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Wallet 0x3247…d87d

Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Rebuilt .

Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end

$4,633 staked over 128 qualified picks in 12 categories, 3 of 12 below 50.

58

Best category

Cricket

$4,083 staked over 103 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.07 per pick.

See the full Cricket board
55

Second best

Tennis

$244 staked over 12 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.04 per pick.

See the full Tennis board
53

Third best

Ligue 1

$22 staked over 1 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.03 per pick.

See the full Ligue 1 board

If you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast

You’d be +$75.44 tailing 39 Cricket picks (16 W · 23 L) at $50 each: +3.9% per pick.

A hypothetical, built only from this wallet’s own qualified Cricket picks. It puts $50 on each one, held to the end, at the price the wallet paid plus the 0c of slippage TailMyPicks adds in its score. It shows what those picks did, not what the next one will do. It is before any fees you pay where you bet.

Record by category12 Categories

What these columns mean
Category
The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
Staked
The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
When it bets
Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
Holds
How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
At your price
What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
Qualified picks
Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
Win rate
How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
vs expected
Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
Realizable edge
Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
Avg entry
The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
ROI per pick
The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
CategoryStakedWhen it betsHoldsAt your priceQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricketlast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT$4,083before 80%in play 20%, over 103 Cricket picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 46 before the start10 h 48resells, median over 119 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 77 of them sold before the market settled+0.09101% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 101% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 21 of 103 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)10351.5%53 W · 50 L+8.9+0.0943c+19.1%58
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 20, 2026, EDTEngland and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Englandon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)EnglandLost (open this pick on its own page)60c$69-100%-$69.45
Oct 19, 2026, EDTUAE Tri-Nations ODIs: Afghanistan vs Zimbabweon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)ZimbabweLost (open this pick on its own page)23c$83-100%-$82.85
Oct 19, 2026, EDTCricket World Cup League 2: Oman vs Nepalon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OmanLost (open this pick on its own page)30c$46-100%-$46.29
Oct 18, 2026, EDTEngland and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lankaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Sri LankaLost (open this pick on its own page)34c$112-100%-$112.48
Oct 17, 2026, EDTUAE Tri-Nations ODIs: Bangladesh vs Zimbabweon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)ZimbabweWon (open this pick on its own page)31c$16+222.6%+$34.5
Oct 17, 2026, EDTCricket World Cup League 2: Canada vs Nepalon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NepalLost (open this pick on its own page)67c$67-100%-$67.09
Oct 15, 2026, EDTCricket World Cup League 2: Oman vs Canadaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OmanLost (open this pick on its own page)57c$34-100%-$34.15
Oct 14, 2026, EDTWorld Championship of Legends: Bangladesh Champions vs South Africa Championson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Bangladesh ChampionsLost (open this pick on its own page)15c$15-100%-$15
Oct 14, 2026, EDTWest Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indieson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)West IndiesWon (open this pick on its own page)41c$101+142.8%+$144.91
Oct 14, 2026, EDTWorld Championship of Legends: England Champions vs Australia Championson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)England ChampionsLost (open this pick on its own page)47c$28-100%-$28.43
Oct 14, 2026, EDTT20 World Cup Asia Sub-Regional Qualifier A: Bahrain vs Qataron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)QatarWon (open this pick on its own page)49c$21+104.3%+$21.98
Oct 13, 2026, EDTWorld Championship of Legends: India Champions vs West Indies Championson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)India ChampionsLost (open this pick on its own page)28c$28-100%-$28
Oct 13, 2026, EDTWorld Championship of Legends: South Africa Champions vs England Championson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)South Africa ChampionsWon (open this pick on its own page)65c$29+53.2%+$15.18
Oct 13, 2026, EDTSri Lanka Tour of Pakistan T20s: Pakistan vs Sri Lankaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Sri LankaWon (open this pick on its own page)30c$107+235.8%+$252.53
Oct 13, 2026, EDTCricket World Cup League 2: Oman vs Nepalon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NepalWon (open this pick on its own page)57c$29+75.4%+$21.5
Oct 11, 2026, EDTWest Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indieson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)West IndiesLost (open this pick on its own page)26c$27-100%-$27.3
Oct 11, 2026, EDTSri Lanka Tour of Pakistan T20s: Pakistan vs Sri Lankaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Sri LankaLost (open this pick on its own page)31c$84-100%-$84.46
Oct 9, 2026, EDTWorld Championship of Legends: Bangladesh Champions vs West Indies Championson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Bangladesh ChampionsLost (open this pick on its own page)33c$13-100%-$13.2
Oct 9, 2026, EDTWest Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indieson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)West IndiesWon (open this pick on its own page)18c$11+455.6%+$49.19
Oct 9, 2026, EDTSri Lanka Tour of Pakistan T20s: Pakistan vs Sri Lankaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Sri LankaLost (open this pick on its own page)33c$23-100%-$23.1
Oct 9, 2026, EDTWorld Championship of Legends: Australia Champions vs South Africa Championson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)South Africa ChampionsWon (open this pick on its own page)50c$41+100.1%+$40.64
Oct 9, 2026, EDTT20 World Cup Asia Sub-Regional Qualifier A: Bahrain vs Kuwaiton Polymarket (opens in a new tab)KuwaitLost (open this pick on its own page)64c$16-100%-$16.19
Oct 8, 2026, EDTT20 World Cup Asia Sub-Regional Qualifier B: Malaysia vs Hong Kongon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)MalaysiaLost (open this pick on its own page)45c$11-100%-$11.15
Oct 8, 2026, EDTWorld Championship of Legends: England Champions vs West Indies Championson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)England ChampionsLost (open this pick on its own page)30c$21-100%-$21.01
Oct 8, 2026, EDTWorld Championship of Legends: Australia Champions vs Bangladesh Championson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Bangladesh ChampionsLost (open this pick on its own page)15c$21-100%-$21.3
Showing 25 of 103 picks, newest first.
