Wallet 0x30f6…004f
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x30f67d821c57a54e25e5e521dbd3b5b18309004f
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$202,794 staked over 3,123 qualified picks in 45 categories, 13 of 45 below 50.
Best category
China Taiwan
$434 staked over 8 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.13 per pick.
See the full China Taiwan boardSecond best
UFC
$2,689 staked over 42 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.13 per pick.
See the full UFC boardThird best
Movies
$2,251 staked over 51 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.11 per pick.
See the full Movies boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 3,123 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category45 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 3,123 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China Taiwan Inactivelast settled May 22, 2026, EDT | $434 | —no start of play | 3 dto the end, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.5499% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 7 of 8 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +4.3 | +0.54 | 46c | +137.4% | 65 |
The 8 picks behind China Taiwan are not listed here. This wallet has 3,123 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 8 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFClast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $2,689 | before 5%in play 95%, over 37 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 55 after the start | 37 minto the end, median over 72 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1779% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 79% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 39 of 42 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +8.8 | +0.21 | 39c | +66% | 65 |
The 42 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 3,123 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 42 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Movieslast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $2,251 | —no start of play | 5 dto the end, median over 153 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1592% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 92% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 27 of 51 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +8.4 | +0.17 | 40c | +73.5% | 62 |
The 51 picks behind Movies are not listed here. This wallet has 3,123 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 51 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Earningslast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $4,133 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 106 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.12100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 18 of 56 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +6.9 | +0.12 | 47c | +23.7% | 59 |
The 56 picks behind Earnings are not listed here. This wallet has 3,123 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 56 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHLlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $602 | before 16%in play 84%, over 19 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 48 after the start | 3 h 22to the end, median over 216 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.21125% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 125% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 19 of 22 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.6 | +0.16 | 56c | +68.5% | 59 |
The 22 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 3,123 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 22 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie Alast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $1,795 | before 0%in play 100%, over 43 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 43 min after the start | 2 h 49to the end, median over 146 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1194% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 94% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 41 of 44 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +5.1 | +0.12 | 41c | +45.6% | 58 |
The 44 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 3,123 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 44 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Commoditieslast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $7,077 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 137 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0996% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 96% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 28 of 74 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +6.6 | +0.09 | 40c | +12.9% | 57 |
The 74 picks behind Commodities are not listed here. This wallet has 3,123 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 74 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $2,011 | before 0%in play 100%, over 28 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 14 after the start | 3 h 28to the end, median over 119 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.13115% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 115% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 26 of 28 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.1 | +0.11 | 53c | +24.7% | 56 |
The 28 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 3,123 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 28 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $9,785 | before 8%in play 92%, over 229 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 56 after the start | 1 h 57to the end, median over 802 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0576% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 76% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 192 of 230 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 230 | 55.7%128 W · 102 L | +14.3 | +0.06 | 49c | +9.2% | 56 |
The 230 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 3,123 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 230 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $4,983 | before 9%in play 91%, over 66 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 16 after the start | 1 h 56to the end, median over 237 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.08107% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 107% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 51 of 75 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +5.5 | +0.07 | 45c | +20.1% | 56 |
The 75 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 3,123 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 75 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $1,807 | before 0%in play 100%, over 27 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 24 after the start | 1 h 47to the end, median over 106 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 41% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 28 of 28 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.8 | +0.10 | 47c | +25.7% | 56 |
The 28 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,123 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 28 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast settled Apr 7, 2026, EDT | $261 | before 0%in play 100%, over 13 Ncaa Basketball picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 00 after the start | 3 h 20to the end, median over 86 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1598% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 98% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 13 of 14 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.1 | +0.15 | 71c | +26.3% | 56 |
The 14 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 3,123 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 14 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 6, 2026, EDT | $29,317 | before 20%in play 80%, over 167 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 44 min after the start | 4 h 20to the end, median over 900 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0591% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 91% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 235 of 425 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 425 | 52.9%225 W · 200 L | +21.7 | +0.05 | 48c | +8.2% | 55 |
