TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2e5a…0122

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
248
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Tennis, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 58 out of 100; worst La Liga at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7229.2%21 W · 51 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick21cpaid+62.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10,671Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,671.42
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13,429Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+514%+$69,022.26
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$6,128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,127.96
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$834Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$834.16
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.53
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$7,914Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,913.9
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,553Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,553.11
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$8,443Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,443.05
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$402.62
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$515.31
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$476.46
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$559Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$558.76
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,121.79
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$1,705.26
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$404.55
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$473Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$473.48
Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,376Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,376.14
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,961Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,961
Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$674Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$673.6
Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT3611.1%4 W · 32 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-64%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$850
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.52
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,321Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,320.91
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,500
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will UD Almería vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Córdoba CF vs. Albacete Balompié end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$468.22
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,600
Will Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,750Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+240.2%+$4,204.23
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$3,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,750
Will Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$1,062.5
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,300
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Will Elche CF win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,950Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,950
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,400
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,004Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,004.48
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$570
Will Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2339.1%9 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick26cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$1,351.85
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$1,565.38
Will Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$1,673.91
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+300%+$1,500
Will Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,550
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$973Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+233.7%+$2,273.46
Will Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Will Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$642.86
Will Everton FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$576Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$575.86
Will Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+107.5%+$580.41
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,250
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$421.88
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
Will Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+280%+$8,401.22
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$266.73
All 23 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,515Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$1,416.03
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$3,812Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,811.63
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13,033Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,033
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$9,832Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,832
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,639Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$1,617.76
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10,146Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$3,581.26
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,931Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$1,018.25
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,009Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,009
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,942Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,942
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$301.85
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$2,672Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,672
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$841.79
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$5,736Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+159.1%+$9,126.88
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,499Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$2,499.49
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,580Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+117.5%+$3,032.34
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,984Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,983.94
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$2,198.9
All 18 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+73.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$756Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+943.4%+$7,132.85
Will Como 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will AS Roma vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,356Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,356
Will AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$525.43
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+1,151.4%+$1,727.12
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,203.46
Will Hellas Verona FC vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will US Lecce vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will US Lecce win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Juventus FC vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$935Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+219.7%+$2,054.71
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$978Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+55.9%+$547.06
All 16 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+37.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$3,382.98
Will Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,850Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,850
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$477.25
Will AJ Auxerre vs. Angers SCO end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will FC Metz vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Lorient end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$1,213.64
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.49
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.84
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+525%+$2,492.7
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$556.46
Will FC Lorient vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$446Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$446.38
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$4,165Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,165.09
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick28cpaid+48.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,643Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,642.76
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$711.54
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+402.3%+$8,046.75
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$650
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+220.6%+$2,647.45
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$5,477Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,477.39
Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$998Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$997.6
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,303Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+171.7%+$2,237.43
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$476.3
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$407.6
Will Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$486.44
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,206Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$3,756.71
All 13 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SK Brann win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Will Aalesunds FK vs. SK Brann end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will PSV vs. FC Twente '65 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will SC Braga vs. CF Estrela da Amadora end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+330.7%+$2,645.45
Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Moreirense FC vs. AVS Futebol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$563.83
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Antalyaspor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Will AVS Futebol vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$567.94
Will FC Porto vs. CD Tondela end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$409.78
All 11 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.2
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$1,285.71
Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Will FC Machida Zelvia vs. Tōkyō Verdy end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$3,338.71
Will Incheon United FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Gangwon FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Avispa Fukuoka end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+111%+$666.18
Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
All 9 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick46cpaid+81.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$632Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$1,123.56
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.51
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$1,021.43
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$900
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$570
All 6 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+401.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Justin Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$1,880.95
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$825Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$3,517.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,450Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+80.5%+$1,972.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,026Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,025.55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.