TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3705…9677

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
222
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Euroleague, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Euroleague at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT13029.2%38 W · 92 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 130 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$578Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$578.41
Cancun: Roman Safiullin vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$493.04
Set Handicap: Bergs (-1.5) vs Sakellaridis (+1.5)backed Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Kingston: Valentin Royer vs Clement Chidekhbacked Clement Chidekh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$407.57
Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Nakashima (+1.5)backed Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$354.45
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keysbacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,053Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$1,872.71
Quebec City: Rei Sakamoto vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+190.7%+$953.58
Quebec City: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Aleksandar Vukicbacked Aleksandar Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$745Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$744.79
Cincinnati Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$1,166.67
ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova 2 Men: Alberto Barroso Campos vs Pavlos Tsitsipasbacked Pavlos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Cincinnati Open: Diana Shnaider vs Elena Rybakinabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$848Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$847.56
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$830Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$3,781.34
Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$5,646.67
Cincinnati Open: Diana Shnaider vs Tatjana Mariabacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$866Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$865.58
Cincinnati Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Zeynep Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$981Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$981.09
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,302Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,301.58
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,497Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,497.06
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$2,103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,102.74
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Alexander Zverevbacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$956Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$956.42
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$562Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$562.34
Wimbledon WTA: Diane Parry vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$488.46
Wimbledon WTA: Solana Sierra vs Coco Gauffbacked Solana Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Joao Fonsecabacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.9
Wimbledon WTA: Katerina Siniakova vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,093Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+150.2%+$4,646.68
Wimbledon ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$436Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$435.99
Showing 25 of 130 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT5223.1%12 W · 40 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,734Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,733.7
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.88
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Belgium (-3.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.46
Spread: Japan (-1.5)backed Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.34
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$820Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$820.47
Spread: Mexico (-2.5)backed Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$938.95
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Canada (-1.5)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Bosnia-Herzegovina (-3.5)backed Bosnia-Herzegovina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$335.58
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$75.75
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Spread: DR Congo (-1.5)backed DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.5
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$706Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$3,447.87
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$665Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$665.25
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$650
Spread: Portugal (-5.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.69
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$999Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$999
Spread: Uruguay (-2.5)backed Uruguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)backed Uruguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,190
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,135.08
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed IR Iran · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,067Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$872.65
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT3033.3%10 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 4 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,226Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,226.29
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$999Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$998.54
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 3 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$944Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$943.79
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,468Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,468.49
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,888Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+74.8%+$3,655.6
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$611Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+191%+$1,167.26
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,029Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+99.7%+$1,025.79
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$1,865.56
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,122Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+98.4%+$1,104.25
Counter-Strike: OG vs Metizport (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Metizport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$417Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+141%+$587.11
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$611Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$1,425.67
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,057Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,057.28
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,118Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,117.9
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$775Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$775
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$433.2
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,297Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,297.23
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,293Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,293.27
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs paiN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,242Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+118.5%+$1,471.12
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$996Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$996.24
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$569Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$568.92
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs Brute (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group Abacked Inner Circle Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.1
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs magic (BO3) - RES Showdown Europe Playoffsbacked Esport Academy Copenhagen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$344.85
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-52.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia vs. Barcelonabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$515Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+300.3%+$1,545.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$103.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$576Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$704
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NK Celje win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$969Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$969.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$530.11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.