The 425 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 3,123 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 425 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Oct 8, 2026, EDT | $2,402 | before 9%in play 91%, over 33 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 59 after the start | 1 h 01to the end, median over 98 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 48% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 32 of 33 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.5 | +0.08 | 44c | +35.5% | 55 |
The 33 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 3,123 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 33 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fed Rates Inactivelast settled Aug 28, 2026, EDT | $449 | —no start of play | 8 dto the end, median over 22 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1292% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 92% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 7 of 10 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3 | +0.13 | 57c | +22.2% | 54 |
The 10 picks behind Fed Rates are not listed here. This wallet has 3,123 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 10 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricket Inactivelast settled Oct 11, 2026, EDT | $540 | before 9%in play 91%, over 11 Cricket picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 07 after the start | 4 h 15to the end, median over 28 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0877% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 77% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 10 of 11 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1 | +0.10 | 62c | +24.6% | 54 |
The 11 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 3,123 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 11 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Midtermslast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $3,898 | —no start of play | 14 dto the end, median over 183 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.09202% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 202% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 36 of 55 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.4 | +0.04 | 50c | +22.1% | 53 |
The 55 picks behind Us Midterms are not listed here. This wallet has 3,123 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 55 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $36,426 | before 16%in play 84%, over 395 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 06 after the start | 1 h 28to the end, median over 883 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 36% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 315 of 402 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 402 | 54%217 W · 185 L | +11.0 | +0.03 | 51c | +4.2% | 53 |
The 402 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 3,123 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 402 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Politicslast settled Sep 1, 2026, EDT | $256 | —no start of play | 11 dto the end, median over 12 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.12106% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 106% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8 | +0.12 | 46c | +10.2% | 53 |
The 7 picks behind Us Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 3,123 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 7 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $1,293 | before 4%in play 96%, over 27 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 31 after the start | 3 h 21to the end, median over 85 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0478% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 78% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 23 of 28 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.3 | +0.05 | 49c | +36.9% | 53 |
The 28 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,123 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 28 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| F1 Inactivelast settled Sep 13, 2026, EDT | $79 | —too few: 2 picks | 7 h 28to the end, median over 24 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.41124% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 124% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7 | +0.33 | 67c | +50% | 53 |
The 2 picks behind F1 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,123 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Chesslast settled Sep 27, 2026, EDT | $87 | —no start of play | 1 dto the end, median over 6 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1698% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 98% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7 | +0.16 | 34c | +54.4% | 53 |
The 4 picks behind Chess are not listed here. This wallet has 3,123 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $3,652 | before 2%in play 98%, over 61 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 40 after the start | 51 minto the end, median over 138 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0281% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 81% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 49 of 64 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.9 | +0.03 | 49c | +3.3% | 52 |
The 64 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 3,123 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 64 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $905 | before 0%in play 100%, over 13 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 10 after the start | 3 h 09to the end, median over 42 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 13 of 13 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7 | +0.06 | 48c | -1.9% | 52 |
The 13 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,123 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 13 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Weatherlast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT | $805 | —no start of play | 10 dto the end, median over 16 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.10114% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 114% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6 | +0.09 | 49c | +2.4% | 52 |
The 7 picks behind Weather are not listed here. This wallet has 3,123 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 7 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2last settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $3,412 | before 18%in play 82%, over 61 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 29 after the start | 2 h 56to the end, median over 180 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02127% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 127% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 56 of 61 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.1 | +0.02 | 44c | -8.1% | 51 |
The 61 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,123 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 61 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Space Inactivelast settled Jun 29, 2026, EDT | $397 | —no start of play | 19 dto the end, median over 7 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.25100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3 | +0.25 | 75c | +33.9% | 51 |
The 1 picks behind Space are not listed here. This wallet has 3,123 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Musiclast settled Oct 12, 2026, EDT | $1,165 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 74 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 12 of 25 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.3 | +0.01 | 51c | -2.2% | 51 |
The 25 picks behind Music are not listed here. This wallet has 3,123 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 25 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $5,449 | before 4%in play 96%, over 69 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 48 min after the start | 1 h 47to the end, median over 217 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 67 of 69 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +0.6 | +0.01 | 47c | -12.3% | 51 |
