight Night: Marcio Barbosa vs. Ryan Kuse (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Ryan Kuse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.62
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$637Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$500.28
UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Mackenzie Dern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$890Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$500.4
UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Jalin Turner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$521Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$500.28
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.02
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$851.76
UFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Eduardo Chapolin (Catchweight, Prelims)backed Charles Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$521Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$500.27
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$644Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$526.5
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$521Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$500.29
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,084Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,083.68
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$587Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$586.97
UFC Fight Night: Mike Davis vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Mike Davis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.24
UFC Fight Night: Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Damian Rzepecki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.27
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Seokhyeon Ko (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$547.78
UFC Fight Night: Damien Anderson vs. Ezra Elliott (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Ezra Elliott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$564.45
UFC Fight Night: Alvin Hines vs. RJ Harris (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Alvin Hines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$521Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$500.29
O/U 3.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+54%+$185.75
UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Robert Whittaker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$569Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$525.6
UFC 329: Kai Kamaka III vs. Luke Riley (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Kai Kamaka III · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.14
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+74.3%+$27.69
UFC Fight Night: Melsik Baghdasaryan vs. Murtazali Magomedov (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Melsik Baghdasaryan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.01
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2024, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$620
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Wildbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$499.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.