Tennislast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT$244before 0%in play 100%, over 12 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 49 min after the start45 minresells, median over 32 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 18 of them sold before the market settled+0.14108% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 108% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 12 of 12 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1250%6 W · 6 L+1.6+0.1337c+51.3%55
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 19, 2026, EDTFlorence: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Bondiolion Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Federico BondioliWon (open this pick on its own page)40c$12+150%+$18
Oct 19, 2026, EDTGuangzhou 2: James McCabe vs Elias Ymeron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)James McCabeWon (open this pick on its own page)45c$25+122.2%+$31
Oct 18, 2026, EDTSanta Cruz 2: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Hugo Dellienon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Thiago Seyboth WildWon (open this pick on its own page)50c$56+98%+$55.32
Oct 15, 2026, EDTSanta Cruz 2: Franco Roncadelli vs Juan Carlos Pradoon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Juan Carlos PradoLost (open this pick on its own page)34c$10-100%-$10.12
Oct 15, 2026, EDTRoanne: Moise Kouame vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaeron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Moise KouameLost (open this pick on its own page)32c$32-100%-$32
Oct 14, 2026, EDTSanta Cruz 2: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Alex Barrenaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Alex BarrenaLost (open this pick on its own page)32c$30-100%-$30.45
Oct 12, 2026, EDTShanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcarazon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Zizou BergsWon (open this pick on its own page)16c$11+525%+$58.8
Oct 8, 2026, EDTVillena: Philip Henning vs Borna Gojoon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Philip HenningLost (open this pick on its own page)24c$17-100%-$16.58
Oct 7, 2026, EDTPalermo: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Massimo Giuntaon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Massimo GiuntaWon (open this pick on its own page)37c$10+170.3%+$17.64
Oct 4, 2026, EDTPorto 2: Henrique Rocha vs Inaki Monteson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Inaki MontesLost (open this pick on its own page)48c$12-100%-$11.52
Sep 28, 2026, EDTBari: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Enrico Dalla Valleon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Enrico Dalla ValleWon (open this pick on its own page)40c$18+150%+$27
Sep 28, 2026, EDTPorto 2: Max Basing vs Mili Poljicakon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Max BasingLost (open this pick on its own page)45c$10-100%-$10
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1last settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT$22—too few: 1 pick50 minresells, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled+0.7299% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7+0.7228c+257.1%53
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 18, 2026, EDTWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-18?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)28c$22+257.1%+$57.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 6, 2026, EDT$48—too few: 3 picks1 h 11resells, median over 6 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled+0.2395% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 95% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7+0.2443c+38%53
Lol Inactivelast settled Sep 28, 2026, EDT$31—too few: 1 pick2 h 53resells, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled+0.5687% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 87% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6+0.6436c+174.5%53
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Sep 28, 2026, EDTLoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Galions (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)GalionsWon (open this pick on its own page)36c$31+174.5%+$54.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT$40—too few: 1 pick2 h 03resells, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled+0.67109% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 109% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6+0.6139c+158.6%53
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 19, 2026, EDTWill Getafe CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)39c$40+158.6%+$63.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT$11—too few: 1 pick1 h 10resells, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled+0.4296% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 96% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4+0.4456c+78.6%52
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 19, 2026, EDTWill Trabzonspor win on 2026-10-19?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)56c$11+78.6%+$8.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLBlast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT$43—too few: 1 pick4 h 27resells, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled+0.41100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4+0.4159c+69.5%52
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 19, 2026, EDTCleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rayson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Tampa Bay RaysWon (open this pick on its own page)59c$43+69.5%+$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 14, 2026, EDT$24—too few: 2 picks1 h 05resells, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled+0.2198% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 98% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)250%1 W · 1 L+0.4+0.2129c+72.4%52
Premier League Inactivelast settled Oct 10, 2026, EDT$14—too few: 1 pick1 h 37to the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled-0.17no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)10%0 W · 1 L-0.2-0.1717c-100%49
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 10, 2026, EDTWill Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)17c$14-100%-$14.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast settled Oct 10, 2026, EDT$33—too few: 1 pick55 minresells, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled-0.32no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)10%0 W · 1 L-0.3-0.3333c-100%49
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 10, 2026, EDTWill SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-10-10?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)33c$33-100%-$33
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFLlast settled Oct 15, 2026, EDT$40—too few: 1 pick2 h 46to the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled-0.57no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)10%0 W · 1 L-0.5-0.5353c-100%48
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 15, 2026, EDTSeahawks vs. Broncoson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)SeahawksLost (open this pick on its own page)53c$40-100%-$40.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
What is a Tail Score?

A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.

The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.

The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.

Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.

Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.