The 69 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 3,123 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 69 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mlslast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $7,450 | before 1%in play 99%, over 130 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 21 after the start | 1 h 37to the end, median over 365 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 120 of 130 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.9 | +0.01 | 48c | -6.7% | 51 |
The 130 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 3,123 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 130 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $2,606 | before 0%in play 100%, over 25 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 18 after the start | 2 h 34to the end, median over 65 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05509% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 509% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 22 of 25 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.2 | +0.01 | 51c | -5% | 50 |
The 25 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,123 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 25 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $6,958 | before 0%in play 100%, over 110 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 23 after the start | 2 h 51to the end, median over 304 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 105 of 110 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +0.5 | 0.00 | 45c | +6% | 50 |
The 110 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 3,123 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 110 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| AI Inactivelast settled Oct 6, 2026, EDT | $1,167 | —no start of play | 16 dto the end, median over 41 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 17 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1 | 0.00 | 53c | -7.8% | 50 |
The 17 picks behind AI are not listed here. This wallet has 3,123 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 17 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $23,209 | before 19%in play 81%, over 360 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 59 min after the start | 2 h 28to the end, median over 852 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 346 of 365 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -0.6 | 0.00 | 48c | -6.4% | 50 |
The 365 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,123 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 365 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Macro Indicators Inactivelast settled Sep 10, 2026, EDT | $707 | —no start of play | 11 dto the end, median over 67 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 20 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.2 | -0.01 | 31c | -34.2% | 50 |
The 20 picks behind Macro Indicators are not listed here. This wallet has 3,123 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 20 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Stocks Inactivelast settled Jun 30, 2026, EDT | $17 | —no start of play | 24 dto the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.13no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1 | -0.13 | 13c | -100% | 49 |
The 1 picks behind Stocks are not listed here. This wallet has 3,123 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| IPOlast settled Oct 1, 2026, EDT | $56 | —no start of play | 60 dto the end, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1 | -0.14 | 14c | -100% | 49 |
The 1 picks behind IPO are not listed here. This wallet has 3,123 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $4,289 | before 5%in play 95%, over 77 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 57 after the start | 1 h 00to the end, median over 141 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 59 of 77 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -1.1 | -0.01 | 48c | -0.5% | 49 |
The 77 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 3,123 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 77 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $1,180 | before 5%in play 95%, over 21 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 47 min after the start | 3 h 09to the end, median over 82 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 20 of 21 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.7 | -0.04 | 42c | -32.2% | 48 |
The 21 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 3,123 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 21 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorantlast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $3,814 | before 8%in play 92%, over 77 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 58 min after the start | 2 h 19to the end, median over 199 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 75 of 78 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -2.5 | -0.03 | 42c | -22.7% | 47 |
The 78 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 3,123 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 78 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Golf Inactivelast settled Sep 20, 2026, EDT | $218 | —too few: 6 picks | 1 dto the end, median over 33 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.18no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8 | -0.13 | 46c | -53.5% | 47 |
The 6 picks behind Golf are not listed here. This wallet has 3,123 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 6 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| World Politicslast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $888 | —no start of play | 12 dto the end, median over 66 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 12 of 27 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.5 | -0.05 | 39c | -43.1% | 47 |
The 27 picks behind World Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 3,123 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 27 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $3,778 | before 0%in play 100%, over 55 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 17 after the start | 2 h 52to the end, median over 219 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 52 of 55 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.9 | -0.05 | 47c | -26.1% | 46 |
The 55 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,123 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 55 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Middle East Inactivelast settled Jun 15, 2026, EDT | $222 | —no start of play | 30 dto the end, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.30no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2 | -0.30 | 30c | -100% | 45 |
The 4 picks behind Middle East are not listed here. This wallet has 3,123 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $17,876 | before 10%in play 90%, over 296 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 15 after the start | 3 h 30to the end, median over 686 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 292 of 297 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 297 | 37%110 W · 187 L | -15.3 | -0.05 | 42c | -19.7% | 45 |
The 297 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 3,123 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 297 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 1,688
- What they are worth now
- $42,332bought for $37,625
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 49worth $0
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 1,688, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of 49. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 Winner: Matteo Berrettini vs Adolfo Vallejo (opens in a new tab)backed Matteo Berrettini · settled | 526.72 | 59c | $0 | Counted |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14? (opens in a new tab)backed No · settled | 444.44 | 9c | $0 | Counted |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes · settled | 399.59 | 17c | $0 | Counted |
| Market 0x0a8d…76d9backed outcome 0 | 210.36 | 1c | $0 | Not read yet |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes · settled | 184.86 | 5c | $0 | Counted |
Do these count towards the record above? 4 do: the wallet holds a scored pick on those markets, already in the table above. 1 is not in the published record at all: TailMyPicks has published nothing about that market, so it is neither counted nor ruled out. Either we have not read it yet, or nothing anyone held on it was ever scored.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.